Egypt's Net Foreign Reserves Rise

Egypt’s net foreign reserves increased $95 million by the end of March
Egypt’s net foreign reserves increased $95 million by the end of March
TT

Egypt's Net Foreign Reserves Rise

Egypt’s net foreign reserves increased $95 million by the end of March
Egypt’s net foreign reserves increased $95 million by the end of March

Egypt’s net foreign reserves increased $95 million by the end of March 2023 to $34.447 billion, compared to $34.352 billion by the end of February 2023, the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) said Wednesday.

Meanwhile, sales of three-year treasury bonds issued on Tuesday plummeted to 1.09 million Egyptian pounds ($35,332) after the government baulked at the high yields demanded by investors concerned the currency is likely to depreciate soon.

The central bank received 26 bids worth 5.77 billion pounds with a weighted average yield of 24.15% at an auction on Monday, but accepted only one of these bids at a yield of 21.7%.

The accepted yield was unchanged from a similar offering on March 21, when 5.06 billion pounds were sold, despite a 200 basis-point increase in the central bank's overnight deposit rate to 18.75% on Thursday.

Analysts say investors are also holding back bond purchases on the expectation treasury bond yields will soon begin rising to match the increase in overnight rates.

The central bank said it raised rates to help tame soaring inflation, which leaped to 31.9% in February.

According to Reuters, analysts say pressure has been building on Egypt to devalue its currency after it lost ground on the black market in recent weeks, even though its official price has fallen by half against the dollar over the last year.

The official price of the pound has changed little over the last four weeks at about 30.9 to the dollar, while on the black market it has been trading at between 36 and 37, bankers and dealers say.



US Service Sector Sags in June as Orders Sink

The ISM reported on Monday that manufacturing activity had deteriorated further in June.- Reuters
The ISM reported on Monday that manufacturing activity had deteriorated further in June.- Reuters
TT

US Service Sector Sags in June as Orders Sink

The ISM reported on Monday that manufacturing activity had deteriorated further in June.- Reuters
The ISM reported on Monday that manufacturing activity had deteriorated further in June.- Reuters

A measure of US services sector activity slumped to a four-year low in June amid a sharp drop in orders, potentially hinting at a loss of momentum in the economy at the end of the second quarter.

The Institute for Supply Management said its nonmanufacturing purchasing managers (PMI) index dropped to 48.8 last month, the lowest level since May 2020, from 53.8 in May. It was the second time this year that the PMI had dropped below 50, which indicates contraction in the services sector.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI slipping to 52.5. The PMI fell below the 49 level that the ISM says over time generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. The survey's business activity measure dropped to 49.6, the first contraction since May 2020, from 61.2 in May.

The ISM reported on Monday that manufacturing activity had deteriorated further in June.

The surveys, however, likely understate the economy's health, with so-called hard data like consumer spending suggesting a moderate pace of growth last quarter. The economy is adjusting to higher interest rates, which are slowing demand.

Growth estimates for the second quarter are around a 2% annualized rate. The economy grew at a 1.4% pace in the January-March quarter.

The survey's new orders measure dropped to 47.3, the lowest since December 2022, from 54.1 in May. Services employment continued to decline. That would suggest softer job growth in the months ahead, though the sentiment surveys have not been reliable predictors of payroll gains.

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The government's closely watched employment report on Friday is likely to show nonfarm payrolls increased by 190,000 jobs in June after rising 272,000 in May, according to a Reuters survey of economists. The unemployment rate is forecast unchanged at 4%.

Services inflation slowed a bit last month. The ISM's prices paid measure for services inputs slipped to 56.3 from 58.1 in May. That suggests the disinflation trend was back on track after price pressures flared up in the first quarter.