Fears of SVB’s Collapse Having Repercussions on Arab Countries

 Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)
Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)
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Fears of SVB’s Collapse Having Repercussions on Arab Countries

 Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)
Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)

The collapse of the California-based Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has fueled fears among customers, depositors, and technology companies regarding the economic level in the US. They also worry about the announced bankruptcy having a contagion effect in wider regions of the world.

The Arab region does not seem immune to the repercussions, as banks in Kuwait disclosed minor exposures to SVB's bankruptcy.

Arab world banks and investment institutions have expressed caution towards SVB’s economic failure.

The fallout of SVB's insolvency will widen, specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat, adding that its impact will reach the business environment and the banking sector worldwide.

Experts noted that the business and financial environments in the Arab and Gulf regions would each be affected differently.

“SVB’s collapse highlights potential risks to the financial sector and potential implications for global financial stability,” said Fadel bin Saad al-Buainain, Saudi Shura Council member.

“Whatever has been said about controlling the bank’s crisis and limiting its repercussions on the banking system, that saying lacks relevance for two reasons,” he added.

The two reasons cited by al-Buainain include the overlapping of the components of financial sectors, which aggravates exposure to risks, and panic driving depositors to withdraw their money out of fear of being written off due to the bankruptcy of banks.

“I think that the panic that afflicted depositors may have an impact that exceeds the impact of the collapse of the bank,” revealed al-Buainain.

“We find that panic hit financial markets and made investors more cautious,” he added, noting that “this may dry up the market and increase repercussions.”

Al-Buainain clarified that raising interest rates had made investors less willing to invest and take risks and that the tightening of monetary policy may be one of the causes of what happened recently.



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
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Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.