Tunisia Raises Fuel Prices by 4%

A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters
A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters
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Tunisia Raises Fuel Prices by 4%

A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters
A gas station attendant pumps fuel into a customer's car at a gas station in Tunis, Tunisia June 01, 2018. Reuters

Tunisia raised fuel prices by four percent on Saturday, following four consecutive hikes in 2018, in an effort to rein in its budget deficit and reduce it to about 3.9 percent of the GDP after it reached 4.9 percent last year, announced the Ministry of Industry.

Based on the ministry’s statement, gasoline was increased 0.080 Tunisian dinars to 2.065 dinars, sulfur-free diesel 0.080 Tunisian dinars to become 1.825 dinars and diesel became 1.570 dinars after a 0.090 dinar hike.

The ministry explained that the hike was introduced in light of the rise in global prices after the price of crude oil reached $68 a barrel.

However, the ministry asserted that the price of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) used in households has not been adjusted.

Tunisia aims to introduce reforms requested by the country’s international lenders, the government said in the first hike this year.

Through these repeated increases, Tunisia is responding to one of the conditions of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and a number of international financing and lending institutions that have demanded a three-month automatic adjustment to fuel prices in an attempt to reduce the budget deficit, which is largely linked to spending on energy subsidies.

Tunisia's financial and economic expert Ezzeddine Saidan predicted that these increases would continue as long as international oil prices are on the rise.

He pointed out that the Finance Ministry adopted in the 2018 budget reference oil prices within the range of $54, and soon oil prices exceeded the threshold of $70, which left a large financial gap, and forced the government to pass a supplementary law to overcome the scarcity of financial resources and a growing budget deficit.

The Tunisian Confederation of Industry, Trade and Handicrafts objected the repeated fuel price hikes. Head of the confederation, Samir Majoul, said the measures will have many repercussions on the Tunisian economy.

He warned that the price increase will cost investors additional funds which they can’t afford, and will be negatively reflected on a number of economic activities such as transportation, electricity, gas and various industrial production processes.

The Ministry of Finance indicated that every dollar increase in oil prices requires additional financial resources of about 120 million Tunisian dinars from the state budget, stressing that the government cannot make such expenditures in light of a drop in production and exports.

The 2019 budget allocated 2.1 billion dinars for the petroleum industry, and the government said the total energy deficit amounted to one third of the trade deficit in 2018, which reached 19 billion dinars.

Tunisia's oil production has significantly dropped in the past years, reaching an average of 42,000 barrels per day (bdp). Before 2011, oil production was in the range of 80,000 bpd, covering about 48 percent of the country's petroleum needs.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.