Calls for Credit References Collaboration to Prevent Financial Fraud in the Middle East

Demands for coordinating efforts to combat financial fraud amid financial inclusion and digitization (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Demands for coordinating efforts to combat financial fraud amid financial inclusion and digitization (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Calls for Credit References Collaboration to Prevent Financial Fraud in the Middle East

Demands for coordinating efforts to combat financial fraud amid financial inclusion and digitization (Asharq Al-Awsat)
Demands for coordinating efforts to combat financial fraud amid financial inclusion and digitization (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Credit reference agencies and financial institutions should cooperate to prevent financial fraud in the Middle East, especially the Gulf countries, which have become one of the world's important financial and economic centers, according to a financial expert.

Comprehensive framework

The Head of Financial Crime Compliance at LexisNexis Risk Solutions, Jonny Bell, said that 22 percent of the GCC population does not deal with banks in a region with a 5.2 percent overall economic growth rate in 2022.

The GCC countries have developed large-scale digitization plans to help bridge the gap and transition to a cashless society.

Bell said that digital transformation is at the heart of the strategic economic plans of Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, where building a comprehensive framework for digital payment is an essential element of these goals.

The financial sector in the Middle East showed that digitization could expand access to financial services for society.

Global players

Bell indicated that the region attracted global players in financial technology and created local start-up companies through specialized free trade zones, including the Dubai International Financial Center and regulatory protection funds such as the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA).

The growing number of financial technology companies in the Middle East, which offer a model "buy now...pay later" and Sharia-compliant microfinance, attract millions of unbanked individuals into the financial system.

Compliance approach

Bell noted that innovative financial technology providers and banks could increase consumer access by enhancing transparency in their approach to financial crime compliance.

The operations can expand beyond the usual sources of credit checking agencies to broader credit checks and the use of anonymous data such as educational records, professional records, or court records.

The expert argued that such non-commercial data expands access to financial products for those without a long-term credit history. Companies can better understand economic conditions and make sound decisions by increasing data digitization of potential customers and consumers.

Bell noted that enhancing Financial Crimes Compliance (FCC) protocols help improve financial inclusion and identify new subsets of consumers better qualified to access financial products.

Financial authorities across the Middle East also encourage these practices, including SAMA, which requires banks to set up an administrative unit to combat and address financial fraud.

One operation out of every ten

He disclosed that, on average, one out of every ten financial transactions in the UAE is subject to "malicious bot" attacks carried by fraudsters, according to a study conducted by LexisNexis entitled "The True Cost of Fraud."

The study indicated that the monthly malicious bot attacks increased by 39 percent in the UAE compared to 12 months ago. Sophisticated transactional attacks include identity theft, creation and use of synthetic identities, account takeover, and early default.

Multiple defenses

Bell noted that, due to the current circumstances, companies need a multi-layered fraud defense that targets criminals at every point of contact with the consumer.

He explained that companies could get rid of malicious bots by coordinating verification and operations using fraud analysis technology, noting that it can reduce fraud costs for financial institutions and the risks associated with giving complete access to financial services to new consumers.

Important collaboration

It is essential to increase cooperation between the entities as the Middle East develops as a global financial and commercial hub, said the expert, noting that this requires expanding access to financial services and greater coordination between credit reference agencies, financial institutions, and fraud prevention teams.

Bell concluded that increased innovation and collaboration among all stakeholders would lead to greater inclusiveness of financial services across socio-economic groups.



US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
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US Tariffs Could Slow China's Growth to 4.5% in 2025

People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)
People walk past a billboard which reads I love Beijing, Happy New Year at 798 art district, ahead of the upcoming Lunar New Year, marking the Year of the Snake, in Beijing on January 14, 2025. (Photo by JADE GAO / AFP)

China's economic growth is likely to slow to 4.5% in 2025 and cool further to 4.2% in 2026, a Reuters poll showed, with policymakers poised to roll out fresh stimulus measures to soften the blow from impending US tariff hikes.

Gross domestic product (GDP) likely grew 4.9% in 2024 - largely meeting the government's annual growth target of around 5%, helped by stimulus measures and strong exports, according to the median forecasts of 64 economists polled by Reuters.

But the world's second-largest economy faces heightened trade tensions with the United States as President-elect Donald Trump, who has proposed hefty tariffs on Chinese goods, is set to return to the White House next week.

“Potential US tariff hikes are the biggest headwind for China's growth this year, and could affect exports, corporate capex and household consumption,” analysts at UBS said in a note.

“We (also) foresee property activity continuing to fall in 2025, though with a smaller drag on growth.”

Growth likely improved to 5.0% in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, quickening from the third-quarter's 4.6% pace as a flurry of support measures began to kick in, the poll showed.

On a quarterly basis, the economy is forecast to grow 1.6% in the fourth quarter, compared with 0.9% in July-September, the poll showed.

The government is due to release fourth-quarter and full-year GDP data, along with December activity data, on Friday.

China's economy has struggled for traction since a post-pandemic rebound quickly fizzled out, with a protracted property crisis, weak demand and high local government debt levels weighing heavily on activity, souring both business and consumer confidence.

Policymakers have unveiled a blitz of stimulus measures since September, including cuts in interest rates and banks' reserve requirements ratios (RRR) and a 10 trillion yuan ($1.36 trillion) municipal debt package.

They have also expanded a trade-in scheme for consumer goods such as appliances and autos, helping to revive retail sales.

Analysts expect more stimulus to be rolled out this year, but say the scope and size of China's moves may depend on how quickly and aggressively Trump implements tariffs or other punitive measures.

More stimulus on the cards

At an agenda-setting meeting in December, Chinese leaders pledged to increase the budget deficit, issue more debt and loosen monetary policy to support economic growth in 2025.

Leaders have agreed to maintain an annual growth target of around 5% for this year, backed by a record high budget deficit ratio of 4% and 3 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds, Reuters has reported, citing sources.

The government is expected to unveil growth targets and stimulus plans during the annual parliament meeting in March.

Faced with mounting economic risks and deflationary pressures, top leaders in December ditched their 14-year-old “prudent” monetary policy stance for a “moderately loose” posture.

China's central bank is expected to deploy its most aggressive monetary tactics in a decade this year as it tries to revive the economy, but in doing so it risks quickly exhausting its firepower. It has already had to repeatedly shore up its defense of the yuan currency as downward pressure pushes it to 16-month lows.

Analysts polled by Reuters expected the central bank to cut the seven-day reverse repo rate, its key policy rate, by 10 basis points in the first quarter, leading to a same cut in the one-year loan prime rate (LPR) - the benchmark lending rate.

The PBOC may also cut the weighted average reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for banks by at least 25 basis points in the first quarter, the poll showed, after two cuts in 2024.

Consumer inflation will likely pick up to 0.8% in 2025 from 0.2% in 2024, and rise further to 1.4% in 2026, the poll showed.