US, Qatar, Egypt Supply Europe’s LNG Demand

The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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US, Qatar, Egypt Supply Europe’s LNG Demand

The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The natural gas liquefaction complex in Damietta, which exports the largest amount of Egyptian gas exports (Asharq Al-Awsat)

European imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) rose by 63 % in 2022, to compensate for the interruption of supplies through Russian gas pipelines.

LNG imported by Europe increased by 66 bcm, according to a recent report by the International Energy Agency (IEA).

While the US supplied approximately two-thirds (43 bcm) of the incremental LNG inflows into Europe, other “swing suppliers” were also able to redirect significant flexible volumes to the European market, with Qatar (5 bcm), Egypt (5 bcm), Norway (3 bcm), Angola (2 bcm), Russia (2 bcm) and Trinidad and Tobago (2 bcm) providing the bulk of the remaining one-third.

The increase in European demand raised prices and doubled the value of the global LNG market in 2022 to an all-time high of USD 450 billion. Traded volumes, however, increased by 6%.

The agency expects the growth of the global market in 2023 to increase by an additional 4.3 %.

“Europe was the primary driver behind the increase in LNG demand as it pivoted away from the Russian pipeline. LNG cargoes delivered to Europe increased by 63% last year,” said the IEA.

At one point in Q4, infrastructure bottlenecks combined with mild winter temperatures and full storage sites (reflected in wide price differentials) prompted more than “30 laden LNG tankers to wait for available regasification slots in Europe rather than sell their cargoes elsewhere at a discount,” according to the report.

Moreover, the war in Ukraine increased the need for LNG terminals and tankers.

LNG carrier orders reached an all-time high of 165 in 2022, according to data from Refinitiv, which represents a staggering 130% increase in 2021. This has boosted the presence of Chinese players in the LNG shipbuilding market.

Natural gas markets worldwide continued to tighten last year despite global consumption declining by an estimated 1.6% in 2022.

Meanwhile, EU energy ministers met on Tuesday to discuss issues ranging from security of supply to the upcoming electricity market reform. They touched on the renewal of the mechanism for reducing gas consumption during the coming winter.

French Energy Minister Agnes Pannier-Runache revealed that the 27 ministers discussed “extending several emergency measures” so gas stocks could be swiftly replenished and enable the countries to face potential tensions, including putting consumption under control.

In the face of the energy crisis that resulted from the war in Ukraine and the decline in Russian supplies, EU countries agreed last July to reduce their demand for gas during the period between August 2022 and March 2023 by 15 %.



What Do Saudi SMEs Need to Grow?

What Do Saudi SMEs Need to Grow?
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What Do Saudi SMEs Need to Grow?

What Do Saudi SMEs Need to Grow?

Financing alone is no longer enough to propel Saudi Arabia’s small and medium-sized enterprises into their next phase of growth, as their needs increasingly extend to accessing markets and contracts, securing operating liquidity, reducing business costs and boosting productivity, competitiveness and their ability to expand.

Financing available to the sector has nevertheless continued to grow. Cumulative credit facilities extended to micro, small and medium-sized enterprises reached about SAR 467 billion ($124.5 billion) by the end of 2025, up 33% year on year.

At the same time, Saudi Arabia’s National Strategy for Entrepreneurship and SMEs is seeking to address challenges beyond the financing gap by improving access to markets, procurement and supply chains, reducing the cost of doing business and strengthening companies’ capacity for sustainable growth.

In the latest financing initiative, the Small and Medium Enterprises General Authority, known as Monsha’at, signed a cooperation agreement with STC Bank in September 2026 for a financing portfolio of up to SAR 5 billion ($1.33 billion) for micro, small and medium-sized enterprises.

The portfolio includes short-, medium- and long-term facilities covering working capital, operating needs, purchases of assets and equipment, and financing for contracts, projects and supply chains.

Businesses also require more than long-term financing. The Social Development Bank’s Working Capital product offers financing ranging from SAR 150,000 ($40,000) to SAR 10 million ($2.67 million), with repayment periods of up to 12 months, to cover day-to-day operating costs and strengthen cash-flow management.

The bank distinguishes between working-capital financing for operating costs and capital-expansion financing for assets and expansion.

From financing to growth

Rayan bin Ibrahim Alfayez, Monsha’at’s deputy governor for enterprise services, said the 13 initiatives under the National Strategy for Entrepreneurship and SMEs are designed to directly address priority challenges facing business growth and create a more efficient environment that supports expansion and sustainability while strengthening competitiveness in the coming period.

Alfayez explained that one initiative aimed at expanding opportunities for businesses focuses on empowering SMEs and startups in industrial cities and special economic zones. It seeks to help them capitalize on opportunities available in those areas and provide support and incentives suited to the nature of their businesses, supporting their growth and strengthening their presence in industrial and economic activities and value chains.

