Oil Edges Down on US Recession Risk

A oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo
A oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo
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Oil Edges Down on US Recession Risk

A oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo
A oil pump is seen at sunset outside Scheibenhard, near Strasbourg, France, October 6, 2017. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann/File Photo

Oil prices slipped on Thursday as the prospect of a possible recession in the United States, the world's largest oil consumer, offset concerns of tight supply.

Brent crude fell 55 cents, or 0.63%, to $86.78 a barrel by 1352 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) slipped 46 cents, or 0.55%, to $82.80.

Both Brent and WTI had risen 2% on Wednesday to their highest in more than a month as cooling US inflation spurred hopes that the US Federal Reserve will stop raising interest rates.

However, minutes from the Fed's last policy meeting indicated that banking sector stress could tip the economy into recession, which would weaken US oil demand.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) flagged downside risks to summer oil demand in a monthly report on Thursday. But OPEC kept its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023 unchanged.

The market is a keeping a close eye on indicators of economic growth, which Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM described as fragile. "Inflationary pressure could easily become elevated again," Varga said.

The market is still reeling from the shock decision by OPEC and its allies, together known as OPEC+, to cut output further.

The executive director of the International Energy Agency expects the move to tighten supply in the second half of the year and push oil prices higher, Reuters reported.

However, the International Monetary Fund on Tuesday highlighted the risk this poses to global economic expansion.

For every 10% rise in the price of oil, IMF models show a 0.1 percentage point reduction in growth and a 0.3 percentage point increase in inflation, IMF chief economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said.

Markets on Wednesday shrugged off a small build in US crude oil stocks, attributing it in part to a release of oil from the US emergency reserve and lower exports at the start of the month.

The Biden administration plans to refill the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve soon and hopes to do it at lower oil prices, US Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm said on Wednesday.



Vision 2030 Sets Saudi Arabia on the Path to Energy Sustainability, Emissions Reduction

 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 
 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 
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Vision 2030 Sets Saudi Arabia on the Path to Energy Sustainability, Emissions Reduction

 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 
 A solar energy project in Saudi Arabia (SPA) 

For decades, Saudi Arabia heavily relied on traditional energy sources as a cornerstone of its national energy mix. This reliance led to significant fossil fuel consumption and a rise in carbon emissions. Despite the Kingdom’s abundant natural resources in solar and wind energy, previous investments in these renewable sources were not scaled to their full potential.

However, with the launch of Vision 2030, a transformative shift began. Diversifying energy sources became a strategic priority for achieving environmental sustainability and reducing carbon emissions. Saudi Arabia introduced the National Renewable Energy Program and the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques Initiative for Renewable Energy. According to the Vision 2030 Report for 2024, these initiatives have significantly accelerated the diversification of the national energy portfolio.

Under these frameworks, Saudi Arabia has achieved notable milestones in the renewable energy sector, including setting a global record for the lowest cost of electricity production from solar and wind energy. The Kingdom has also begun implementing sustainable transportation solutions utilizing hydrogen, while actively supporting the broader transition to a low-carbon energy future.

As part of these efforts, Saudi Arabia has taken practical steps to develop hydrogen-powered transportation solutions and to expand its reliance on low-carbon energy sources. These initiatives are aimed at ensuring the long-term sustainability of the Kingdom’s energy resources, thereby advancing sustainable development and supporting the creation of a thriving green economy.

In the field of energy storage, Saudi Arabia now ranks among the world’s top ten markets. Current projects provide 26 gigawatts of storage capacity, with a target of reaching 48 gigawatts by 2030. Among these projects is the Bisha Energy Storage Project, one of the largest of its kind in the Middle East and Africa, boasting a capacity of 2,000 megawatt-hours and housing 488 state-of-the-art battery containers.

The Kingdom has also made significant advancements in the conventional energy sector. Two new oil fields and two unconventional reservoirs were discovered in the Eastern Province, reinforcing Saudi Arabia’s standing as a leading global energy supplier. These new discoveries produce approximately 11,437 barrels per day of Arabian oil and 9.39 million standard cubic feet per day of associated gas.

In addition, two natural gas fields and two reservoirs were discovered in the Empty Quarter, yielding 140 barrels per day of condensates and 19.5 million standard cubic feet per day of associated gas.