India, Russia Talk Free Trade Deal in Step-up of Relations

Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Industry and Trade of Russian Federation Denis Valentinovich Manturov attends an India-Russia Business Dialogue in New Delhi, India 17 April 2023. (EPA)
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Industry and Trade of Russian Federation Denis Valentinovich Manturov attends an India-Russia Business Dialogue in New Delhi, India 17 April 2023. (EPA)
TT
20

India, Russia Talk Free Trade Deal in Step-up of Relations

Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Industry and Trade of Russian Federation Denis Valentinovich Manturov attends an India-Russia Business Dialogue in New Delhi, India 17 April 2023. (EPA)
Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Industry and Trade of Russian Federation Denis Valentinovich Manturov attends an India-Russia Business Dialogue in New Delhi, India 17 April 2023. (EPA)

India and Russia are discussing a free trade agreement (FTA), the Russian trade minister said on Monday, an announcement that could deepen bilateral commercial ties that have flourished since war broke out in Ukraine.

The FTA talks mark a step-up in economic relations between the two countries despite calls from Western countries for India to gradually distance itself from its dominant weapons supplier, Russia, over its February 2022 invasion of Ukraine.

India's imports from Russia more than quadrupled to $46.33 billion over the last fiscal year, mainly through oil.

"We pay special attention to the issues of mutual access of production to the markets of our countries," Russian Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov, who is also the trade minister, told an event in New Delhi.

"Together with the Eurasian Economic Commission, we are looking forward to intensifying negotiations on a free trade agreement with India."

Indian Foreign Minister S. Jaishankar said the COVID pandemic had disrupted discussions on an FTA between India and the Russian-led Eurasian Economic Union, and that he hoped "our colleagues will pick up on this ... because we do believe it will make a real difference to our trade relationship".

Manturov said road construction material and equipment and chemicals and pharmaceutical products were in demand in Russia and "I am sure that this will create opportunities for Indian companies to increase their supplies to Russia".

The announcement came at a time when New Delhi is also engaged in FTA discussions with Britain, the European Union and the Gulf Cooperation Council.

Reuters reported in November that Russia was potentially seeking to import more than 500 products from India for key sectors including cars, aircraft and trains, given that Western sanctions imposed over Russia's military action in Ukraine have undermined its ability to keep core industries operating.

Manturov also said Russia would consider widening the use of "national currencies and currencies of friendly countries". India has been keen on increasing the use of its rupee currency for trade with Russia.

Russia describes its campaign in Ukraine as a "special military operation" against security threats, while pro-Western Ukraine calls it an unprovoked war of conquest.

New Delhi has not explicitly criticized the Russian invasion and has called for a peaceful resolution of the conflict through dialogue. Russian-Indian bilateral trade has jumped as the war has progressed.

Russia, traditionally India's top source of military hardware, displaced Iraq last month to become India's top supplier of crude oil. Before the war that began in February last year, India bought very little oil from Russia.

Russia's efforts to improve trade with India form part of its strategy to help evade the impact of Western sanctions by boosting commerce with Asian giants including China.

Moscow is also trying to increase or maintain cooperation with other South Asian countries, most recently agreeing to settle payments in yuan for building a nuclear power plant in Bangladesh and discussing discounted oil exports to Pakistan.

Jaishankar said Indian business could benefit from Russian technology and that New Delhi was working to iron out payments, certification and logistics issues.



Turkish Central Bank Surprises with Rate Hike to 46% after Market Turmoil

A logo of Türkiye's Central Bank (TCMB) is pictured at the entrance of the bank's headquarters in Ankara, Türkiye April 19, 2015. REUTERS/Umit Bektas/File Photo
A logo of Türkiye's Central Bank (TCMB) is pictured at the entrance of the bank's headquarters in Ankara, Türkiye April 19, 2015. REUTERS/Umit Bektas/File Photo
TT
20

Turkish Central Bank Surprises with Rate Hike to 46% after Market Turmoil

A logo of Türkiye's Central Bank (TCMB) is pictured at the entrance of the bank's headquarters in Ankara, Türkiye April 19, 2015. REUTERS/Umit Bektas/File Photo
A logo of Türkiye's Central Bank (TCMB) is pictured at the entrance of the bank's headquarters in Ankara, Türkiye April 19, 2015. REUTERS/Umit Bektas/File Photo

The Turkish central bank hiked its key interest rate by 350 basis points to 46% on Thursday, in a surprise move that reversed an easing cycle and slightly boosted the lira, following market volatility in the wake of last month's arrest of Istanbul's mayor.

The bank also lifted its overnight lending rate again, to 49% from 46%, after having already raised it last month in an unscheduled decision following the arrest.

In addition, the overnight borrowing rate was lifted to 44.5% from 41%, underlining the hawkish reversal in monetary policy.

"Monthly core goods inflation is expected to rise slightly in April due to recent developments in financial markets," the central bank's policy committee said in releasing the decision, Reuters reported

Leading indicators suggest domestic demand is above projections, "suggesting a lower disinflationary impact," it said.

"Inflation expectations and pricing behaviour continue to pose risks to the disinflation process," the bank said, adding it would tighten further "in case a significant and persistent deterioration in inflation is foreseen."

The central bank had begun easing in December, when the rate was 50%, after an aggressive tightening effort since mid-2023 to bring down years of soaring prices and a series of currency crashes.

In a Reuters poll, ten of 13 respondents forecast the bank would maintain its one-week repo rate while three predicted a hike of up to 350 basis points. Most respondents expected the overnight lending rate would be held at 46%.

The lira strengthened slightly right after the decision and traded at 38.10 to the US dollar, while the benchmark stock index BIST 100 and banking index pared back some of its gains during the day.

Last month, the currency briefly hit a record low of 42 and stocks and bonds plunged after the detention of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, pushing economic authorities to take several measures to ease the market fallout.

Economists expect the roughly 3% weakening of the lira to lift April and May inflation readings. Annual inflation had slowed to 38.1% in March, and was 2.46% month-on-month, lower than forecast.

Imamoglu - President Erdogan's chief rival - is now jailed pending trial in legal moves that sparked the biggest protests in more than a decade and broad criticism of a politicised judiciary and eroding rule of law, claims the government denies.

The lira steadied near 38 to the dollar and Turkish assets recovered somewhat after the central bank sold some $50 billion since Imamoglu's arrest to stabilise the situation, and it bought some 120 billion lira ($3.15 billion) worth of bonds.

The central bank also raised its overnight lending rate by two percentage points to 46% and paused funding through one-week repo auctions, effectively tightening funding conditions by 400 basis points.

On Thursday the bank said it will closely monitor liquidity conditions and added: "In response to the recent developments in financial markets, additional measures to support the monetary transmission mechanism were quickly put in place."

The rate decision came amid global market turmoil caused by what has become an all-out trade war between the United States and China, with both sides ratcheting up their import tariffs.