Iran Unable to Curb Currency Fall against US Dollar

A man raises six 100-dollar bills in his hand at an exchange shop in Tehran (Echo Iran)
A man raises six 100-dollar bills in his hand at an exchange shop in Tehran (Echo Iran)
TT

Iran Unable to Curb Currency Fall against US Dollar

A man raises six 100-dollar bills in his hand at an exchange shop in Tehran (Echo Iran)
A man raises six 100-dollar bills in his hand at an exchange shop in Tehran (Echo Iran)

Iran’s Interior Minister Ahmed Vahidi has accused “enemies” of standing behind the devaluation of the Iranian rial against foreign currencies, especially the US dollar. The Central Bank of Iran (CBI) has taken measures to curb depositors’ demand for foreign currencies.

Iranians demanding foreign currencies is largely driven by worry over inflation and the country’s economic prospects.

On Sunday morning, the dollar price hiked to 600,000 riyals, but within a few hours, it fell to 580,000 riyals, according to the foreign exchange website Bonbast.com.

The dollar price had risen to 575,000 riyals in the free market on Saturday evening. This was hours after a closed session held by parliament in the presence of government officials to discuss the latest wave of record declines for the local currency. The price of the dollar had exceeded 540,000 on Friday.

Also, on Sunday, the euro price reached 630,000 riyals before slightly declining to stop at 610,000 riyals. The price of the pound sterling ranged between 690,000 riyals and 700,000 riyals.

Ehsan Khandouzi, the government spokesman for economic affairs who doubles as the minister of economic and financial affairs, told lawmakers in Saturday’s session that security forces had arrested “many manipulators whose aim was to disrupt the currency market.”

According to a parliamentary spokesman, the lawmakers criticized “contradictory policies” proposed by government officials for stabilizing the currency market and the dollar price.

Lawmaker Alireza Beigi revealed new details from the closed session and quoted Mohammad Mokhber, Iran’s first vice president, telling deputies that “we do not have a better way to manage the currency market. This is the way it is.”

Beigi slammed Mokhber’s statement as “very irresponsible,” especially since it came from a government official.

“Our impression from the economic team in the government is that it has no plan to get out of the current situation,” said Beigi.

Lawmakers also criticized CBI Governor Mohammad-Reza Farzin for requesting to expand his currency management powers.

Despite the criticism, Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said: “We have achieved good results in this meeting. God willing, we will overcome this problem by coordinating action with the government.”

Fluctuations in the dollar price have raised discontent among Iranians, who fear a new rise in commodity prices. The issue is hotly debated on social networks.

With annual inflation running at more than 50 %, Iranians are trying to protect the value of their savings by buying foreign currency or gold.

On Saturday, the CBI lifted a ban on private exchange shops selling hard currencies to calm the market and reduce the demand for the dollar.

Last week, the CBI opened an exchange center to allow ordinary Iranians to buy foreign currency, but some market analysts said the move had not yet dampened the appetite for dollars. Over the past six months, the Iranian currency has shed about 60 % of its value, according to Bonbast.

The Persian-speaking Farda Radio, which the US State Department funds, stated that the dollar price had jumped by 118% against the Iranian riyal since the last Iranian New Year, which was celebrated on March 20.

According to Reuters, the Iranian rial has lost nearly 45% of its value since nationwide protests erupted following the death of a young Iranian-Kurdish woman in police custody in September.

Iranian authorities fear that currency depreciation and the deterioration of the living situation will trigger renewed protests.

In a statement to Hamshahri daily, Vahidi said that recent currency events in Iran suggest that the country is facing a “conspiracy.”

“We do not see that economic reasons are only involved in the currency market’s inflammation, but rather it is a plot pursued by the enemy,” said Vahidi.

“When the enemy did not reach results in the riots, it intervened in the economic scene and the currency issue,” he added, explaining that Iran’s enemies want the currency crisis as a basis for stirring unrest.

“Inflation is one of our chronic economic problems,” said the minister.

“When we took over the government, inflation was 59%, then it decreased to 40%,” he claimed.

Currency traders say the rial’s slide is partly due to the protests, Tehran’s increasing isolation in the face of Western sanctions over its human rights record, and Russia’s use of Iranian-made drones in Ukraine.

Reinstating US sanctions in 2018 also harmed Iran’s economy by limiting its oil exports and access to foreign currency.

Moreover, nuclear talks between Iran and world powers to curb Tehran’s nuclear program in return for lifting sanctions have been stalled since September, worsening Iran’s economic prospects.

Nuclear negotiations faltered last March.

Iran’s previous government, headed by Hassan Rouhani, had faced accusations of raising the price of the dollar in the markets to cover a budget shortfall and save government expenditures.



Russia Advances in Ukraine at Fastest Monthly Pace Since Start of War, Analysts Say

A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)
A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)
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Russia Advances in Ukraine at Fastest Monthly Pace Since Start of War, Analysts Say

A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)
A police officer drives a vehicle past burning trees during an evacuation of civilians from the outskirts of the Kurakhove town, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Donetsk region, Ukraine September 16, 2024. (Reuters)

Russian forces are advancing in Ukraine at the fastest rate since the early days of the 2022 invasion, taking an area half the size of Greater London over the past month, analysts and war bloggers say.

The war is entering what some Russian and Western officials say could be its most dangerous phase after Moscow's forces made some of their biggest territorial gains and the United States allowed Kyiv to strike back with US missiles.

"Russia has set new weekly and monthly records for the size of the occupied territory in Ukraine," independent Russian news group Agentstvo said in a report.

The Russian army captured almost 235 sq km (91 sq miles) in Ukraine over the past week, a weekly record for 2024, it said.

Russian forces had taken 600 sq km (232 sq miles) in November, it added, citing data from DeepState, a group with close links to the Ukrainian army that studies combat footage and provides frontline maps.

Russia began advancing faster in eastern Ukraine in July just as Ukrainian forces carved out a sliver of its western region of Kursk. Since then, the Russian advance has accelerated, according to open source maps.

Russia's forces are moving into the town of Kurakhove, a stepping stone towards the logistical hub of Pokrovsk in Donetsk, and have been exploiting the vulnerabilities of Kyiv troops along the frontline, analysts said.

"Russian forces recently have been advancing at a significantly quicker rate than they did in the entirety of 2023," analysts at the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War said in a report.

The General Staff of Ukraine's armed forces said in its Monday update that 45 battles of varying intensity were raging along the Kurakhove part of the frontline that evening.

The Institute for the Study of War report and pro-Russian military bloggers say Russian troops are in Kurakhove. Deep State said on its Telegram messaging app on Monday that Russian forces are near Kurakhove.

"Russian forces' advances in southeastern Ukraine are largely the result of the discovery and tactical exploitation of vulnerabilities in Ukraine's lines," Institute analysts said in their report.

Russia says it will achieve all of its aims in Ukraine no matter what the West says or does.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has repeatedly said peace cannot be established until all Russian forces are expelled and all territory captured by Moscow, including Crimea, is returned.

But outnumbered by Russian troops, the Ukrainian military is struggling to recruit soldiers and provide equipment to new units.

Zelenskiy has said he believed Russian President Vladimir Putin's main objectives were to occupy the entire Donbas, spanning the regions of Donetsk and Luhansk, and oust Ukrainian troops from the Kursk region, parts of which they have controlled since August.