OPEC Expects Demand to Reach Pre-pandemic Levels

A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed Opec logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed Opec logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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OPEC Expects Demand to Reach Pre-pandemic Levels

A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed Opec logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
A 3D printed oil pump jack is seen in front of displayed Opec logo in this illustration picture, April 14, 2020. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

OPEC Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Sunday that the group expects oil demand to exceed pre-pandemic levels this year, reaching almost 102 million barrels a day.

Demand is projected to further rise to 110 million barrels per day by 2025, he said.

“OPEC remains committed to supporting oil market stability,” Al Ghais said in a speech at the Egypt Petroleum Show.

OPEC’s Al-Ghais said the oil industry had been “plagued by several years of chronic underinvestment.” It needs $500 billion of investment annually until 2045, he said.

He added that investment in energy security is essential in economic activity and the cornerstone of the stability of energy markets.

“It is imperative that all parties involved in the ongoing climate negotiations pause for a moment; look at the big picture,” Ghais said on Sunday at an energy conference in Cairo.

They must “work towards an energy transition that is orderly, inclusive and helps ensure energy security for all”.

OPEC's top official urged countries to invest much more in oil to meet the world’s future energy needs and said climate policies need to be more “balanced and fair”.

His comments came amid a shift among some Western governments and companies regarding fossil fuels.

Prices for oil, natural gas, and coal surged after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine last February, pushing energy security to the top of the agenda for many leaders.

US President Joe Biden said during his State of the Union speech last week and said: “We’re going to need oil for at least another decade.”

In Europe, Shell Plc signaled it will stop accelerating spending on renewable energy, while BP Plc slowed its planned reduction of oil and gas output.

“If ESG-driven policies are implemented with an automatic bias against any and all conventional energy projects, the resulting underinvestment will have serious implications for the global economy, for energy affordability, and for energy security,” Amin Nasser, chief executive of Saudi Aramco, said.

“As the energy crisis in Europe has demonstrated, alternatives are not ready to shoulder the heavy burden of global demand. Indeed, the world will continue to depend on oil and gas for the foreseeable future, particularly in sectors such as heavy transport, heavy industry, and power generation," he told the Saudi Capital Market Forum in Riyadh.

“From my perspective, for a less-risky global energy transition, everyone – including capital markets – must take a more realistic view of how the global energy transition will unfold.”



Stocks Stabilize, Gold Hits Record before Trump Tariff Reveal

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo
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Stocks Stabilize, Gold Hits Record before Trump Tariff Reveal

FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Gold bars are displayed at a gold jewelery shop in the northern Indian city of Chandigarh May 8, 2012. REUTERS/Ajay Verma (INDIA - Tags: BUSINESS COMMODITIES)/File Photo

Asian equities rose on Tuesday following Wall Street's overnight gains, while gold hit an all-time peak and Treasury yields fell as markets awaited details of US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs.
The Japanese yen strengthened as traditional haven assets drew demand.
At the same time, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar rebounded after the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates steady, as widely expected, but warning of "pronounced" global uncertainty.
Regional stocks found some respite on the first day of April after being battered in March by worries that Trump's trade war could trigger stagflation or even a US recession, reported Reuters.
Investors are nervously awaiting April 2, a day Trump has dubbed "Liberation Day", when he has promised to unveil a massive reciprocal tariff plan.
Australia's benchmark equity index advanced 1%, while South Korea's KOSPI climbed 1.9% and Taiwan's equity benchmark rose 1.7%, following steep drops on Monday.
At the same time, Hong Kong's Hang Seng and Japan's Nikkei gave up gains of 1% or more to be flat to slightly higher. Mainland Chinese blue chips were also little changed after struggling all session.
Pan-European STOXX 50 futures added 0.35%.
The US S&P 500 gained 0.55% on Monday, snapping a three-day losing run, but futures pointed 0.34% lower.
"It is possible that a significant portion of last night's rebound in the key (Wall Street) indices was attributable to month-end and quarter-end rebalancing flows, as well as short covering ahead of Trump's Liberation Day, amid considerable uncertainty about what comes next," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.
"US equity markets are priced for a slowdown in growth and earnings. However, they are not priced for a recession, and if the US economy enters recession, US stock markets could easily fall by another 10%."
Bullion powered to a record high for a fourth straight session, hitting $3,148.88 per ounce.
"On top of general risk aversion, investors are increasing allocation to gold with the Trump administration's trade policy threatening the dollar's special reserve status," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.
"The fundamental backdrop remains strong for gold."
DOLLAR UNDER PRESSURE
Demand for the safety of Treasuries sent yields lower on Tuesday, with those on benchmark 10-year notes sinking some 5 basis points to 4.1920%.
That put pressure on the dollar, which slipped 0.08% to 149.85 yen. The euro was steady at $1.0813.
The Aussie added 0.14% to $0.6258. The RBA held rates at 4.1%, having just cut them by a quarter point in February for the first time in over four years.
"Geopolitical uncertainties are also pronounced," the RBA said in its statement, adding that US tariffs are having an impact on confidence globally.
"The RBA's statement suggests they're inching towards their next cut, but in no rush to signal one," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index.
"The RBA just want more time to be confident that policy is on the right track."
Bitcoin was slightly higher at around $83,040.
Oil prices rose, adding to the 2% surge from Monday. Brent gained 0.23% to $74.94 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude advanced 0.22% to $71.64.
At the weekend, Trump threatened secondary tariffs on Russian crude and on Iran. He also warned Iran of bombing if Tehran did not come to an agreement with Washington over its nuclear program.