Non-oil private business activity in Saudi Arabia rose to an 8-year high in February, supported by a strong increase in demand and a positive economic outlook. The Kingdom’s Purchasing Managers Index hit 59.8, up from 58.2 in January, at the fastest rate of increase since March 2015.
Sunday’s survey showed that the large rise in new orders indicates an improvement in the economic conditions of companies. The new orders sub-index rose to 68.7 last month, the highest reading in more than eight years, from 65.3 in January, extending a recent upward trend and building strong demand momentum.
As a result, the output sub-index registered a strong increase, reaching 65.6 in February from 63.6 in the previous month, which led to further expansion in hiring and purchasing.
Naif Alghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank, said that despite the tightening of monetary conditions, the balance of supply and demand seemed strong and driven by ongoing projects across the Kingdom, which led to a sharp rise in production and new orders for companies, in addition to an increase in the demand for labor.
However, the strong improvement in demand in February has pushed inflationary pressures higher.
“Prices have responded to the surge in demand, with the increase in input costs evident especially in the services and construction sectors. To that end, we maintain our inflation forecast just below 3 percent, amid the ongoing cost pressures and the current elevated demand that we believe will continue in the medium term,” Alghaith noted.