He added that the strategy also includes an initiative to increase SMEs’ share of procurement by large companies, broadening their access to opportunities and contracts, strengthening their participation in supply chains and helping build sustainable commercial relationships that support business growth and expansion.

Alfayez noted that another initiative aimed at reducing the cost of doing business addresses one of the challenges affecting enterprise growth by examining fees and requirements in coordination with the relevant authorities and developing mechanisms to support fees based on carefully considered criteria. The initiative is intended to ease the financial burdens associated with doing business and create a more favorable environment for companies’ growth and sustainability.

He said the initiatives work together to address a range of factors linked to business growth, from the operating environment to opportunities, markets and value chains, strengthening SMEs’ ability to grow and expand while increasing their competitiveness and contribution to the national economy.

Markets after financing

Financial and economic adviser Hussein Al-Attas told Asharq Al-Awsat that the increase in financing directed toward SMEs reflected clear progress in Saudi Arabia’s financing ecosystem, but the challenge was no longer financing alone. Rather, it was an enterprise’s ability to turn that financing into sustainable growth.

Al-Attas explained that an enterprise needs three interconnected elements: appropriate financing, access to markets, and operational and competitive capacity.

He said a company may secure financing, but in the next stage it needs contracts and sales opportunities that allow it to increase revenue, alongside managerial and technological development to boost productivity and the ability to manage cash flows and expand without allowing growth to become a financial burden.

Al-Attas added that access to markets and contracts represents the link most closely associated with an enterprise’s transition from survival to growth. Financing gives a business the capacity to act, while contracts and markets turn that capacity into revenue and cash flow.

He further stated that greater SME participation in government procurement and the supply chains of large companies, along with opening export channels, could have a direct impact on their ability to expand, alongside efforts to reduce the cost of doing business and raise productivity.

The next phase requires moving from the concept of “financing the enterprise” to “financing the enterprise’s growth,” he underlined, meaning that financing should be linked to markets, contracts, technology, productivity and expansion.

Strategy broadens its scope

The focus on markets forms part of the wider National Strategy for Entrepreneurship and SMEs, which includes 13 initiatives addressing sector challenges in access to markets and opportunities, financing, the business environment, innovation, data and expansion.

The strategy also aims to raise SMEs’ contribution to gross domestic product to 35% by 2030 and create more than 500,000 direct and indirect jobs.

Some initiatives seek to turn market access from a broad objective into direct contracting opportunities by qualifying enterprises and connecting them with the supply chains of large companies and projects.

This approach is reflected in Monsha’at’s Jadeer service, which aims to improve businesses’ readiness, qualify them to enter supply chains and enable them to benefit from procurement opportunities.

The equation for SME growth therefore does not stop at increasing available financing. It also depends on businesses’ ability to use that financing first to fund operations, then gain access to demand and contracts, improve productivity and reduce costs before moving into expansion and investment.

This reflects a shift from addressing the financing gap to addressing the growth gap: liquidity gives an enterprise the ability to continue operating and move forward, while access to markets and operational efficiency determine its ability to turn financing into revenue and sustainable growth.


OECD Lifts 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 2.9% Despite Mideast War

OECD Lifts 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 2.9% Despite Mideast War
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OECD Lifts 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 2.9% Despite Mideast War

OECD Lifts 2026 Global Growth Forecast to 2.9% Despite Mideast War

Economic growth has remained "resilient" in many countries despite the war in the Middle East, the OECD said Wednesday as it slightly raised its GDP forecasts for the year.

Global economic growth is now seen at 2.9 percent, a 0.1-point increase from estimates in June by the Paris-based group of 38 industrialized countries.

Even though energy prices have soared since the United States and Israel launched strikes against Iran last February, the OECD noted that "broader financial conditions remain supportive", as seen in rising equity markets and continued access to credit.

"Sizeable oil inventories, additional supply from outside the Gulf economies and discretionary government support measures all helped to cushion the impact on the global economy," the group said in its quarterly update.

It also cited the massive investments in artificial intelligence and the resulting boost to production and trade, which could result in "stronger growth than projected".

But global growth has slowed sharply from the 3.4 percent chalked up last year, and the group trimmed its 2027 growth forecast by 0.1 percentage point, to three percent.

Governments have started raising interest rates to contain inflation pressures stemming from high oil and gas prices, which have sent diesel and other fuel costs to highs not seen in years.

That has sent government bond yields to levels not seen since the global financial crisis of 2007-2008, pushing up borrowing costs even as countries worldwide grapple with high debt and deficits.

"Rising bond yields underline more than ever the need for enhanced efforts to contain and reallocate government spending, improve public-sector efficiency and strengthen revenues to ensure longer-term debt sustainability and maintain the ability of governments to react to significant shocks," the OECD said.

