Algeria Refuses to Borrow from IMF to Ease Financial Crisishttps://english.aawsat.com/home/article/2265216/algeria-refuses-borrow-imf-ease-financial-crisis
Algeria Refuses to Borrow from IMF to Ease Financial Crisis
A vendor wearing a protective face mask serves customers inside his shop, ahead of the holy month of Ramadan, amid concerns over the coronavirus, in Algiers, Algeria. (Reuters)
Algeria Refuses to Borrow from IMF to Ease Financial Crisis
A vendor wearing a protective face mask serves customers inside his shop, ahead of the holy month of Ramadan, amid concerns over the coronavirus, in Algiers, Algeria. (Reuters)
Algerian President Abdelmadjid Tebboune has declared his country will not approach the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for loans, despite a financial crisis triggered by a collapse in global oil prices and coronavirus lockdowns.
“Accumulating debt harms national sovereignty,” Tebboune told reporters in a meeting with Algerian media, broadcast late Friday.
Algeria fell into heavy debt with the IMF during the 1990s, an episode Tebboune referenced in his address.
Algeria is heavily dependent on oil production, which generates over 90 percent of its export receipts.
A collapse in hydrocarbon prices this year – caused by plunging demand due to societal lockdowns designed to combat the spread of coronavirus, and exacerbated by a brief price war between key players Russia and Saudi Arabia – is putting even greater pressure on Algeria's external accounts.
Even before this year’s crisis took hold, Algeria’s foreign exchange reserves had fallen to $62 billion at the end of 2019, from $180 billion in 2014.
But Tebboune stressed he prefers “to borrow from Algerian citizens, rather than the IMF or the World Bank.”
He also expressed reluctance to borrowing from foreign banks, saying that doing so prevented Algeria from making its position clear on issues including the fate of the Palestinian cause and Western Sahara.
Tebboune also said that several “friendly” nations had offered loans, which had been declined for the time being. he did not name these countries.
He ruled out relying on extra printing of the local currency by the central bank, noting that this could cause inflation.
Tebboune also revealed plans to develop new natural resources, including uranium, gold and phosphate, with the help of foreign investors, after the end of the health crisis caused by the novel coronavirus.
“The novel coronavirus has frozen several plans and projects. But they will be launched after the health crisis is overcome,” he said.
A sharp fall in oil and gas revenue in recent years has deepened the country’s financial problems, widening the budget and trade deficits.
Algeria still relies heavily on energy earnings despite previous announcements that it would carry out reforms and develop the non-hydrocarbon sector.
The coronavirus outbreak has worsened the economic situation with energy earnings dropping further, forcing the government to cut spending and planned investment for 2020.
“We are determined to develop our agriculture and reduce significantly the value of purchases from abroad,” Tebboune stressed.
Elected in December 2019 after mass protests demanding political and economic reforms and the removal of the ruling elite, Tebboune has vowed to open up the economy and amend the constitution to give a greater role to parliament.
“A political change will take place and strong institutions will be created,” Tebboune said, referring to demands by the protest movement known as Hirak.
The government has decided to postpone loan payments for state and private firms financially hit by the coronavirus, and Tebboune said more measures would be taken to benefit companies and the self-employed.
“Losses of firms are being assessed. We are ready to provide financial support. Even self-employed people such as taxi drivers and hairdressers will be helped,” he said.
Saudi Arabia's Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks during a press briefing following a meeting of the IMFC (International Monetary and Financial Committee) at the 2026 IMF and World Bank Group Spring Meetings in Washington, DC, on April 17, 2026. (Photo by Kent Nishimura / AFP)
Saudi Arabia's Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks during a press briefing following a meeting of the IMFC (International Monetary and Financial Committee) at the 2026 IMF and World Bank Group Spring Meetings in Washington, DC, on April 17, 2026. (Photo by Kent Nishimura / AFP)
The International Monetary and Financial Committee (IMFC) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced a request for a one-year extension of Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Aljadaan's term as Committee Chair after his current term ends on January 3, 2027.
The move aims to ensure continuity in the Committee's work and maintain momentum in advancing its key priorities, including important ongoing reforms.
In a statement issued Tuesday, the IMF said Committee members had asked Aljadaan to extend his term as Chair for an additional year and that he had agreed. Aljadaan was selected to chair the Committee for a three-year term beginning January 4, 2024.
Committee members expressed appreciation for Aljadaan's leadership, saying the extension would help ensure continuity and sustain momentum in addressing the Committee's key priorities, including its efforts on important ongoing reforms.
