US Intelligence Report Predicts Deterioration of Humanitarian Situation in Yemen

A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)
A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)
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US Intelligence Report Predicts Deterioration of Humanitarian Situation in Yemen

A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)
A Yemeni child at a displacement camp in a Sanaa suburb. (EPA)

As the conflict and suffering continue in Yemen, a US intelligence report predicted that the humanitarian situation in the war-torn country will deteriorate.

Such reports from the US military intelligence are not surprising to the Yemeni people, who have been suffering from instability that erupted with the so-called Arab Spring revolts and the ouster of Ali Abdullah Saleh in 2011.

In a report to Congress that was seen by Asharq Al-Awsat, military intelligence said that Yemen was suffering the world’s worst health and humanitarian crisis that is expected to continue due to the war.

The report held the Iran-backed Houthi militias responsible for the crisis because they control most inhabited regions in Yemen.

Moreover, it accused Iran of continuing to support the militias with weapons and military advisors in order to pressure the Saudi-led Arab coalition and help in carrying out complex and long-range attacks against the Kingdom. Indeed in 2019 and 2020, these attacks reached Saudi cities, regions and oil facilities.

The report noted that in 2020, the Houthis escalated their rocket and drone attacks against Saudi Arabia. They also made major gains in areas under their control and that were held by the Yemeni government. They also consolidated their control over northwestern Yemen and are now threatening Marib city, the last government military and economic stronghold in the north.

The report added that the Houthis were growing increasingly confident due to the ongoing support they are receiving from Iran. They are now seeking negotiations with the Saudi-led coalition that would clearly reflect the situation on the ground and their military successes.

On the humanitarian and health efforts, the report said that even though the Yemeni government exerted some efforts to monitor the outbreak of the coronavirus and offered medical aid to some provinces, the Yemeni leadership lacks cohesion and financial resources to implement effective measures to combat the pandemic.

The report accused the Houthis of underestimating the impact of the virus and of underreporting actual infections in areas under their control. This means that Yemen may continue to face health and economic crises that would exacerbate the already severe humanitarian crisis.

Meanwhile, several Congressmen criticized Iran’s behavior in supporting the Houthis and its armament of the militias to escalate the Yemeni crisis. They called for a ceasefire and an end to the humanitarian crisis.

“Iran continues to send deadly weapons to the Houthis in Yemen, which is a blatant violation of the UN Arms Embargo,” tweeted Congresswoman Claudia Tenney, stressing that the cleric-led regime “must stop its illegal and dangerous activities.”

Tenney also blamed Iran for actively exacerbating the humanitarian catastrophe in Yemen.

“That the US Navy seized another shipment of Iranian weapons bound for Yemen should come as no surprise. Iran has sought to fuel civil war in Yemen since at least 2013,” said US Senator for Arkansas Tom Cotton in a tweet on Sunday.

Meanwhile, calls have been increasing on the Houthis to cease their yearlong offensive against oil-rich Marib. The calls have fallen on deaf ears, which is threatening to exacerbate the humanitarian catastrophe in the province that is home to a million Yemenis, most of whom have been displaced there from the six-year civil war.

Meanwhile, US Special Envoy for Yemen Tim Lenderking discussed de-escalation in Yemen’s northeastern governorate of Marib, ending the Yemeni humanitarian crisis and achieving a settlement among all warring parties.

He did so with several European ambassadors and representatives of international organizations.

In a tweet, the US State Department confirmed that Lenderking and Christopher Farnaud, France’s director for the Middle East at the Foreign Affairs Ministry, spoke on Tuesday.

The two agreed that “Houthis are holding the future of Yemen hostage, continuing a long, costly offensive on Marib.”

Moreover, the State Department said Lenderking and Farnaud considered the Saudi-proposed ceasefire to be a “fair deal” and called on Houthis to engage.

The State Department also rebuked the Iran-backed group for refusing to meet the UN’s Yemen envoy, Martin Griffiths, in Oman last week.



Ceasefire Is Key to Ending Middle East Cycle of Violence, Blinken Says

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken speaks during a joint press conference with Mongolia's Foreign Minister Batmunkh Battsetseg, unseen, in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Thursday, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken speaks during a joint press conference with Mongolia's Foreign Minister Batmunkh Battsetseg, unseen, in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Thursday, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)
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Ceasefire Is Key to Ending Middle East Cycle of Violence, Blinken Says

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken speaks during a joint press conference with Mongolia's Foreign Minister Batmunkh Battsetseg, unseen, in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Thursday, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken speaks during a joint press conference with Mongolia's Foreign Minister Batmunkh Battsetseg, unseen, in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia Thursday, Aug. 1, 2024. (AP)

United States Secretary of State Antony Blinken says “all parties” in the Middle East must avoid escalatory actions that could plunge the region into further conflict following the assassination of Hamas’ political leader in Tehran that Hamas and Iran have blamed on Israel.

Speaking in the Mongolian capital of Ulaanbaatar on Thursday, Blinken appealed for countries to “make the right choices in the days ahead” and said that a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in Gaza was the only way to begin to break the current cycle of violence and suffering.

Blinken did not mention Israel, Iran or Hamas by name in his comments.

“Right now, the path that the region is on is toward more conflict, more violence, more suffering, more insecurity and it is crucial that we break the cycle and that starts with the ceasefire that we’ve been working on, which I believe is not only achievable, it has to be achieved,” he said.

He noted that even while in Asia he has been on the phone with regional leaders, including the prime minister of Qatar and the foreign minister of Jordan.

“We’re all focused on making sure we can get the cease-fire over the finish line and building on it for everyone’s sake, for the future,” he said.