G20 Warns War Repercussions Exacerbate Global Economy Fragility

G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors in Bangalore, India (Reuters)
G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors in Bangalore, India (Reuters)
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G20 Warns War Repercussions Exacerbate Global Economy Fragility

G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors in Bangalore, India (Reuters)
G20 meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors in Bangalore, India (Reuters)

Finance ministers of the world's largest economies on Saturday strongly condemned Moscow's war on Ukraine, with only China and Russia refusing to sign a joint statement.

India, the current chair of the Group of Twenty (G20), was reluctant to raise the issue of the war, but Western countries insisted they could not support any final statement that did not condemn it.

The lack of consensus among G20 members led India to issue a "chair's summary and outcome document," which summed up the two days of talks and noted disagreements.

"Most members strongly condemned the war in Ukraine and stressed that it is causing immense human suffering and exacerbating existing fragilities in the global economy," India said, noting supply chain disruptions, risks to financial stability, and persistent food and energy insecurity.

"There were other views and different assessments of the situation and sanctions," it added, referring to the measures taken by the US, European countries, and other countries to punish Russia for the invasion and limit its revenues.

The outcome was similar to a G20 summit in Bali last November when host Indonesia issued a final declaration acknowledging differences.

The G20, formed over two decades to tackle economic crises, has increasingly struggled to reach a consensus to issue an official end-of-meeting communique.

Indian Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said that although there has not been a "communique but only an outcome statement," some progress has been made in having all the ministers on board.

German Finance Minister Christian Lindner said China's refusal to sign the declaration was "regrettable."

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen told Reuters that it was "necessary" for a statement to condemn Russia.

Two delegates told Reuters that Russia and China did not want the G20 platform to be used to discuss political matters.

Russia, a G20 but not G7 member, described its actions in Ukraine as a "special military operation" and avoided calling it an invasion or war.

India has maintained a largely neutral stance on the war, refraining from blaming Russia for the invasion, seeking a diplomatic solution, and boosting its purchases of Russian oil.

India and China were among the countries that abstained on Thursday when the UN overwhelmingly voted to demand Moscow withdraw its forces from Ukraine and stop fighting.

Besides the G7 nations, the G20 bloc includes countries such as Australia, Brazil, and Saudi Arabia.

Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki told reporters that it's becoming difficult for the G20 to engage in constructive discussion because of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which is an act that shakes the foundations of the global order.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank met on the sidelines of the G20 summit with China, India, Saudi Arabia, and the G7.

The meeting addressed restructuring debt for distressed economies, but there too, were disagreements among members.

Yellen said there were no "deliverables" from the meeting, which was primarily organizational.

Additional discussions are scheduled around the time of the IMF and World Bank spring meetings in April.

Pressure is mounting on China, the world's largest bilateral creditor, and other countries to offer a significant cut in loans to struggling developing countries.



IATA: Air Cargo Demand Up 2.2% Despite Trade Disruptions

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) logo is seen at the International Tourism Trade Fair ITB in Berlin, Germany, March 7, 2018. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch 
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) logo is seen at the International Tourism Trade Fair ITB in Berlin, Germany, March 7, 2018. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch 
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IATA: Air Cargo Demand Up 2.2% Despite Trade Disruptions

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) logo is seen at the International Tourism Trade Fair ITB in Berlin, Germany, March 7, 2018. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch 
The International Air Transport Association (IATA) logo is seen at the International Tourism Trade Fair ITB in Berlin, Germany, March 7, 2018. REUTERS/Fabrizio Bensch 

Total air cargo demand, measured in cargo ton-kilometers (CTK), rose by 2.2% compared to May 2024 levels, up 3.0% for international operations, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA).

Also, capacity, measured in available cargo ton-kilometers (ACTK), increased by 2% compared to May 2024, up 2.6% for international operations.

The Association said several factors in the operating environment should be noted, including year-on-year world industrial production, which rose 2.6% in April 2025.

Meanwhile, air cargo volumes grew 6.8% over the same period, outpacing global goods trade growth of 3.8%.

IATA said jet fuel prices in May 2025 were 18.8% lower than the previous year and 4.3% below the previous month.

It noted that global manufacturing contracted in May, with the PMI falling to 49.1, below the 50 mark that signals growth.

New export orders also remained in negative territory at 48, reflecting pressure from recent US trade policy changes, the Association revealed.

Global manufacturing output, measured by the PMI, dropped below the 50 threshold to 49.1 in May, for the first time in 2025.

This, IATA said, was a 6.9% year-on-year decrease and a 2.8% drop compared to April 2025, indicating a slight weakening in global manufacturing production compared to April 2025.

Meanwhile, output declined in May, new export orders grew 1.6 index points from April, to 48. New export orders have been directly affected by the US trade policy changes, which have reshaped global demand dynamics and impacted trade flows.

Willie Walsh, IATA’s Director General, said the rise of cargo demand globally by 2.2% in May is encouraging news as a 10.7% drop in traffic on the Asia to North America trade lane illustrated the dampening effect of shifting US trade policies.

“Even as these policies evolve, already we can see the air cargo sector’s well-tested resilience helping shippers to accommodate supply chain needs to flexibly hold back, re-route or accelerate deliveries,” he said.

Meanwhile, carriers in the Middle East continued to build momentum, expanding for the second consecutive month. The region recorded a 3.6% year-on-year rise and capacity increased by 4.2%.

Asia Pacific posted the strongest growth, up 8.3% year-on-year while capacity increased by 5.7%.

In return, North American carriers saw a -5.8% year-on-year decrease in growth for air cargo in May, the slowest growth of all regions. Capacity decreased by -3.2%.

European carriers saw 1.6% year-on-year demand growth for air cargo in May. Capacity increased 1.5%.

Also, Latin American carriers saw a 3.1% year-on-year increase in demand growth for air cargo in May. Capacity increased 3.5%.

As for African airlines, they saw a 2.1% year-on-year decrease in demand for air cargo in May. Capacity increased by 2.7%.

Trade Lane Growth

A significant decrease in the Asia-North America trade lane was expected and realized as the effect of front-loading faded and changes to the de-minimis exemption on small package shipments were enforced.

As cargo flows reorganized, several route areas responded with surprising growth, IATA said.