Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
TT
20

Türkiye’s Trade Deficit Rises, Confidence Index Declines


A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)
A man who sells souvenirs waits for customers in a market in commercial Eminonu, Istanbul. (AP)

Türkiye’s trade deficit continued to rise in January while the economic confidence index witnessed a sharp decline.

Türkiye’s foreign trade deficit widened 38.4 percent year-on-year to $14.237 billion in January, official data showed on Monday, with imports surging 20.7 percent and exports up 10.3 percent.

The Turkish Statistical Institute said imports climbed to $33.606 billion in January, while exports rose to $19.369 billion.

The overall foreign trade deficit surged 137 percent year-on-year to $109.54 billion in 2022 in Türkiye, the data showed.

The Institute said that Türkiye's exports rose 12.9 percent to $254.1 billion last year, while imports rose 34 percent to $363.7 billion.

Under an economic program unveiled in 2021, Türkiye aims to shift to a current account surplus through stronger exports and low-interest rates, despite soaring inflation and a currency that has tumbled in recent years.

Türkiye's economic confidence index fell 0.3 percent month-on-month in February to 99.1 points, following massive earthquakes that devastated the country's southern region, data from the Turkish Statistical Institute showed on Monday.

The index, which points to an optimistic outlook when above 100 and pessimistic when below, hit a record low in 2020 before recovering as coronavirus measures were eased.

The government introduced a series of measures to ease quake fallout that is expected to cost at least $50 billion. But economists have predicted it will shave some 1-2.5 percentage points off economic growth this year.

Türkiye’s sovereign wealth fund plans to channel cash into the nation’s main stock exchange via exchange-traded funds, in an open-ended attempt to keep the equities market from falling, according to Bloomberg.

The fund will allocate at least $1 billion initially to ETFs run by a state bank, according to people familiar with the matter.

The move differs from previous attempts to support equities since the Borsa Istanbul resumed trading following a halt caused by two devastating earthquakes on February 6. The government initially channeled pension funds’ money into the stock market to reverse the rout after the natural disaster.

The plan is to use ETFs currently run by Ziraat Portfoy, the asset-management arm of state lender T.C. Ziraat Bankasi A.S., the people said. The funds track the performance of various indexes related to Borsa Istanbul.

Domestic investors have become the dominant force in Borsa Istanbul in the past several years as they sought protection against rampant inflation.

The exact size of the fund at its inauguration will be determined once all the TVF companies, such as Turkish Airlines, report 2022 earnings, one of the people said.

Ziraat has several ETFs tracking Türkiye’s main stock exchange, with some focusing on large companies only, such as those listed in the Borsa Istanbul 30 index. Ziraat Portfoy’s BIST 30 Index Fund, the biggest local ETF for Turkish stocks, has already seen 8.1 billion liras ($430 million) in inflows since February 15, according to Bloomberg data.

The Istanbul exchange’s main index, the BIST 100, has a market cap of about $220 billion.

The average trading volume in the past month was about $160 million a day, according to data collected by Bloomberg.

Indexes tracking larger companies will likely be the priority target for the sovereign wealth fund and the buying program has no expiration date, the people said.



New Chapter for Saudi Real Estate Market as Foreign Ownership Allowed

Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat
Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat
TT
20

New Chapter for Saudi Real Estate Market as Foreign Ownership Allowed

Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat
Residential and commercial properties in Riyadh – Asharq Al-Awsat

Saudi Arabia has approved a new law allowing non-Saudis to own real estate across the Kingdom, a move officials say will stimulate foreign investment, increase the quality and availability of housing stock, and help bring balance to the property market.

The decision, announced by the Council of Ministers on Tuesday, marks a shift in the structure of the real estate sector and aligns with the Kingdom’s broader strategy to diversify investment and improve urban development under its Vision 2030 reform agenda.

Municipal and Rural Affairs and Housing Minister Majid Al-Hogail said the new framework is expected to attract foreign developers and investors, increase competition in the domestic market, and ultimately help stabilize prices while improving housing options for Saudi citizens.

“A Strategic Restructuring”

“This step will encourage real estate supply and raise the quality of developments,” Al-Hogail said in a statement. “It supports the economic momentum and investment movement we are witnessing under Vision 2030.”

Khalid Al-Jasser, head of Amaken Group and a real estate specialist, said the updated system prioritizes Saudi citizens’ interests and will include mechanisms to regulate the market and achieve planned targets—chief among them, property market balance.

He added that the move would introduce global real estate standards to the Kingdom and draw capital to improve housing infrastructure, while creating jobs and lowering property prices.

“This is more than just an investment measure—it’s a structural shift,” Al-Jasser said.

Focus on Mega Projects and New Cities

Khaled Almobid, CEO of Menassat Realty Co., said the measure would allow foreign investors to buy properties in major development zones such as NEOM and the Red Sea Project—areas central to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s economic diversification efforts.

Almobid said the law is intended to protect Saudi homebuyers from being priced out of the market, while enabling high-value foreign investment that brings hard currency and supports large-scale development.

“The focus will be on strategic areas,” he said. “We expect foreign ownership will be restricted in districts designated for Saudi housing, with safeguards against speculation.”

He noted that details would become clearer once executive regulations are released.

Riyadh Housing Reforms

The foreign ownership law follows a series of housing reforms launched in March by Crown Prince Mohammed, aimed at curbing soaring land and rental prices in Riyadh.

As part of the measures, the government lifted bans on land sales, divisions, and permits, and instructed the Royal Commission for Riyadh City to develop 10,000 to 40,000 new residential plots annually over the next five years - priced at no more than 1,500 riyals ($400) per square meter - for eligible citizens.

Eligibility is limited to married Saudis or individuals over 25 years old with no prior property ownership.

The government also pledged to amend regulations governing undeveloped land fees and tenant-landlord relations within 60 to 90 days to boost supply and protect all parties’ rights.

The Real Estate General Authority and the Royal Commission were also tasked with monitoring Riyadh property prices and submitting regular reports.