Economic Development in Iraq Requires Energy Transition

Energy production gap in Iraq likely to increase, reinforcing the transition to renewable sources (AP)
Energy production gap in Iraq likely to increase, reinforcing the transition to renewable sources (AP)
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Economic Development in Iraq Requires Energy Transition

Energy production gap in Iraq likely to increase, reinforcing the transition to renewable sources (AP)
Energy production gap in Iraq likely to increase, reinforcing the transition to renewable sources (AP)

Iraq is one of the world’s largest energy exporters and has the potential to be a reliable global source for energy production and distribution, according to the Managing Director of Siemens Energy in the Middle East Dietmar Siersdorfer.

The Middle Eastern country, however, faces many challenges to secure energy at the local level and in many areas at the state level.

Iraq’s energy production capacity currently stands at about 24 gigawatts, with a shortage of 8 gigawatts. As energy demand is expected to grow to 57 gigawatts by 2030, the gap between production and demand will likely widen unless quick measures are taken.

Siersdorfer added that access to stable and reliable energy is necessary since it helps societies thrive and develop homes, schools, hospitals, and other industrial sectors.

The energy expert noted that Iraq needs to boost its capacity for energy production. This, according to Siersdorfer, requires initially increasing the use of conventional sources while working on a gradual transition toward renewable energy sources.

“It is necessary to take advantage of associated gas and raise the capacity of national transmission networks to provide electricity to all parts of Iraq,” said Siersdorfer, adding that the country must enhance the ability of networks to secure electricity more effectively.

Siersdorfer also recommended reducing waste and raising the operational efficiency of power plants.

After taking these steps, Iraq may shift towards a renewable energy transition.

Siemens Energy has been operating in Iraq’s energy generation and security field for a century.

Siersdorfer added that to move towards renewable energy, it is necessary to first take advantage of tech solutions available to increase energy production efficiency from conventional sources.

The managing director noted that Iraq has abundant natural gas reserves.

“Emissions can be reduced by undertaking many initiatives, including the use of associated gas for energy generation,” explained Siersdorfer, affirming that “the shift towards renewable energy will contribute to building more prosperous societies in Iraq and achieving social and economic development in the country.”

Iraq currently uses more than 40% of its natural gas resources. This is a significant source of carbon emissions, but it offers an excellent opportunity for the country to remove carbon by converting associated gas into energy.
If Iraq does so, it will reduce both costs and carbon emissions.

Siersdorfer noted that Iraq could reduce emissions, achieve economic recovery, and put itself on an accelerated path toward renewable energy.

“The national grid’s infrastructure must be developed to ensure that energy reaches every region in Iraq. The electricity supply must be flexible, efficient, and stable,” he said, adding that this was vital in light of increasing reliance on renewable energy.

Siersdorfer affirmed that the Iraqi government is keen to move towards renewable energy sources.

Last week, Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad al-Sudani announced government plans for a regional conference on climate change in Baghdad in the near future.

The conference will focus on enhancing cooperation and joint coordination and exchanging experiences and programs between regional countries confronting climate impacts.

Al-Sudani pointed out that the government is proceeding with efforts to confront climate change and mitigate its effects.

In this regard, he said that the country had implemented several solutions to alleviate climate change’s economic, environmental, and social fallout.

The premier also called for following up on everything related to implementing the Iraqi vision for climate action, especially clean and renewable energy projects.

Moreover, Siersdorfer stressed the need to ensure that significant assets invested in constructing gas-fired power plants uphold high standards in the long term.

He added that energy storage solutions would grow in size and feasibility as technology advances, and new industrial opportunities would emerge.

Siersdorfer pointed out that technology gives gas-fired power plants a new lease of life in a zero-emissions world. He emphasized that special gas turbines use hydrogen up to 75%.

He added that Siemens Energy aims to reach 100% by 2030 to protect Iraq’s energy infrastructure in the future.

Siersdorfer believes that working with the Iraqi government will enable acquiring long-term benefits that extend beyond energy provision.

These benefits include qualifying cadres, providing job opportunities, and accelerating the pace of economic transformation in Iraq.

Siersdorfer highlighted the importance of cooperation in accelerating the implementation of Iraq’s energy agenda.



IMF Chief Sees Steady World Growth in 2025, Continuing Disinflation

 People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
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IMF Chief Sees Steady World Growth in 2025, Continuing Disinflation

 People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)
People visit the lantern festival at the Beijing's Wenyuhe Park in Beijing on January 4, 2025, to welcome the upcoming Chinese New Year on January 29, marking the beginning of the Year of the Snake. (AFP)

The International Monetary Fund will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook on Jan. 17, IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told reporters on Friday.

Georgieva said the US economy was doing "quite a bit better" than expected, although there was high uncertainty around the trade policies of the administration of President-elect Donald Trump that was adding to headwinds facing the global economy and driving long-term interest rates higher.

With inflation moving closer to the US Federal Reserve's target, and data showing a stable labor market, the Fed could afford to wait for more data before undertaking further interest rate cuts, she said. Overall, interest rates were expected to stay "somewhat higher for quite some time," she said.

The IMF will release an update to its global outlook on Jan. 17, just days before Trump takes office. Georgieva's comments are the first indication this year of the IMF's evolving global outlook, but she gave no detailed projections.

In October, the IMF raised its 2024 economic growth forecasts for the US, Brazil and Britain but cut them for China, Japan and the euro zone, citing risks from potential new trade wars, armed conflicts and tight monetary policy.

At the time, it left its forecast for 2024 global growth unchanged at the 3.2% projected in July, and lowered its global forecast for 3.2% growth in 2025 by one-tenth of a percentage point, warning that global medium-term growth would fade to 3.1% in five years, well below its pre-pandemic trend.

"Not surprisingly, given the size and role of the US economy, there is keen interest globally in the policy directions of the incoming administration, in particular on tariffs, taxes, deregulation and government efficiency," Georgieva said.

"This uncertainty is particularly high around the path for trade policy going forward, adding to the headwinds facing the global economy, especially for countries and regions that are more integrated in global supply chains, medium-sized economies, (and) Asia as a region."

Georgieva said it was "very unusual" that this uncertainty was expressed in higher long-term interest rates even though short-term interest rates had gone down, a trend not seen in recent history.

The IMF saw divergent trends in different regions, with growth expected to stall somewhat in the European Union and to weaken "a little" in India, while Brazil was facing somewhat higher inflation, Georgieva said.

In China, the world's second-largest economy after the United States, the IMF was seeing deflationary pressure and ongoing challenges with domestic demand, she said.

Lower-income countries, despite reform efforts, were in a position where any new shocks would hit them "quite negatively," she said.

Georgieva said it was notable that higher interest rates needed to combat inflation had not pushed the global economy into recession, but headline inflation developments were divergent, which meant central bankers needed to carefully monitor local data.

The strong US dollar could potentially result in higher funding costs for emerging market economies and especially low-income countries, she said.

Most countries needed to cut fiscal spending after high outlays during the COVID pandemic and adopt reforms to boost growth in a durable way, she said, adding that in most cases this could be done while protecting their growth prospects.

"Countries cannot borrow their way out. They can only grow out of this problem," she said, noting that the medium-growth prospects for the world were the lowest seen in decades.