Oil Edges Up as Market Weighs Economy, Awaits Inventory Data

Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas, US, February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford
Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas, US, February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford
TT
20

Oil Edges Up as Market Weighs Economy, Awaits Inventory Data

Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas, US, February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford
Pump jacks operate at sunset in Midland, Texas, US, February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford

Oil prices edged up on Thursday, after Brent crude posted its biggest single-day loss in seven weeks the day before, as market players reassessed prospects for supply and demand.

Investors in energy markets are weighing the prospects for China's reviving demand against tepid consumption in the United States and other advanced economies, analysts from Haitong Futures said.

Brent crude futures rose 41 cents, or 0.5%, to $81.01 per barrel by 0754 GMT. West Texas Intermediate crude futures (WTI) advanced 38 cents, also 0.5%, to $74.33.

Both benchmarks lost more than $2 in the previous trading day on expectations of more aggressive interest rate increases.

Minutes from the latest US Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday showed that a majority of Fed officials agreed the risks of high inflation remained a key factor shaping monetary policy and warranted further rate hikes until it was controlled.

The policymakers also suggested that a shift to smaller hikes would let them calibrate more closely with incoming data.

Lending some support to oil prices, Russia plans to cut oil exports from its western ports by up to 25% in March versus February, exceeding its announced production cuts of 500,000 barrels per day.

The dollar index inched down by 0.1% to 104.39 on Thursday, making oil slightly cheaper for those holding other currencies.

But oil price gains were limited by signs of further crudeminventory builds.

US crude oil and fuel inventories rose by 9.9 million barrels last week, according to market sources citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Wednesday.

US oil inventories have climbed every week since mid-December, stoking worries about demand.

A Reuters poll had forecast a 2.1 million barrel increase in crude stockpiles last week.



Gold Falls as Traders Gauge Risk Outlook on Trump's Tariff Clarity

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo
TT
20

Gold Falls as Traders Gauge Risk Outlook on Trump's Tariff Clarity

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo

Gold prices fell on Friday as investors reassessed their risk outlook in the wake of US President Donald Trump's tariff measures, which have provided more clarity on market trends but raised concerns over economic slowdown.

Spot gold was down 0.4% at $3,101.01 an ounce, as of 0710 GMT. Still, bullion was on track for a fifth consecutive weekly gain, buoyed by its safe-haven appeal that aided gold to reach three record highs this week.

US gold futures edged 0.1% higher to $3,123.00.

In the previous session, gold dropped more than 2% as a broader market sell-off sparked by Trump's import tariffs, weighed on bullion traders.

This sharp pullback came just hours after gold reached a record high of $3,167.57.

"Gold tends to rally amid difficult-to-price uncertainty - like the start of a war - but tends to lose that support once markets learn how to price the risks involved," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

"The Trump administration seems to have picked a road, and while sentiment clearly doesn't like it, at least the path of least resistance is more visible and easier to price. That is trimming some of gold's "market confusion" premium."

Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the US and higher duties on some of the country's biggest trading partners.

US trading partners threatened to ratchet up a trade war with Washington as these tariffs ignited fears of steep price increases in the world's largest consumer market.

Federal Reserve officials, seeking more detail on Trump's trade plans, got perhaps more than they anticipated when he unveiled sweeping tariffs, analysts said, noting that it could dramatically reshuffle the country's economic outlook.

The market now awaits the US non-farm payrolls report, which could provide insights into the Fed's interest rate path.

Spot silver declined 1.5% to $31.4 an ounce, platinum lost 0.8% to $944.80, and palladium was steady at $928.33.