Despite Government Measures, Iraqi Dinar Continues to Fall against USD

The Governor of the Central Bank speaks before the Parliamentary Finance Committee about the exchange rate. (Iraq News Agency)
The Governor of the Central Bank speaks before the Parliamentary Finance Committee about the exchange rate. (Iraq News Agency)
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Despite Government Measures, Iraqi Dinar Continues to Fall against USD

The Governor of the Central Bank speaks before the Parliamentary Finance Committee about the exchange rate. (Iraq News Agency)
The Governor of the Central Bank speaks before the Parliamentary Finance Committee about the exchange rate. (Iraq News Agency)

The Iraqi dinar continued to fall against the US dollar, despite the government’s vigorous measures. This decline negatively affected commercial transactions in most of the wholesale markets in Baghdad and the provinces.

On Monday, the exchange rate reached IQD 1,540 to the dollar in the parallel market, compared to IQD 1,320 to the dollar in the official currency auction approved by the Central Bank.

A wholesaler in the Shorja commercial souk in Baghdad told Asharq Al-Awsat that the market was witnessing a great stagnation, adding that the movement of buying and selling has declined recently due to the fluctuating exchange rates.

He noted that traders are worried that the Iraqi dinar would continue to fall against the dollar, touching the ceiling of IQD 1,700 for one dollar, as happened at the beginning of 2023, thus contributing to the rise of commodity prices and basic materials.

The trader did not rule out that the recent US sanctions on 14 Iraqi banks and the central bank’s ban on dealing with them in dollars was behind the new exchange crisis, although the central bank is pumping more money into the currency auction.

Last week, the US Treasury imposed sanctions on 14 Iraqi banks in a crackdown on Iran’s dealings in dollars.

The Wall Street Journal quoted US officials as saying they were taking action against the banks after uncovering information that they engaged in money laundering and fraudulent transactions, some of which may have involved sanctioned individuals and raised concerns that Iran could be benefitting from the dealings.

The continuous decline in the exchange rates of the dinar against the dollar prompted Prime Minister Mohammad al-Sudani to meet with the Governor of the Central Bank, Ali al-Alaq, on Sunday, in the presence of financial advisors and the director general of investment in the bank.

According to a statement, al-Sudani was briefed on “clarifications about the most important facilitations provided by the Central Bank, which include allowing small merchants and individuals to finance their imports without the need to establish a company, through government and private banks that have direct relations with correspondent banks.”

Participants in the meeting also emphasized the need to maintain the compensation for citizens and companies who buy dollars at the unofficial rate.

During the meeting, al-Alaq revealed “the bank’s intention to resume selling cash dollars through licensed banks in Nineveh governorate.”



Oil Steadies as Market Awaits Fresh US Tariffs

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
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Oil Steadies as Market Awaits Fresh US Tariffs

FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A view shows an oil pump jack outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia, June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/File Photo

Oil prices were little changed on Wednesday as traders remained cautious ahead of US tariffs due to be announced at 2000 GMT, fearing they could exacerbate a global trade war and dampen demand for crude.

Brent futures were down 7 cents, or 0.09%, at $74.42 a barrel by 0858 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 5 cents, or 0.07%, to $71.15.

The White House confirmed on Tuesday that President Donald Trump will impose new tariffs on Wednesday, though it provided no detail on the size and scope of the trade barriers, according to Reuters.

Trump's tariff policies could stoke inflation, slow economic growth and escalate trade disputes.

"Crude prices have paused last month's rally, with Brent finding some resistance above $75, with the focus for now turning from a sanctions-led reduction in supply to Trump's tariff announcement and its potential negative impact on growth and demand," said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank.

Traders will be watching for levies on crude imports, potentially driving up prices of refined products, he added.

For weeks Trump has touted April 2 as "Liberation Day", bringing new duties that could rattle the global trade system.

The White House announcement is scheduled for 4 p.m. ET (2000 GMT).

"The balance of risk lies to the downside, given that weaker than expected tariff measures are unlikely to drive a significant rally in Brent, while stronger than expected measures could trigger a substantial selloff," BMI analysts said in a note.

Trump has also threatened to impose secondary tariffs on Russian oil and on Monday he ramped up sanctions on Iran as part of his administration's "maximum pressure" campaign to cut its exports.

"Markets likely to be volatile ahead of the final announcements on tariffs and the scale of them. The threat of secondary tariffs on Russian crude continues to provide some support for prices, with more downside risk at present around tariff uncertainty," said Panmure Liberum analyst Ashley Kelty.

US oil and fuel inventories painted a mixed picture of supply and demand in the world's biggest producer and consumer.

US crude oil inventories rose by 6 million barrels in the week ended March 28, according to sources citing the American Petroleum Institute. Gasoline inventories, however, fell by 1.6 million barrels and distillate stocks were down by 11,000 barrels, the sources said.

Official US crude oil inventory data from the Energy Information Administration is due later on Wednesday.