Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
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Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)

Türkiye’s trade deficit continued to rise in January while the economic confidence index witnessed a sharp decline.

Türkiye’s foreign trade deficit widened 38.4 percent year-on-year to $14.237 billion in January, official data showed on Monday, with imports surging 20.7 percent and exports up 10.3 percent.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said imports climbed to $33.606 billion in January, while exports rose to $19.369 billion.

The overall foreign trade deficit surged 137 percent year-on-year to $109.54 billion in 2022 in Türkiye, the data showed.

The Institute said that Türkiye's exports rose 12.9 percent to $254.1 billion last year, while imports rose 34 percent to $363.7 billion.

Under an economic program unveiled in 2021, Türkiye aims to shift to a current account surplus through stronger exports and low-interest rates, despite soaring inflation and a currency that has tumbled in recent years.

Türkiye's economic confidence index fell 0.3 percent month-on-month in February to 99.1 points, following massive earthquakes that devastated the country's southern region, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed on Monday.

The index, which points to an optimistic outlook when above 100 and pessimistic when below, hit a record low in 2020 before recovering as coronavirus measures were eased.

The government introduced a series of measures to ease quake fallout that is expected to cost at least $50 billion. But economists have predicted it will shave some 1-2.5 percentage points off economic growth this year.

Türkiye’s sovereign wealth fund plans to channel cash into the nation’s main stock exchange via exchange-traded funds, in an open-ended attempt to keep the equities market from falling, according to Bloomberg.

The fund will allocate at least $1 billion initially to ETFs run by a state bank, according to people familiar with the matter.

The move differs from previous attempts to support equities since the Borsa Istanbul resumed trading following a halt caused by two devastating earthquakes on February 6. The government initially channeled pension funds’ money into the stock market to reverse the rout after the natural disaster.

The plan is to use ETFs currently run by Ziraat Portfoy, the asset-management arm of state lender T.C. Ziraat Bankasi A.S., the people said. The funds track the performance of various indexes related to Borsa Istanbul.

Domestic investors have become the dominant force in Borsa Istanbul in the past several years as they sought protection against rampant inflation.

The exact size of the fund at its inauguration will be determined once all the TVF companies, such as Turkish Airlines, report 2022 earnings, one of the people said.

Ziraat has several ETFs tracking Türkiye’s main stock exchange, with some focusing on large companies only, such as those listed in the Borsa Istanbul 30 index. Ziraat Portfoy’s BIST 30 Index Fund, the biggest local ETF for Turkish stocks, has already seen 8.1 billion liras ($430 million) in inflows since February 15, according to Bloomberg data.

The Istanbul exchange’s main index, the BIST 100, has a market cap of about $220 billion.

The average trading volume in the past month was about $160 million a day, according to data collected by Bloomberg.

Indexes tracking larger companies will likely be the priority target for the sovereign wealth fund and the buying program has no expiration date, the people said.



South Korea Aims to Delay US Tariffs in Talks, Cooperate in Mutual Areas 

Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok, who serves concurrently as deputy prime minister for economic affairs, speaks during a meeting of economy-related ministers at the government complex in Seoul, South Korea, 11 April 2025. (EPA/Yonhap) 
Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok, who serves concurrently as deputy prime minister for economic affairs, speaks during a meeting of economy-related ministers at the government complex in Seoul, South Korea, 11 April 2025. (EPA/Yonhap) 
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South Korea Aims to Delay US Tariffs in Talks, Cooperate in Mutual Areas 

Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok, who serves concurrently as deputy prime minister for economic affairs, speaks during a meeting of economy-related ministers at the government complex in Seoul, South Korea, 11 April 2025. (EPA/Yonhap) 
Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok, who serves concurrently as deputy prime minister for economic affairs, speaks during a meeting of economy-related ministers at the government complex in Seoul, South Korea, 11 April 2025. (EPA/Yonhap) 

South Korea will seek to delay the implementation of tariffs as long as possible in negotiations with the United States, its finance minister said on Tuesday, as Seoul targets cooperation in areas of mutual interest such as shipbuilding and energy.

Officials in Seoul have been scrambling to limit the damage to the export-reliant economy from the threat of looming duties.

South Korea is among the countries that US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has said Washington would sit down with to discuss the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump.

The priority was to delay the tariffs "as much as possible" to help reduce the uncertainty the country's businesses face in the global market, South Korea's Finance Minister Choi Sang-mok told parliament.

"From our national interest perspective, the idea is to negotiate as much as possible and wrap it up under the new government," he said in answer to a lawmaker's question about the direction of Seoul's response.

Trump hit Asia's fourth-largest economy with 25% "reciprocal" tariffs earlier this month as he targeted dozens of countries with import duties as high as 49%. He has since paused their implementation by 90 days but has maintained a 10% blanket tariff on all goods imports and ratcheted up levies on China.

The tariff shock comes as South Korea prepares to pick a new president in a snap election on June 3 after Yoon Suk Yeol was ousted this month over his short-lived martial law declaration.

While the power vacuum has raised questions about the mandate of acting President Han Duck-soo and the direction of its response to Trump's sweeping tariffs, Han's government has engaged with top US administration officials.

Han spoke to Trump last week in a phone call, while South Korea's top trade envoy met US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer to discuss lowering tariffs.

Trade and Industry Minister Ahn Duk-geun may travel to Washington next week for further talks, media reports said.

Choi said discussions between Trump and Han touched on the spirit of reaching a solution that meets the allies' mutual interests and includes cooperation in the shipbuilding sector and potential involvement in an Alaska gas pipeline project.

Seoul has previously indicated it was open to possible involvement in the gas project and that potential cooperation with Washington in the shipbuilding sector was a "very important card" in negotiations.

Trump's delay to some tariffs means the work of negotiating a trade arrangement to address the US president's claim of unfair trade will fall on a new South Korean president, who will take office immediately after the June 3 vote.

The tariff pause does not apply to the 25% duty that Trump imposed on steel and aluminium as well as vehicles.

South Korea is a leading global exporter of cars and steel to the United States.

Seoul announced on Tuesday an increase in its support package for its key semiconductor industry to 33 trillion won ($23.25 billion), amid growing policy uncertainty over US policies.

Trump said on Sunday he would be announcing the tariff rate on imported semiconductors over the next week, adding that there would be flexibility with some companies in the sector.