Iraqi Budget Tests Relationship between Sudani, Political Parties

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani (Reuters)
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Iraqi Budget Tests Relationship between Sudani, Political Parties

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani (Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani (Reuters)

Controversy over Iraq’s budget has resurfaced, but this time from a political aspect.

As the government of Mohammed Shia al-Sudani insists that no major changes should be made in the budget for the current year 2023, the political parties see the budget as a gateway to stand up to the government, especially following the premier’s recent announcement of a cabinet reshuffle.

The budget suffers from a large deficit, but the political blocs found in this an opportunity for more quarrels with the government. In addition, setting the price of oil at $70 per barrel is considered by the political and parliamentary blocs as a risk with unsafe consequences. If prices fall, the deficit will increase.

Nonetheless, the most important political aspect for the political forces, including Sudani’s partners, is setting a budget for a period of three years, which would give the government absolute powers in terms of financial spending, perhaps without returning to parliament.

Sudani, for his part, seems self-confident, but not very assured about his partners. In his last television interview, he spoke about restoring the Iraqi people’s trust in the political system.

In fact, the measures that the prime minister initiated at the level of services and economic reforms began to yield positive results, the most important of which is the US dollar price, which has started to decline against the Iraqi dinar.

In this context, Economist Bassem Antoine told Asharq Al-Awsat that the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Iraqi dinar “will return to the official rate set by the government after the approval of the financial budget.”

He added: “There are those who exploited the dollar file over the past months,” noting that the measures adopted by the government and the central contributed to stopping the rise of the dollar.



Egypt’s Net Foreign Assets Rise in February

Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)
Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)
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Egypt’s Net Foreign Assets Rise in February

Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)
Hotels, banks and offices on the Nile River in Cairo (Reuters)

Egypt’s net foreign assets (NFAs) increased by $1.48 billion in February, marking the second monthly rise this year following consecutive declines in the final three months of 2024, according to data released by the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE).

Based on official exchange rates provided by the CBE, calculations by Reuters showed that net foreign assets rose to the equivalent of $10.18 billion at the end of February, up from $8.70 billion in January.
A banking source attributed the increase to growing foreign investor purchases of Egyptian treasury bills. January also saw an uptick in foreign assets after the government issued $2 billion in international bonds—the country’s first dollar-denominated bond sale in four years.

Further growth in foreign assets is expected in March after the International Monetary Fund approved a $1.2 billion disbursement to Egypt, following the fourth review of its $8 billion economic reform program signed in March 2024. Last month’s IMF approval also unlocked an additional $1.3 billion under the Fund’s Resilience and Sustainability Facility.

Following Egypt’s fourth currency devaluation in March 2024, the overall net foreign asset position of Egyptian banks swung into surplus by about $14.29 billion in May—the first surplus in nearly 28 months. This turnaround came after the deficit had ballooned to nearly $29 billion by the end of January, just before the central bank’s latest reform measures.

However, the net foreign position of commercial banks alone (excluding the central bank) turned negative again in August due to renewed demand pressures for US dollars, just three months after the broader recovery.

In February, both the central bank and commercial banks recorded an increase in foreign assets. While the CBE’s foreign liabilities also grew during the month, those of commercial banks declined.