Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Sees Rapid Expansion

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Non-Oil Private Sector Sees Rapid Expansion

A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A general view of Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

The non-oil-producing private sector in Saudi Arabia witnessed a rapid expansion at the end of the first quarter of 2023.

The sector recorded a sharp rise in new business during March, which helped achieve more growth in employment and procurement, according to a new business survey.

The seasonally adjusted Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) came in at 58.7 in March, dropping from a near eight-year record of 59.8 in February, but remained firmly above the 50.0 no-change mark as operating conditions improved.

The survey noted that output and new business continued to rise, supporting further growth in employment and purchases.

Some companies said a relatively moderate increase in output prices helped sales grow, while orders from foreign customers expanded again.

A continued surge in new business helped achieve a significant rise in production levels, the latest increase being slightly lower than February’s record level, according to the survey.

“Business conditions remain strongly positive at the end of the first quarter of 2023 as improving market conditions and increased development spending helped to boost demand in the non-oil private sector,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, chief economist at Riyad Bank.

He noted that the strong improvement in demand from foreign customers was due to two reasons: “First, the improvement in industrial landscape has created positive grounds for producers to diversify their production lines and compete in foreign markets, enlarging their market share. Second, the recent depreciation of the US dollar made those goods more affordable and accessible to a number of inflation-torn economies.”

Al-Ghaith added that both production and new orders witnessed a sharp expansion, which increased pressure on production capacity in non-oil-producing companies. Employment levels in all sectors rose at one of the strongest growth rates in the past five years.

The survey found that non-oil firms remained confident of a rise in activity over the next 12 months due to rise in demand and supportive government policy.



Gold Lingers Near Two-week High as Focus Shifts to Payrolls Data

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
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Gold Lingers Near Two-week High as Focus Shifts to Payrolls Data

Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo
Gold bars from the vault of a bank are seen in this illustration picture taken in Zurich November 20, 2014. REUTERS/Arnd Wiegmann/File Photo

Gold prices were flat near a two-week high on Thursday after softer-than-expected US economic data spurred hopes of interest rate cuts as early as September, and the market spotlight is now on Friday's non-farm payrolls data.

Spot gold edged 0.1% higher to $2,358.19 per ounce as of 9:53 a.m. ET (1353 GMT), after prices hit their highest level since June 21 on Wednesday. Most US markets were closed for Independence Day holiday on Thursday.

Bullion prices in the previous session gained more than 1% after a weak services report and ADP employment report on Wednesday depicted a slowing US economy, Reuters reported.

"It appears that there's a strong chance that the rate cuts might occur some time in the end of third quarter or early part of the fourth quarter, which just makes gold a lot more attractive than the alternative (which is) bonds," said Alex Ebkarian, chief operating officer at Allegiance Gold.

Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold.

Minutes of the Fed's June meeting acknowledged the US economy appeared to be slowing and "price pressures were diminishing".

"Long-term wise, we're seeing the sanctions that the US placed (on Russia) inducing a lot of central banks and other governments to move towards gold specifically to eliminate the counterparty and default risk," Ebkarian added.

The sanctions, announced last month, are aimed at cutting off Russia's access to products and services needed to sustain military production for its war in Ukraine.

Traders are now focused on US nonfarm payrolls data, due on Friday. The market is looking for weaker job creation last month, said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

"Together with an expected easing in wage pressure, the precious metal market is likely to react positively should these numbers be confirmed," Hansen added.

Spot silver fell 0.2% to $30.409 while platinum rose 1.6% to $1,012.50.

Palladium was 0.5% down at $1,024.66, after scaling its highest level since mid-April in the previous session.