Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Sees Rapid Expansion

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Sees Rapid Expansion

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The non-oil-producing private sector in Saudi Arabia witnessed a rapid expansion at the end of the first quarter of 2023.

The sector recorded a sharp rise in new business during March, which helped achieve more growth in employment and procurement, according to a new business survey.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 58.7 in March, dropping from a near eight-year record of 59.8 in February, but remained firmly above the 50.0 no-change mark as operating conditions improved.

The survey noted that output and new business continued to rise, supporting further growth in employment and purchases.

Some companies said a relatively moderate increase in output prices helped sales grow, while orders from foreign customers expanded again.

A continued surge in new business helped achieve a significant rise in production levels, the latest increase being slightly lower than February’s record level, according to the survey.

“Business conditions remain strongly positive at the end of the first quarter of 2023 as improving market conditions and increased development spending helped to boost demand in the non-oil private sector,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank.

He noted that the strong improvement in demand from foreign customers was due to two reasons: “First, the improvement in industrial landscape has created positive grounds for producers to diversify their production lines and compete in foreign markets, enlarging their market share. Second, the recent depreciation of the US dollar made those goods more affordable and accessible to a number of inflation-torn economies.”

Al-Ghaith added that both production and new orders witnessed a sharp expansion, which increased pressure on production capacity in non-oil-producing companies. Employment levels in all sectors rose at one of the strongest growth rates in the past five years.

The survey found that non-oil firms remained confident of a rise in activity over the next 12 months due to rise in demand and supportive government policy.



Gold Prices Climb on Safe-Haven Demand; US Payrolls Data in Focus

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
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Gold Prices Climb on Safe-Haven Demand; US Payrolls Data in Focus

Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)
Gold bullion displayed in a store in the German city of Pforzheim (dpa)

Gold prices climbed on Friday, supported by safe-haven demand arising from the Middle East conflict, while spotlight shifted towards US payrolls report to gauge the trajectory of the Federal Reserve's policy path.
Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,662.50 per ounce, as of 0325 GMT, after climbing to an all-time high of $2,685.42 on Sept. 26. Bullion has gained 0.2 for the week.
US gold futures edged 0.1% higher to $2,682.10.
The dollar eased 0.1%, pulling back from over a one-month high, making greenback-priced bullion less expensive for other currency holders, reported Reuters.
Geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning Israel and Iran, are supporting gold prices and unless these risks subside, prices are likely to remain near record levels, said Ajay Kedia, director at Kedia Commodities, Mumbai.
The US is discussing strikes on Iran's oil facilities as retaliation for Tehran's missile attack on Israel, President Joe Biden said, while Israel's military hit Beirut with new air strikes in its battle against Lebanese armed group Hezbollah.
Bullion is considered a safe investment during times of political and financial uncertainty, and thrives in a low-rate environment.
The US nonfarm payroll data is due at 1230 GMT. New York Fed President John Williams and Chicago Fed President Austan are also scheduled to speak later in the day.
If the NFP report comes in strong, it will be positive for the dollar and then gold prices will see some profit-booking, Kedia added.
Traders see a 69% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in November, according to CME FedWatch Tool.
BMI said in a note it expects gold prices to trade within the range of $2,500 to $2,800 in the coming months.
Spot silver rose 0.4% to $32.17 per ounce and has gained about 1.8% so far this week.
Platinum climbed 1.1% to $1,001.79 and palladium advanced 1.4% to $1,013.46.