The IMFC is the primary policy advisory body of the IMF's Board of Governors and comprises finance ministers and central bank governors. It deliberates on major policy issues facing the Fund and the international monetary and financial system.
The Committee has 25 members, reflecting the composition of the IMF's Executive Board. Each member country, or group of member countries that elects an Executive Director to the Board, appoints a representative to the Committee.
The IMFC normally meets twice a year, once during the Spring Meetings and again in the fall, alongside the Annual Meetings of the IMF and World Bank Group.
Diversified Oil Export Routes Pave the Way for Strong Saudi Economic Recovery in 2027https://english.aawsat.com/business/5329136-diversified-oil-export-routes-pave-way-strong-saudi-economic-recovery-2027
Diversified Oil Export Routes Pave the Way for Strong Saudi Economic Recovery in 2027
Cars drive past city skyscrapers in Riyadh on October 11, 2026. (Photo by Fayez Nureldine / AFP)
As war reshapes energy flows across the region, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) is forecasting a strong recovery for Saudi Arabia's economy in 2027, with growth projected at 7.9 percent, driven by renewed momentum in production and exports as disruptions to shipping ease. Compared with Gulf economies more exposed to disruptions in transit through the Strait of Hormuz, this forecast rests on Saudi Arabia's diversified oil export routes, which help cushion the impact of the shock.
The IMF has also revised its outlook for the Saudi economy in 2026, projecting a smaller contraction than in its previous forecasts. The trajectory of the recovery will therefore depend on how long the disruptions persist and how quickly energy and trade flows return to normal.
The IMF's forecasts reflect both the scale of the shock facing regional economies and the recovery expected as its effects subside. In its World Economic Outlook report, titled Resilience Under Strain, Urgent Choices, the IMF projects that the economies of the Middle East and Central Asia will contract by 0.3 percent in 2026, followed by growth of 6.3 percent in 2027.
Compared with its April estimates, the IMF lowered its 2026 forecast by 2.2 percentage points while raising its 2027 projection by 1.7 percentage points. The revisions reflect an assumption that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed longer than previously expected, intensifying pressure on regional economies this year but setting the stage for a stronger recovery once it reopens and production, exports and transportation resume.
Under this scenario, the IMF expects GDP to contract by 16.7 percent in Kuwait, 16 percent in Iraq, 15.6 percent in Qatar and 11.3 percent in Bahrain in 2026. In 2027, all four economies are projected to rebound sharply, with Iraq growing by 19 percent, Qatar by 18.8 percent, Kuwait by 17.1 percent and Bahrain by 13.9 percent, as production, exports and logistics return to normal operations.
Saudi Arabia's Economic Outlook
By contrast, the IMF expects the disruptions to have a relatively less severe impact on Saudi Arabia. It has revised its estimate for the Saudi economy's contraction in 2026 to 3.3 percent, compared with 5 percent in its July forecast and 6.4 percent in April. At the same time, it raised its forecast for Saudi economic growth in 2027 to 7.9 percent, up from 2.4 percent in its July update and 3.4 percent in April. The Ministry of Finance, meanwhile, expects stronger growth of 12.8 percent, according to its pre-budget statement. Although the estimates differ in magnitude, they reflect optimism about the recovery next year, amid hopes that production, exports and trade will regain momentum as shipping disruptions ease.
This outlook is consistent with World Bank projections. In its October report on the economic outlook for the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan and Pakistan, the bank anticipated a strong rebound in regional growth in 2027, forecasting expansion of 7.8 percent for the region's economies, excluding Iran, if the conflict subsides by the end of 2026. It attributed the recovery primarily to the resumption of hydrocarbon production and exports as trade routes reopen and energy flows gradually normalize. In Saudi Arabia, the bank noted that the East-West Pipeline had enabled exports to be rerouted to the Red Sea port of Yanbu, helping the Kingdom limit the impact of disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
The IMF's projected contraction for the Saudi economy this year is smaller than the Ministry of Finance's estimate of a 3.6 percent decline in real GDP in 2026. The recovery outlook also aligns with the IMF's findings during its July Article IV consultations with Saudi Arabia, when it highlighted the economy's resilience to disruptions in oil and trade flows, supported by diversified energy and logistics infrastructure and the ability to reroute shipments.
