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Egypt Inflation Jumps to Five-year High in November

Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)
Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)
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Egypt Inflation Jumps to Five-year High in November

Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)
Two Egyptian women shopping in the streets of Cairo (EPA)

Egypt's annual urban consumer inflation rate rose from 16.2 percent in October to 18.7 percent in November, the country's Central Agency for Public Mobilization and Statistics (CAPMAS) said Thursday.

The inflation hike in November marks the highest increase since December 2017, when it reached 21.9 percent.

Egypt's annual headline inflation rate rose to 19.2 percent in November 2022, compared to 16.3 percent in the previous month.

On a monthly basis, the agency said that the general consumer price index for the total republic increased by 2.5 percent in November from October.

CAPMAS attributed the annual increase in the inflation rate for the entire republic to the increase in prices in sectors, foremost of which were: Food and beverages 30.9 percent, health care 12.4 percent, transport, and communications 16.6 percent, culture and entertainment sector 32.2 percent, and restaurants and hotels sector 30.1 percent.

In a press conference following the Cabinet's weekly meeting in the New Administrative Capital, Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said that there is a plan to provide hard currency and it will run on the short term until 30 June 2023.

The premier did not give further details of the plan, saying that some of the state's steps must not be announced in advance.

He revealed that the government is aware that there is a rise in prices and it attempts to alleviate the burden placed on the shoulders of the citizens.

Madbouly confirmed that the cabinet has set a plan to deal with the increasing prices, highlighting that most of the news spreading on social media “seek to harm the Egyptian economy”.

Meanwhile, the premier said on Wednesday that Egypt attracted about $9 billion in direct investments last year - the highest in 15 years.

“The state ownership policy document was finally approved,” Madbouli announced, stating that the government will be committed to implementing the state ownership policy document over the next three or five years.

He added that the investor, who wishes to obtain the golden license, applies directly to the Cabinet to shorten the distance and procedures.

Madbouly further announced that a committee has been formed to tackle the investors’ difficulties, noting that several measures and reforms were made to enhance the investment climate.

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Dollar Tumbles as Investors Seek Safe Havens after US Tariffs

US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Tumbles as Investors Seek Safe Havens after US Tariffs

US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The dollar weakened broadly on Thursday, while the euro rallied after President Donald Trump announced harsher-than-expected tariffs on US trading partners, unsettling markets as investors flocked to safe havens such as the yen and Swiss franc.

The highly anticipated tariff announcement sent shockwaves through markets, with global stocks sinking and investors scrambling to the safety of bonds as well as gold.

Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country's biggest trading partners.

The new levies ratchet up a trade war that Trump kicked off on his return to the White House, rattling markets as fears grow that a full-blown trade war could trigger a sharp global economic slowdown and fuel inflation, Reuters reported.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, fell 1.6% to 102.03, its lowest since early October.

The euro, the largest component in the index, gained 1.5% to a six-month high of $1.1021.

Trump has already imposed tariffs on aluminium, steel and autos, and has increased duties on all goods from China.

"Eye-watering tariffs on a country-by-country basis scream 'negotiation tactic', which will keep markets on edge for the foreseeable future," said Adam Hetts, global head of multi-asset and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar added 0.56% to $0.63365, while the New Zealand dollar climbed 0.9% to $0.5796.

The yen strengthened to a three-week high against the dollar and was last up 1.7% at 146.76 per dollar, while the Swiss franc touched its strongest level in five months at 0.86555 per dollar.

"Negotiations are now going to be front of mind. This is probably the other big part of why we're seeing some of these currencies outperform," said Nicholas Rees, Head Of Macro Research at Monex Europe.

"It's very difficult actually to see how other countries make concessions that would encourage the US to lift these tariffs. And I think that's a big underpriced risk."

Investors are worried that some US trading partners could retaliate with measures of their own, leading to higher prices.

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen described the tariffs as a major blow to the world economy and said the 27-member bloc was prepared to respond with countermeasures if talks with Washington failed.

Worries about a global trade war have intensified since Trump stepped into the White House in January, combining with a slew of weaker-than-expected US data to stoke recession fears and undermine the dollar.

The dollar index is down more than 5.7% this year.

"These tariffs have certainly significantly increased the risks to the downside for global growth, so on balance we think that will eventually start to become more supportive again for the dollar," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG.

In Asia currencies, China's onshore yuan slid to its weakest level against the dollar since February 13. China's offshore yuan also hit a two-month low.

The Vietnamese dong slumped to a record low.

Elsewhere, the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar strengthened.

Canada and Mexico, the two largest US trading partners, already face 25% tariffs on many goods and will not face additional levies from Wednesday's announcement.