GCC Index Records Biggest Gain since 2008

The GCC equity market index closed in 2021 with 34.9% gains, marking the biggest gains since 2008. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The GCC equity market index closed in 2021 with 34.9% gains, marking the biggest gains since 2008. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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GCC Index Records Biggest Gain since 2008

The GCC equity market index closed in 2021 with 34.9% gains, marking the biggest gains since 2008. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The GCC equity market index closed in 2021 with 34.9% gains, marking the biggest gains since 2008. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) equity market index closed in 2021 with 34.9% gains, marking the biggest gains since 2008, according to a report by Kuwait-based Kamco Invest.

The aggregate MSCI GCC Index witnessed gains for 12 consecutive months until November 2021, when in declined by 3.4%. However, gains during December partially offset the trimmed yearly gains.

The report indicated that Abu Dhabi was the best performing market amongst prominent equity markets globally with a gain of 68.2%.

Saudi Arabia was next in the region with a healthy gain of 29.8%, closely followed by Dubai and Kuwaiti benchmarks with gains of 28.2% and 27%, respectively.

GCC equity markets outperformed its global peers with a yearly return of 34.9% in 2021 for the MSCI GCC Index.

The index recovered fully from the COVID-19 and oil-led decline of 3.7% in 2020.

Global markets had an equally exciting year with the MSCI World Index touching a record high on December 29, but declines during the last two trading sessions of the year partially trimmed the third consecutive year of gains that reached 20.1%.

Gains for both Saudi Arabia and Abu Dhabi Securities Exchange (ADX) were driven by listing of several state-owned firms amid a climate of economic optimism, large scale projects and timely execution of plans.

Several new initiatives were taken in the GCC that mainly aimed at diversifying non-oil state revenues, while making sure that their market share in the oil market remains robust by way of adding capacity.

The sector performance chart for the year showed gains mainly for the financial services sector with Diversified Financials topping the chart with a return of 62.2%, followed by Banks with a gain of 48.8%. Capital Goods index was next with a gain of 45.4%, followed by Materials and Healthcare with gains of 30.6% and 27.7%, respectively.

In terms of share of total trading activity, Abu Dhabi reported the steepest increase in trading activity with five-fold growth in value traded increasing from $19.3 billion in 2020 to $96.22 billion in 2021, resulting a share of 12.2% versus 2.9% in 2020.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.