Riyadh Seeks to Achieve Recovery Plan for International Aviation Sector

The Saudi Energy Minister attends the Future of Civil Aviation conference in Riyadh on Monday. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi Energy Minister attends the Future of Civil Aviation conference in Riyadh on Monday. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Riyadh Seeks to Achieve Recovery Plan for International Aviation Sector

The Saudi Energy Minister attends the Future of Civil Aviation conference in Riyadh on Monday. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
The Saudi Energy Minister attends the Future of Civil Aviation conference in Riyadh on Monday. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia has revealed plans to strengthen its capabilities in the aviation sector over the next ten years, with the aim to become a leading center for aviation and air transport in the Middle East and the world.

Under the patronage of the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques, the Saudi General Civil Aviation Authority announced an international initiative to unify procedures and policies regarding health requirements, in order to support the sector’s recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

This came during the launch of the Future of Civil Aviation conference in Riyadh on Monday.

In this regard, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman underlined the efforts to face energy challenges in the aviation sector.

“We are focusing on two fronts; first, we work with the aerospace industry to develop engines, materials, and innovation; and second, on low-carbon aviation fuels that we believe will be the transitional fuels of the future,” he said.

Speaking during his participation in a dialogue session entitled, “Energy Transformation: How We Can Overcome the Sustainability Challenge”, the minister noted that energy security was the most important pillar, “without which the goals of economic growth and sustainability cannot be achieved, including dealing with climate change.”

He added: “We are not in a position to choose among the sustainability solutions; rather, we should take advantage of all available options, to achieve our goals realistically.”

Prince Abdulaziz stressed that these goals could be reached within the framework of the circular carbon economy, through carbon sequestration from the source, in addition to the use of captured gas in the production of industrial fuels.

According to the Saudi official, the aviation sector emissions do not exceed two percent of the total emissions.

“Whether this percentage is large or small, the world agrees on the importance of finding solutions to reduce emissions of all sectors,” he remarked.

The Saudi Energy Minister noted that the gap between crude oil prices and the prices of jet fuel, diesel and gasoline was about 60 percent in some cases, due to a lack of investment in refining capacity.

“The world needs to consider energy security, sustainability and overall affordability,” he said. “All types of mobility fuels have risen sharply, and the gap between crude oil prices and these products in some cases actually reaches 60 percent.”

On whether geopolitical events in Europe will accelerate or impede the transition to cleaner energy in the medium term, the Saudi minister said: “I think it brought us back to reality about how actual conditions in which we live can undermine aspirations.”

He said that even before the Ukraine crisis, the “dreamland scenario of net zero emissions was faced by many realities, including the cost.”

For his part, Salvatore Sciacchitano, President of the Council of the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO), said that the number of passengers around the world was likely to constitute, by the end of 2022, 75 percent of the number achieved in 2019, before the outbreak of the Covid-19 pandemic.

The number of travelers is growing in certain regions faster than others, such as Latin America and Europe, compared to regions that are still suffering from the effects of the pandemic, such as China, he noted.

Meanwhile, the Saudi Civil Aviation Authority said on Monday that it was working to develop a framework aimed at facilitating international travel, in cooperation with the ICAO.

The Saudi initiative will promote a policy of standardizing procedures to ease international travel, whether for passengers or airlines and government agencies, by creating a single digital platform that provides the latest information and developments with clarity and transparency, and identifies entry requirements for all participating countries.

If endorsed by the member states of the ICAO in October, the initiative will enable the unification of procedures and policies regarding health requirements to support the sector’s post-pandemic recovery.



OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters
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OPEC Again Cuts 2024, 2025 Oil Demand Growth Forecasts

The OPEC logo. Reuters
The OPEC logo. Reuters

OPEC cut its forecast for global oil demand growth this year and next on Tuesday, highlighting weakness in China, India and other regions, marking the producer group's fourth consecutive downward revision in the 2024 outlook.

The weaker outlook highlights the challenge facing OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies such as Russia, which earlier this month postponed a plan to start raising output in December against a backdrop of falling prices.

In a monthly report on Tuesday, OPEC said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month. Until August, OPEC had kept the outlook unchanged since its first forecast in July 2023.

In the report, OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd, Reuters.

China accounted for the bulk of the 2024 downgrade. OPEC trimmed its Chinese growth forecast to 450,000 bpd from 580,000 bpd and said diesel use in September fell year-on-year for a seventh consecutive month.

"Diesel has been under pressure from a slowdown in construction amid weak manufacturing activity, combined with the ongoing deployment of LNG-fuelled trucks," OPEC said with reference to China.

Oil pared gains after the report was issued, with Brent crude trading below $73 a barrel.

Forecasts on the strength of demand growth in 2024 vary widely, partly due to differences over demand from China and the pace of the world's switch to cleaner fuels.

OPEC is still at the top of industry estimates and has a long way to go to match the International Energy Agency's far lower view.

The IEA, which represents industrialised countries, sees demand growth of 860,000 bpd in 2024. The agency is scheduled to update its figures on Thursday.

- OUTPUT RISES

OPEC+ has implemented a series of output cuts since late 2022 to support prices, most of which are in place until the end of 2025.

The group was to start unwinding the most recent layer of cuts of 2.2 million bpd from December but said on Nov. 3 it will delay the plan for a month, as weak demand and rising supply outside the group maintain downward pressure on the market.

OPEC's output is also rising, the report showed, with Libyan production rebounding after being cut by unrest. OPEC+ pumped 40.34 million bpd in October, up 215,000 bpd from September. Iraq cut output to 4.07 million bpd, closer to its 4 million bpd quota.

As well as Iraq, OPEC has named Russia and Kazakhstan as among the OPEC+ countries which pumped above quotas.

Russia's output edged up in October by 9,000 bpd to about 9.01 million bpd, OPEC said, slightly above its quota.