Egypt Inflation Soars to 5-year High

Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)
Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)
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Egypt Inflation Soars to 5-year High

Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)
Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February. (AP)

Egypt's official annual headline inflation rate leaped to 31.9 percent in February from 25.8 percent in January, its highest in five and a half years, according to official data published by statistics agency CAPMAS on Thursday.

The government, meanwhile, has declared that the state is ready to provide new "support packages” to the people.

The soaring inflation follows a series of currency devaluations starting in March 2022, a prolonged shortage of foreign currency, and a continuing backlog of getting imports out of ports.

The Egyptian pound has fallen by nearly 50 percent since March 2022.

Economists had expected a reading of 26.7 percent, according to the median forecast in a Reuters poll of 14.

Six analysts had forecast February core inflation of 32.85 percent.

Mounting inflation could put pressure on the central bank's Monetary Policy Committee to raise interest rates when it next meets on March 30.

At its last meeting on Feb. 2, the central bank kept its lending rate at 17.25 percent and the deposit rate at 16.25 percent, saying its hikes of 800 basis points over the last year should help to tame inflation.

Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said that the recently announced social support package by President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi is “the biggest in the history of the country”.

Sisi urged at the beginning of this month the government to prepare a package to raise state and private wages and pensions, starting from April, by a minimum of 1,000 Egyptian pounds, as well as a 15 percent increase in pensions, and increasing the tax exemption allowance on annual income to 30,000 pounds from 24,000 pounds.



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports soared to a two-year high in May, reaching SAR 28.89 billion (USD 7.70 billion), marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase compared to May 2023.

On a monthly basis, non-oil exports surged by 26.93% from April.

This growth contributed to Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, reaching SAR 34.5 billion (USD 9.1 billion) in May, following 18 months of decline.

The enhancement of the non-oil private sector remains a key focus for Saudi Arabia as it continues its efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.

In 2023, non-oil activities in Saudi Arabia contributed 50% to the country’s real GDP, the highest level ever recorded, according to the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s analysis of data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan emphasized at the “Future Investment Initiative” in October that the Kingdom is now prioritizing the development of the non-oil sector over GDP figures, in line with its Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

A report by Moody’s highlighted Saudi Arabia’s extensive efforts to transform its economic structure, reduce dependency on oil, and boost non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, and real estate.

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics’ monthly report on international trade noted a 5.8% growth in merchandise exports in May compared to the same period last year, driven by a 4.9% increase in oil exports, which totaled SAR 75.9 billion in May 2024.

The change reflects movements in global oil prices, while production levels remained steady at under 9 million barrels per day since the OPEC+ alliance began a voluntary reduction in crude supply to maintain prices. Production is set to gradually increase starting in early October.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports rose by 3.3% from April to May, supported by a 26.9% increase in non-oil exports. This rise was bolstered by a surge in re-exports, which reached SAR 10.2 billion, the highest level for this category since 2017.

The share of oil exports in total exports declined to 72.4% in May from 73% in the same month last year.

Moreover, the value of re-exported goods increased by 33.9% during the same period.