OPEC+ Unlikely to Tweak Oil Policy in Monday Talks

Trucks wait outside the Guwahati Refinery operated by Indian Oil Corporation, in Guwahati on March 30, 2023. (Photo by Biju BORO / AFP)
Trucks wait outside the Guwahati Refinery operated by Indian Oil Corporation, in Guwahati on March 30, 2023. (Photo by Biju BORO / AFP)
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OPEC+ Unlikely to Tweak Oil Policy in Monday Talks

Trucks wait outside the Guwahati Refinery operated by Indian Oil Corporation, in Guwahati on March 30, 2023. (Photo by Biju BORO / AFP)
Trucks wait outside the Guwahati Refinery operated by Indian Oil Corporation, in Guwahati on March 30, 2023. (Photo by Biju BORO / AFP)

OPEC+ is likely to stick to its existing deal to cut oil output at a meeting on Monday, five delegates from the producer group told Reuters, after oil prices recovered following a drop to 15-month lows.

Oil has recovered towards $80 a barrel for Brent crude after falling to near $70 on March 20, as fears ease about a global banking crisis and as a halt in exports from Iraq's Kurdistan region curbs supplies.

OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies led by Russia, is due to hold a virtual meeting of its ministerial monitoring panel, which includes Russia and Saudi Arabia, on Monday.

"It is hard to expect any new development," one of the delegates said of Monday's talks. Another said the Kurdistan curbs and recent price drops were not sufficiently important to affect the overall OPEC+ policy path for 2023.

Three other OPEC+ delegates also said any policy changes were unlikely on Monday. After those talks, the next full OPEC+ meeting is not until June.

Falling oil prices are a problem for most OPEC+ members because their economies rely heavily on oil revenue.

Even so, OPEC+ delegates did not raise any suggestion of further action to support the market after the recent price drop and predicted prices would stabilize - which they have since shown signs of doing.

Last November, OPEC+ reduced its output target by 2 million barrels per day - the largest cut since the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The same reduction applies for the whole of 2023.



Trump Says US in Transition Period, Downplays Impact of Short-term Recession

US President Donald Trump reacts next to coal industry workers, on the day he signs energy-related executive orders at the White House in Washington, D.C., US, April 8, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo
US President Donald Trump reacts next to coal industry workers, on the day he signs energy-related executive orders at the White House in Washington, D.C., US, April 8, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo
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Trump Says US in Transition Period, Downplays Impact of Short-term Recession

US President Donald Trump reacts next to coal industry workers, on the day he signs energy-related executive orders at the White House in Washington, D.C., US, April 8, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo
US President Donald Trump reacts next to coal industry workers, on the day he signs energy-related executive orders at the White House in Washington, D.C., US, April 8, 2025. REUTERS/Nathan Howard/File Photo

President Donald Trump said the US was in a "transition period" and was going to do "fantastically" while downplaying the impact any short-term recession may have.

When asked during an interview with NBC News whether it would be OK to have a recession in the short term, Trump said: "Look, yeah, it's — everything's OK. What we are — I said, this is a transition period. I think we're going to do fantastically."

Trump's comment on the US economy being in a transition period echoed comments he made earlier on Friday in a social media post, in which he also cited strong employment and reiterated his call for the U.S. Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, Reuters reported.

"We’re only in a transition stage, just getting started!" he said in a Truth Social post. The post followed the release of US data that showed job growth slowed marginally for April.

Trump, who just passed his 100th day in office, has faced growing public discontent over his handling of the economy, with many economists predicting a wide range of tariffs imposed in recent months will drive up inflation and slow growth.