Egypt Inflation Soars to 5-year High

Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)
Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)
TT

Egypt Inflation Soars to 5-year High

Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)
Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)

Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February from 25.8 percent in January, its highest in five and a half years, according to official data published by statistics agency CAPMAS on Thursday.

The government, meanwhile, has declared that the state is ready to provide new "support packages” to the people.

The soaring inflation follows a series of currency devaluations starting in March 2022, a prolonged shortage of foreign currency, and a continuing backlog of getting imports out of ports.

The Egyptian pound has fallen by nearly 50 percent since March 2022.

Economists had expected a reading of 26.7 percent, according to the median forecast in a Reuters poll of 14.

Six analysts had forecast February core inflation of 32.85 percent.

Mounting inflation could put pressure on the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee to raise interest rates when it next meets on March 30.

At its last meeting on Feb. 2, the central bank kept its lending rate at 17.25 percent and the deposit rate at 16.25 percent, saying its hikes of 800 basis points over the last year should help to tame inflation.

Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said that the recently announced social support package by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is “the biggest in the history of the country”.

Sisi urged at the beginning of this month the government to prepare a package to raise state and private wages and pensions, starting from April, by a minimum of 1,000 Egyptian pounds, as well as a 15 percent increase in pensions, and increasing the tax exemption allowance on annual income to 30,000 pounds from 24,000 pounds.



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
TT

Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.