Fears of SVB’s Collapse Having Repercussions on Arab Countries

 Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)
Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)
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Fears of SVB’s Collapse Having Repercussions on Arab Countries

 Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)
Anticipation for disclosures of the investment sectors and financial activities in the Arab countries due to the resounding bankruptcy of the Silicon Valley Bank (Reuters)

The collapse of the California-based Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) has fueled fears among customers, depositors, and technology companies regarding the economic level in the US. They also worry about the announced bankruptcy having a contagion effect in wider regions of the world.

The Arab region does not seem immune to the repercussions, as banks in Kuwait disclosed minor exposures to SVB's bankruptcy.

Arab world banks and investment institutions have expressed caution towards SVB’s economic failure.

The fallout of SVB's insolvency will widen, specialists told Asharq Al-Awsat, adding that its impact will reach the business environment and the banking sector worldwide.

Experts noted that the business and financial environments in the Arab and Gulf regions would each be affected differently.

“SVB’s collapse highlights potential risks to the financial sector and potential implications for global financial stability,” said Fadel bin Saad al-Buainain, Saudi Shura Council member.

“Whatever has been said about controlling the bank’s crisis and limiting its repercussions on the banking system, that saying lacks relevance for two reasons,” he added.

The two reasons cited by al-Buainain include the overlapping of the components of financial sectors, which aggravates exposure to risks, and panic driving depositors to withdraw their money out of fear of being written off due to the bankruptcy of banks.

“I think that the panic that afflicted depositors may have an impact that exceeds the impact of the collapse of the bank,” revealed al-Buainain.

“We find that panic hit financial markets and made investors more cautious,” he added, noting that “this may dry up the market and increase repercussions.”

Al-Buainain clarified that raising interest rates had made investors less willing to invest and take risks and that the tightening of monetary policy may be one of the causes of what happened recently.



Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
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Saudi Non-Oil Exports Hit Two-Year High

The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)
The King Abdulaziz Port in Dammam, eastern Saudi Arabia. (“Mawani” port authority)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports soared to a two-year high in May, reaching SAR 28.89 billion (USD 7.70 billion), marking an 8.2% year-on-year increase compared to May 2023.

On a monthly basis, non-oil exports surged by 26.93% from April.

This growth contributed to Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus, which recorded a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, reaching SAR 34.5 billion (USD 9.1 billion) in May, following 18 months of decline.

The enhancement of the non-oil private sector remains a key focus for Saudi Arabia as it continues its efforts to diversify its economy and reduce reliance on oil revenues.

In 2023, non-oil activities in Saudi Arabia contributed 50% to the country’s real GDP, the highest level ever recorded, according to the Ministry of Economy and Planning’s analysis of data from the General Authority for Statistics.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan emphasized at the “Future Investment Initiative” in October that the Kingdom is now prioritizing the development of the non-oil sector over GDP figures, in line with its Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

A report by Moody’s highlighted Saudi Arabia’s extensive efforts to transform its economic structure, reduce dependency on oil, and boost non-oil sectors such as industry, tourism, and real estate.

The Saudi General Authority for Statistics’ monthly report on international trade noted a 5.8% growth in merchandise exports in May compared to the same period last year, driven by a 4.9% increase in oil exports, which totaled SAR 75.9 billion in May 2024.

The change reflects movements in global oil prices, while production levels remained steady at under 9 million barrels per day since the OPEC+ alliance began a voluntary reduction in crude supply to maintain prices. Production is set to gradually increase starting in early October.

On a monthly basis, merchandise exports rose by 3.3% from April to May, supported by a 26.9% increase in non-oil exports. This rise was bolstered by a surge in re-exports, which reached SAR 10.2 billion, the highest level for this category since 2017.

The share of oil exports in total exports declined to 72.4% in May from 73% in the same month last year.

Moreover, the value of re-exported goods increased by 33.9% during the same period.