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Egypt Confirms Drop in Unemployment

An employee arranges freshly baked flatbread in front of a bakery in the downtown district of Cairo, on March 12, 2023. (AFP)
An employee arranges freshly baked flatbread in front of a bakery in the downtown district of Cairo, on March 12, 2023. (AFP)
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Egypt Confirms Drop in Unemployment

An employee arranges freshly baked flatbread in front of a bakery in the downtown district of Cairo, on March 12, 2023. (AFP)
An employee arranges freshly baked flatbread in front of a bakery in the downtown district of Cairo, on March 12, 2023. (AFP)

Egypt announced that unemployment rates dropped to the lowest in nearly 19 years, citing several international institutions that projected further job growth in the coming years.

The Cabinet Media Center published a report noting a positive change in the international view of the country's unemployment and employment levels.

The World Bank expected unemployment to continue to decline, reaching seven percent, by the year 2023/2024, noting that the impact of the initial shock of the coronavirus pandemic on unemployment has started to recede.

The report reviewed the quarterly unemployment rate in Egypt and stated that it is at its lowest level since 2004.

The unemployment rate reached 7.2 percent in the first, second, and fourth quarters of 2022, 7.4 percent during the third quarter, 7.4 percent in the first and fourth quarters of 2021, 7.3 percent in the second quarter, and 7.5 percent in the third quarter.

The center attributed the decline to state efforts in adopting a national strategy to confront unemployment. The strategy aims to achieve sustainable development plans and work through systematic foundations to address the needs of the labor market, qualify the working cadres and raise their efficiency and readiness.

It quoted the "Oxford Business Group" as saying that Egypt could benefit from its economic potential within the framework of generating considerable and sustainable social benefits, evident through the drop in unemployment rates.

The Group said Egypt needed to reduce unemployment, which reached 12.6 percent in 2016 and should focus on vocational training to prepare skilled workers.

The report reviewed the most important indicators of the labor market, with the labor force increasing by 9.4 percent, or 30.3 million individuals, in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 27.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2014.

The number of workers increased by 17 percent, or 28.2 million individuals, in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 24.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2014.

Unemployed individuals decreased by 38.9 percent, reaching 2.2 million in the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to 3.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2014.

The report discussed the most important economic activities contributing to creating new job opportunities, reviewing the most important economic activities to which the most significant number of workers shifted during the fourth quarter of 2022.

Moreover, about 233,000 workers shifted to work in agriculture and forest exploitation, 126,000 to education, 66,000 to electricity and gas supply, and 62,000 changed their occupation to construction.

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Federal Reserve Cuts Key Interest Rate by a Quarter-point

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attends a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, US, November 7, 2024. REUTERS/Annabelle Gordon
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attends a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, US, November 7, 2024. REUTERS/Annabelle Gordon
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Federal Reserve Cuts Key Interest Rate by a Quarter-point

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attends a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, US, November 7, 2024. REUTERS/Annabelle Gordon
US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attends a press conference following a two-day meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee on interest rate policy in Washington, US, November 7, 2024. REUTERS/Annabelle Gordon

The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate Thursday by a quarter-point in response to the steady decline in the once-high inflation that had angered Americans and helped drive Donald Trump’s presidential election victory this week.
The rate cut follows a larger half-point reduction in September, and it reflects the Fed’s renewed focus on supporting the job market as well as fighting inflation, which now barely exceeds the central bank’s 2% target, The Associated Press reported.
Asked at a news conference how Trump's election might affect the Fed's policymaking, Chair Jerome Powell said that "in the near term, the election will have no effects on our (interest rate) decisions.”
But Trump’s election, beyond its economic consequences, has raised the specter of meddling by the White House in the Fed’s policy decisions. Trump has argued that as president, he should have a voice in the central bank’s interest rate decisions. The Fed has long guarded its role as an independent agency able to make difficult decisions about borrowing rates, free from political interference. Yet in his previous term in the White House, Trump publicly attacked Powell after the Fed raised rates to fight inflation, and he may do so again.
Asked whether he would resign if Trump asked him to, Powell, who will have a year left in his second four-year term as Fed chair when Trump takes office, replied simply, “No.”
And Powell said that in his view, Trump could not fire or demote him: It would “not be permitted under the law,” he said.
Thursday’s Fed rate cut reduced its benchmark rate to about 4.6%, down from a four-decade high of 5.3%. The Fed had kept its rate that high for more than a year to fight the worst inflation streak in four decades. Annual inflation has since fallen from a 9.1% peak in mid-2022 to a 3 1/2-year low of 2.4% in September.
When its latest policy meeting ended Thursday, the Fed issued a statement noting that the "unemployment rate has moved up but remains low,” and while inflation has fallen closer to the 2% target level, it “remains somewhat elevated.”
After their rate cut in September — their first such move in more than four years — the policymakers had projected that they would make further quarter-point cuts in November and December and four more next year. But with the economy now mostly solid and Wall Street anticipating faster growth, larger budget deficits and higher inflation under a Trump presidency, further rate cuts may have become less likely. Rate cuts by the Fed typically lead over time to lower borrowing costs for consumers and businesses.
Powell declined to be pinned down Thursday on whether the Fed would proceed with an additional quarter-point rate cut in December or the four rate cuts its policymakers penciled in for 2025.