Russia to Use Dubai Benchmark in Indian Oil Deal

An oil tanker moored in the Russian Sheschares complex (AP)
An oil tanker moored in the Russian Sheschares complex (AP)
TT
20

Russia to Use Dubai Benchmark in Indian Oil Deal

An oil tanker moored in the Russian Sheschares complex (AP)
An oil tanker moored in the Russian Sheschares complex (AP)

Russia's largest oil producer Rosneft and India's top refiner Indian Oil Corp agreed to use the Dubai oil price benchmark in their latest deal to deliver Russian oil to India, three sources familiar with the matter said.

The decision by the two state-controlled companies to abandon the Europe-dominated Brent benchmark is part of a shift of Russia's oil sales towards Asia after Europe shunned Russian oil following Russia's invasion of Ukraine more than a year ago.

The two benchmarks are dollar-denominated and set by S&P Platts for energy data. European oil majors and traders mainly use a unit of US-based S&P Global, but Brent, whereas Dubai is heavily influenced by Asian and Middle Eastern oil trading.

Rosneft's CEO, Igor Sechin, said in February that the price of Russian oil would be determined outside of Europe as Asia has emerged as the largest buyer of Russian crude since the West imposed progressively tighter sanctions on the export.

Under the new deal, announced on March 29, Rosneft will nearly double oil sales to Indian Oil Corp, two sources told Reuters.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said Tuesday that Russian oil sales to India jumped 22-fold last year, but he did not specify the volume sold.

The two sources said Rosneft would sell up to 1.5 million tons (11 million barrels) each month, including some optional quantities, to IOC in the new fiscal year from April 1.

The larger volumes and change in Russian oil pricing highlight closer ties between Moscow and India, which has now become the largest buyer of seaborne crude from Russia.



Primary Listings Maintain Strategic Allure in Saudi Market Despite Slower Momentum

A trader monitors the stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange (AFP). 
A trader monitors the stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange (AFP). 
TT
20

Primary Listings Maintain Strategic Allure in Saudi Market Despite Slower Momentum

A trader monitors the stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange (AFP). 
A trader monitors the stock screen at the Saudi Stock Exchange (AFP). 

Despite a noticeable slowdown in the pace of initial public offerings (IPOs) during the first five months of 2025, the Saudi stock market continues to attract strategic listings, reinforcing its commitment to the economic diversification goals of Vision 2030.

The lull follows an exceptional year in 2024, with analysts attributing the current deceleration to a combination of global factors. Chief among them are the 7% decline in the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI) since the start of the year and intensifying geopolitical and trade tensions, particularly in the Middle East.

Nonetheless, investor sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, buoyed by quality offerings in high-impact sectors. A case in point is the recent IPO of flynas, which debuted on the Saudi stock exchange (Tadawul) amidst heightened regional instability, notably the escalating Iran-Israel conflict.

The airline’s listing garnered strong institutional interest, generating an oversubscription of over SAR 409 billion ($109 billion). However, its first trading session reflected market nervousness, with shares dropping as much as 12% before recovering to close at SAR 77.80, a 2.75% loss. The debut saw a flurry of trading activity, with over 12 million shares exchanged in under an hour, valued at nearly SAR 900 million.

The challenges facing regional carriers, ranging from airspace closures to route changes, have significantly inflated operational costs. Still, the IPO marked the first major listing on the main market since the outbreak of recent military tensions, underlining investor interest in key sectors despite a turbulent backdrop.

flynas floated 51.3 million shares, representing 30% of its post-offer capital, with 80% allocated to institutional investors and 20% to retail. The company’s market cap at listing was SAR 13.7 billion.

The broader IPO landscape has been quieter compared to 2024, which saw 40 offerings totaling SAR 15.2 billion, including 14 listings on the main market and 26 on the parallel market (Nomu). The Saudi bourse ranked 9th globally in IPO volume and 7th in IPO returns last year, according to the Capital Market Authority’s (CMA) board member Abdulaziz bin Hassan.

Yet despite fewer IPOs this year, the focus has shifted toward strategic sectors. The March listing of Umm Al Qura for Development & Construction (Masar), which soared 30% on its debut, highlights investor appetite for real estate plays tied to national projects. Masar’s shares climbed from SAR 15 at IPO to SAR 23 by early June.

In contrast, United Carton Industries Company, which listed in late May at SAR 50, fell to SAR 41.35 amid a 46% drop in first-quarter profits. Still, experts note the firm’s market niche in corrugated packaging gives it long-term relevance.

Commenting on market dynamics, Mohammed Al-Farraj, Senior Head of Asset Management at Arbah Capital, emphasized the resilience of the Saudi exchange. He noted that Vision 2030 continues to drive economic diversification and investor confidence, even as oil prices exert a more contained influence, mainly on energy giants like Aramco.

Al-Farraj also pointed to macroeconomic factors such as inflation and interest rates, stressing that elevated costs in housing and construction materials are pressuring real estate margins. However, expectations of interest rate cuts later in 2025 could provide a much-needed boost to real estate and financial services.