Saudi Expert Calls to Face Int’l Threats with Economic Security Policies

Chief Economic Adviser at the Ministry of Economy and Planning Raja al-Marzoqi during the lecture (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Chief Economic Adviser at the Ministry of Economy and Planning Raja al-Marzoqi during the lecture (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Expert Calls to Face Int’l Threats with Economic Security Policies

Chief Economic Adviser at the Ministry of Economy and Planning Raja al-Marzoqi during the lecture (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Chief Economic Adviser at the Ministry of Economy and Planning Raja al-Marzoqi during the lecture (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Cybersecurity, which emerged with the industrial revolution and the transformation of the digital economy, has become the most dangerous threat to economic security and reflects negatively on national security, according to a Saudi financial expert.

Chief Economic Adviser at the Ministry of Economy and Planning Raja al-Marzoqi called for adopting development and comprehensive growth to achieve economic security, one of the essential factors for national security amid structural changes in the international system and the acceleration of economic globalization.

Speaking during a lecture at the Prince Saud Al Faisal Institute for Diplomatic Studies (IDS) in Riyadh on economic security and its importance in national security amid international developments, Marzoqi explained that the risks include ownership, espionage, access to confidential websites and information, sabotage, abuse of power, corruption, fraud, and social and economic inequality.

Marzoqi warned that these risks negatively affect economic growth, saying that international reality and interdependence facilitated the transmission of these risks between the countries.

During the lecture, the expert touched on the concept of economic security and its importance, pointing out that it has emerged more globally after World War II and the spread of globalization.

World governments were partially dependent on military forces to achieve economic security, and the world was based on disputes to achieve economic interests due to its association with human interests.

However, the use of force to achieve economic interests decreased during the past century, said the expert, noting that nations now use monetary policies to improve their national economic competitiveness.

Marzoqi indicated that international economic cooperation contributed to reducing conflicts and wars while relying on improving competitiveness and opening markets. In addition, the second and third industrial revolutions, especially in communications, transportation, and production, significantly led to the global growth of per capita income.

According to the expert, economic development is necessary to achieve comprehensive economic growth, increase individual income, and reduce unemployment and poverty rates.

It also helps the government finance other security variables, noting that the state's weak economic capabilities are an existential threat, regardless of its military and political capabilities.

The adviser stated that the countries that focused on improving competitiveness and openness to the global economy achieved economic gains in increasing individual income, decreasing unemployment and poverty, raising their share of the total global revenue, and enhancing their contribution to the worldwide economy.

He referred to five important variables for economic security, namely food consumption and production, the standard of living and income, the ability of civil society and the government to meet people's needs, and the extent to which citizens can meet their basic needs of food, housing, health, and education services safely.



Oil Falls on Signs of Progress in US-Iran Talks amid More Market Stress

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/File Photo
The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/File Photo
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Oil Falls on Signs of Progress in US-Iran Talks amid More Market Stress

The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/File Photo
The sun is seen behind a crude oil pump jack in the Permian Basin in Loving County, Texas, US, November 22, 2019. REUTERS/Angus Mordant/File Photo

Oil prices fell more than 2% on Monday on signs of progress in talks between the US and Iran while investors remained concerned about economic headwinds from tariffs which could curb demand for fuel.

Brent crude futures slipped $1.51, or 2.2%, to $66.45 a barrel by 1115 GMT after closing up 3.2% on Thursday. US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $63.11 a barrel, down $1.57, or 2.4%, after settling up 3.54% in the previous session. Thursday was the last settlement day last week because of the Good Friday holiday, Reuters reported.

"The US-Iran talks seem relatively positive, which allows for people to start thinking about the possibility of a solution," said Harry Tchilinguirian, group head of research at Onyx Capital Group. "The immediate implication would be that Iranian crude would not be off the market."

Markets also have lower liquidity due to the Easter holiday, which can exacerbate price moves, he added. In the talks, the US and Iran agreed to begin drawing up a framework for a potential nuclear deal, Iran's foreign minister said, after discussions that a US official described as yielding "very good progress." The progress follows further sanctions by the US last week against a Chinese independent oil refinery that it alleges processed Iranian crude, ramping up pressure on Tehran.

Markets also came under stress on Monday, after US President Donald Trump last week made criticisms about the Federal Reserve. Gold prices rose to another record, with jitters rippling into energy markets due to concerns about demand, according to analysts.

"The broader trend remains tilted to the downside, as investors may struggle to find conviction in an improving supply-demand outlook, especially amid the drag from tariffs on global growth and rising supplies from OPEC+," said IG Market Strategist Yeap Jun Rong. OPEC+, the group of major producers including the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, is still expected to increase output by 411,000 barrels per day starting in May, though some of that increase may be offset by cuts from countries that have been exceeding their quotas. A Reuters poll on April 17 showed investors believe the tariff policy will trigger a significant slowdown in the US economy this year and next, with the median probability of recession in the next 12 months approaching 50%. The US is the world's biggest oil consumer.

Investors are watching for several US data releases this week, including April flash manufacturing and services PMI, for direction on the economy.

"This week's series of PMI releases could further underscore the economic impact of tariffs, with both manufacturing and services conditions across major economies expected to soften," IG's Yeap said, adding oil prices face resistance at the $70 level.