G20, Paris Forum Discuss Int’l Capital Flows Volatility

The High-level Ministerial Conference. G20 Saudi Arabia Twitter page
The High-level Ministerial Conference. G20 Saudi Arabia Twitter page
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G20, Paris Forum Discuss Int’l Capital Flows Volatility

The High-level Ministerial Conference. G20 Saudi Arabia Twitter page
The High-level Ministerial Conference. G20 Saudi Arabia Twitter page

The Saudi G20 Presidency and the Paris Forum have discussed challenges around international capital flows volatility and possible policy responses to help restoring sustainable flows of capital and mobilizing robust financing for development.

The high-level ministerial virtual conference that was concluded on Wednesday was co-chaired by Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed al-Jadaan and France’s Minister of Economy and Finance Bruno Le Mair.

The conference brought together top global financial chiefs.

“In response to the unprecedented health and economic crisis presented by the COVID-19 pandemic, governments and central banks around the world have taken exceptional measures, including unprecedented fiscal, monetary and financial stability measures,” said a statement issued by the G20 Saudi Secretariat.

“The launch of the historic Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) could provide around $14 billion in immediate and critical liquidity relief by official bilateral creditors alone for the poorest nations in 2020, as estimated by the World Bank Group,” it said.

“This global response is delivering results; however, the situation remains challenging. Capital outflows from many emerging and developing countries have reached unprecedented levels, and their ability to draw upon an international pool of capital in a robust manner has been called into question. In this context, related to financial resilience, debt sustainability considering progress on Debt Service Suspension Initiative as well as on development finance agenda amid the COVID-19 pandemic,” it added.

The statement quoted al-Jadaan as saying that in response to the pandemic, G20 countries have implemented unprecedented fiscal, monetary and financial stability measures and ensured that international financial institutions can provide critical support to developing and low-income countries.

“As the crisis remains unfolding, we will coordinate with G20 member countries to promote sustainable financing for developing countries, support the return of capital flows to emerging markets and developing countries, build resilience and promote more sustainable sources of financing.”

G20 and the Paris Club, an informal group of state creditors coordinated by the French finance ministry, agreed in April to freeze debt payments from the 73 poorest countries for the rest of 2020.

"We need to start thinking about what comes next,” Le Maire told the conference.

G20 finance officials are due to meet online on July 18.

The conference fostered in-depth discussions on key issues through three parallel breakout sessions. The first included conversations on the DSSI and explored ways to restore market access for African countries, increase international private flows and support the African private sector, especially SMEs, the statement said.

The second focused on the outlook for capital flows, exploring tools that can be mobilized to mitigate capital outflow risks, and the role of the IMF in long-term financing.

Speaking at the session, Ahmed AlKholiefy, Governor of the Saudi Arabian Monetary Authority emphasized that “restoring flows of capital is essential to upholding the stability of the global financial system."

“We are working with G20 countries to better understand the drivers of these volatilities and discuss policy responses to mitigate them,” the statement quoted him as saying.

As for the third session, it explored ways to improve emerging and developing countries’ resilience, including through domestic capital markets development, while considering the immediate and medium-term trade-offs between different policies as well as the role of international cooperation.



Oil Slips on Buildup in US Gasoline Stocks; Eyes on Weekend OPEC+ Meeting

FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo
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Oil Slips on Buildup in US Gasoline Stocks; Eyes on Weekend OPEC+ Meeting

FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil and gas industry worker walks during operations of a drilling rig at Zhetybay field in the Mangystau region, Kazakhstan, November 13, 2023. REUTERS/Turar Kazangapov/File Photo

Oil prices drifted lower on Thursday after a surprise jump in US gasoline inventories, with investors focusing on the OPEC+ meeting this weekend to discuss oil output policy.
Brent crude futures fell by 14 cents, or 0.2%, to $72.69 per barrel by 0401 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were also down 14 cents, or 0.2%, at $68.58 a barrel.
Trading is expected to be light due to US Thanksgiving holiday kicking off from Thursday.
Oil is likely to hold to its near-term bearish momentum as the risks of supply disruption fade in the Middle East and stemming from the higher-than-expected US gasoline inventories, said Yeap Jun Rong, a market strategist at IG.
US gasoline stocks rose 3.3 million barrels in the week ended on Nov. 22, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, countering expectations for a small draw in fuel stocks ahead of record holiday travel.
Slowing fuel demand growth in top consumers the United States and China has weighed heavily on oil prices this year, although supply curtailments from OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with Russia and other allies, have limited the losses.
OPEC+ will meet on Sunday. Two sources from the producer group told Reuters on Tuesday that members have been discussing a further delay to a planned oil output hike that was due to start in January.
A further deferment, as expected by many in the market, has mostly been factored into oil prices already, said Suvro Sarkar, energy sector team lead at DBS Bank.
"The only question is whether it's a one-month pushback, or three-month, or even longer. That would give the oil market some direction. On the other hand, we would be worried about a dip in oil prices if the deferments don’t come," he said.
The group, which pumps about half the world's oil, had previously said it would gradually roll back oil production cuts with small increases over many months in 2024 and 2025.
Brent and WTI have lost more than 3% each so far this week, under pressure from Israel's agreement to a ceasefire deal with Lebanon's Hezbollah group. The ceasefire started on Wednesday and helped ease concerns that the conflict could disrupt oil supplies from the top producing Middle East region.
Market participants are uncertain how long the break in the fighting will hold, with the broader geopolitical backdrop for oil remaining murky, analysts at ANZ Bank said.
Oil prices are undervalued due to a market deficit, heads of commodities research at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley warned in recent days, also pointing to a potential risk to Iranian supply from sanctions that might be implemented under US President-elect Donald Trump.