Iraqi Kurdistan Region’s Oil Output at Risk after Türkiye Halts Pipeline Exports

An oil field is seen in Kirkuk, Iraq October 18, 2017. (Reuters)
An oil field is seen in Kirkuk, Iraq October 18, 2017. (Reuters)
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Iraqi Kurdistan Region’s Oil Output at Risk after Türkiye Halts Pipeline Exports

An oil field is seen in Kirkuk, Iraq October 18, 2017. (Reuters)
An oil field is seen in Kirkuk, Iraq October 18, 2017. (Reuters)

Oil production in Iraq's semi-autonomous Kurdistan region (KRI) is at risk after a halt in northern exports has forced firms operating there to cease output or divert crude to storage, where capacity is limited.

Iraq was forced to halt around 450,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude exports, or half a percent of global oil supply, from the KRI on Saturday through an export pipeline that runs from its northern Kirkuk oil fields to the Turkish port of Ceyhan.

Oil firms in the region have been left in limbo as the pipeline stoppage is set to continue until Ankara, Baghdad and the KRG find a settlement to resume exports.

Türkiye stopped pumping Iraqi crude from the pipeline after Iraq won an arbitration case in which it said Türkiye had violated a joint agreement by allowing the Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) to export oil to Ceyhan without Baghdad's consent.

The news supported crude prices, with Brent rising over $3 per barrel on Monday.

Canada-based Forza Petroleum, formerly Oryx Petroleum Corporation, said on Monday it was shutting in production from the 14,500 bpd Hawler license in the KRI as storage was nearing full capacity.

Dallas-based HKN Energy, which operates the Sarsang block, said it would shut in operations "within a week if no resolution is reached" as its storage facilities approach capacity.

The block produced 43,038 bpd in the fourth quarter of last year.

HKN wrote to US representatives last year warning that a cessation of exports through the pipeline would trigger a collapse of the KRI economy.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum, which operates the 55,000 bpd Shaikan field in the KRI, said in a statement on Monday that its "facilities have storage capacity that allow continued production at a curtailed rate over the coming days, after which the company will suspend production".

DNO and Genel Energy said they were storing oil in tanks, which can accommodate several days of production.

The two firms hold stakes in the Tawke and Peshkabir fields, which produced 107,000 bpd of oil last year.

Genel also holds stakes in the Taq Taq and Sarta fields, which produced a respective 4,500 bpd and 4,710 bpd last year, according to the company's annual results.

Production at the Khurmala oil field run by Kurdish group Kar was unaffected at around 135,000 bpd and heading into tank, a source familiar with the field operations told Reuters.

Shamaran Petroleum said in a statement: "The company will remain in close contact with the other oil producers in the Kurdistan Region and with relevant government officials, and will continue to monitor this situation closely."



Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
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Saudi Transport, Logistics Sector Set for 10% Growth in Q2

An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)
An investor monitors a trading screen at the Saudi financial market in Riyadh. (AFP)

As Saudi companies start reporting their Q2 financial results, experts are optimistic about the transport and logistics sector. They expect a 10% annual growth, with total net profits reaching around SAR 900 million ($240 million), driven by tourism and an economic corridor project.

In Q1, the seven listed transport and logistics companies in Saudi Arabia showed positive results, with combined profits increasing by 5.8% to SAR 818.7 million ($218 million) compared to the previous year.

Four companies reported profit growth, while three saw declines, including two with losses, according to Arbah Capital.

Al Rajhi Capital projects significant gains for Q2 compared to last year: Lumi Rental’s profits are expected to rise by 31% to SAR 65 million, SAL’s by 76% to SAR 192 million, and Theeb’s by 23% to SAR 37 million.

On the other hand, Aljazira Capital predicts a 13% decrease in Lumi Rental’s net profit to SAR 43 million, despite a 44% rise in revenue. This is due to higher operational costs post-IPO.

SAL’s annual profit is expected to grow by 76% to SAR 191.6 million, driven by a 29% increase in revenue and higher profit margins.

Aljazira Capital also expects a 2.8% drop in the sector’s net profit from Q1 due to lower profits for SAL and Seera, caused by reduced revenue and profit margins.

Mohammad Al Farraj, Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the sector’s continued profit growth is supported by seasonal factors like summer travel and higher demand for transport services.

He predicts Q2 profits will reach around SAR 900 million ($240 million), up 10% from Q1.

Al Farraj highlighted that the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), linking India with the GCC and Europe, is expected to boost sector growth by improving trade and transport connections.

However, he warned that companies may still face challenges, including rising costs and workforce shortages.