Oil Export Routes
Against this backdrop, Saudi Arabia is benefiting from multiple oil export routes and working to strengthen its ability to deliver supplies to global markets through the Red Sea. Energy Minister and Minister of Industry and Mineral Resources Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman announced a target of increasing oil export capacity to approximately 10 million barrels per day within two to three years by upgrading the East-West Pipeline and expanding its associated infrastructure. He also pointed to the possibility of temporarily converting a gas pipeline to transport oil, adding approximately 1.2 million barrels per day of capacity within seven to eight weeks before returning it to its original use to meet summer demand.
These measures strengthen the Kingdom's ability to diversify its export outlets, while the IMF's 2027 forecasts assume that production, exports and trade will return to normal as shipping disruptions ease.
In this context, data from Kpler showed that Saudi crude oil exports rose to 6.67 million barrels per day in September, reaching their highest level in seven months and returning to prewar levels. This reflects renewed momentum in the Kingdom's oil flows, supported by increased exports through the Strait of Hormuz since September, alongside the benefits of diversified export outlets.
Alongside the anticipated recovery, credit rating agency Moody's had forecast that spending restraint and a reprioritization of government investments would support a fiscal recovery in 2027 and help the Kingdom preserve fiscal space to continue its economic diversification projects. The agency noted that prolonged trade disruptions and additional spending had limited the fiscal improvement it previously expected, while disruptions to strategic maritime shipping routes could persist until mid-2027, potentially affecting oil production.
As for economic indicators, the IMF expects inflation in Saudi Arabia to reach 1.9 percent in 2026 and rise to 2.2 percent in 2027. It also projects a current account deficit equivalent to 3.5 percent of GDP this year, narrowing to 1.3 percent next year.
Saudi Minister of Energy Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud speaks at the 25th WPC Energy Congress in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, October 12, 2026. REUTERS
International Monetary and Financial Committee Meeting
These forecasts come as the repercussions of the war and its effects on growth, trade and energy flows dominate the agenda of the IMF and World Bank Group Annual Meetings, taking place in Bangkok from October 12 to 18.
Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan is leading the Kingdom's delegation to the meetings and chairing a meeting of the IMF's International Monetary and Financial Committee, which is discussing the global economic outlook, risks to growth, economic policy priorities and the Fund's role in helping member countries address current challenges. These discussions are particularly significant given the differing effects of the conflict on regional economies, from pressures caused by disruptions to production and trade to opportunities for recovery as energy flows and exports resume.
Saudi Arabia's Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan speaks during a press briefing following a meeting of the IMFC (International Monetary and Financial Committee) at the 2026 IMF and World Bank Group Spring Meetings in Washington, DC, on April 17, 2026. (Photo by Kent Nishimura / AFP)
Ultimately, the trajectory of Saudi Arabia's recovery in 2027 will remain tied to how quickly energy and trade flows are restored. Meanwhile, diversified export outlets and non-oil activities, together with the reprioritization of spending and investment, provide support for the economy's ability to overcome the repercussions of regional disruptions.
Saudi Aramco Targets 80% Growth in Gas Sales by 2030https://english.aawsat.com/business/5329123-saudi-aramco-targets-80-growth-gas-sales-2030
Saudi Aramco Targets 80% Growth in Gas Sales by 2030
3D-printed oil pump jacks and the Saudi Aramco logo appear in this illustration taken March 2, 2026. (Reuters)
Saudi Arabia is moving to expand its gas and liquefied gas production capabilities by developing facilities and infrastructure across the sector, amid growing demand for gas and its increasing role in the energy mix. Saudi Aramco aims to increase gas sales by 80 percent by 2030 compared with 2020 and 2021 levels.
Abdulkarim Al-Ghamdi, Executive Vice President of Gas at Saudi Aramco, disclosed the target during a panel discussion at the WPC Energy Congress in Riyadh on Tuesday. He also revealed plans to build and commission six to seven gas and liquefied gas facilities between 2025 and 2027.
Al-Ghamdi said Saudi Arabia's oil production assets and export capabilities are spread across different parts of the Kingdom, strengthening its ability to respond to disruptions and unforeseen scenarios. He added that the country has an extensive gas network, including the Master Gas System, which stretches thousands of kilometers from east to west.
He explained that more than 90 percent of the materials Aramco needed during disruptions linked to global conflicts were sourced locally. The company also relies on partnerships across several assets and facilities, including refineries and pipeline networks.
According to Al-Ghamdi, resilience in the energy sector is not limited to responding to crises after they occur. It also involves anticipating potential disruptions, protecting assets, diversifying their geographic locations and ensuring they can continue operating under exceptional circumstances.
He added that Aramco relies on integrated operating systems, interconnected supply chains and advanced data analytics solutions to help protect facilities and reduce the risk of operational disruptions.
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