It also warned of prolonged inflation if the Mideast war continues, with price increases in the G20 group of developing and emerging economies seen at 4.1 percent overall this year.

"Other significant downside risks include potential weather-related supply shocks, including a very strong El Nino, that adversely impact agricultural production and add to rising food price pressures," AFP quoted it as saying.

For the United States, it expects GDP to expand 2.2 percent this year, up 0.2 points from its June forecast, while the eurozone could see growth of one percent, also up 0.2 points.

Japan's growth is now seen at 0.8 percent, up 0.2 points, while the forecast for the Chinese economy, the world's second largest, was held steady at 4.5 percent.

For the G20, the OECD sees growth of 3.1 percent.


IMF: Egypt Absorbs Economic Shocks of War

A man walks past a traditional sidewalk kiosk in Cairo on September 18, 2026 (AFP)
A man walks past a traditional sidewalk kiosk in Cairo on September 18, 2026 (AFP)
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IMF: Egypt Absorbs Economic Shocks of War

A man walks past a traditional sidewalk kiosk in Cairo on September 18, 2026 (AFP)
A man walks past a traditional sidewalk kiosk in Cairo on September 18, 2026 (AFP)

Egypt has weathered one of the region's largest recent economic shocks without a broader downturn, benefiting from improved international reserves, exchange rate flexibility, and a swift policy response.

However, the economy’s ability to remain resilient will continue to depend on addressing chronic weaknesses, including high public debt, large financing needs, the banking sector’s elevated exposure to the government, and the expanding role of the state in economic activity.

The findings were published in a country focus prepared by Amine Mati, IMF’s mission chief for Egypt, and Yevgeniya Korniyenko, a senior economist at the IMF’s Middle East and Central Asia Department.

Entitled ‘Resilience Under Pressure: Egypt's Economy Defied Expectations,’ the two economists found that policy reforms undertaken under the IMF-supported program had strengthened growth, put inflation on a downward path, and helped rebuild international reserves and improve banks’ foreign asset positions.

Also, the IMF’s latest assessments indicate that gross financing needs are expected to remain around 40% of GDP in the near term and decline only gradually to below 30% by 2030. More broadly, the state footprint in the economy remains excessively high.

Economy Absorbs Shocks

According to the IMF, Egypt entered the latest period of regional conflict in a stronger macroeconomic position than during previous episodes of external stress.

The Fund said policy reforms undertaken under its-supported program had strengthened growth, put inflation on a downward path, and helped rebuild international reserves and improve banks’ foreign asset positions.

Also, the Fund noted that financial markets reacted sharply.

“Nonresident holdings of local-currency government debt fell from $39.1 billion in February to $22.2 billion in early April, while the Egyptian pound depreciated by about 14–17%,” it wrote.

As pressures eased, portfolio inflows resumed, non-resident holdings returned to near pre-conflict levels, and the pound recovered much of its initial losses.

The IMF linked this performance to the fact that exchange rate flexibility absorbed external pressures, while energy price adjustments in the wake of higher international oil prices, spending restraint, and expanded targeted support helped preserve policy discipline.

Non-Stop Growth

In its country focus, the IMF found that the financial shock in Egypt did not spill over into a broader economic downturn.

“Growth remained strong, reaching 5.0% in the third quarter of FY2025/26, while tourism stayed resilient, remittances surged to record highs, and Suez Canal activity continued its gradual recovery following some temporary disruption amid the regional turmoil,” it wrote.

Also, fiscal pressures were contained through revenue mobilization and expenditure restraint.

As for inflation, it rose in response to the currency depreciation and energy price adjustments, but the increase proved less severe than expected, although the path back to the inflation target was pushed back by a year.

Crucially, the IMF said, international reserves remained comfortably above adequate levels despite initial capital outflows, reflecting exchange rate flexibility in absorbing external pressures—a key difference from past episodes.

Gross Financing Needs Still High

The latest shock demonstrated Egypt’s improved resilience, but significant vulnerabilities remain, the IMF found.

It said public debt and gross financing needs are still high, financing relies heavily on short maturities, and banks’ exposure to the government remains elevated.

The fund warned that these vulnerabilities—particularly amid heightened global uncertainty—leave Egypt exposed to shifts in global financing conditions and renewed external shocks, while reinforcing the sovereign-bank nexus and increasing the risk of fiscal dominance.

Large government financing needs can also crowd out private sector credit and investment, it said.

The report found that reducing public debt and high gross financing needs will require stronger debt management, with a shift toward longer-term, market-based financing, a broader investor base, and deeper domestic debt markets to reduce refinancing risks and strengthen debt sustainability.

Most importantly, it said, “more decisive implementation of the State Ownership Policy and divestment program, stronger governance of state-owned enterprises, and greater competition will be critical to reducing the state’s footprint and creating the conditions for stronger private sector led growth.”