Rise of Interests Predicts Further Decline in Real Estate Financing in Saudi Arabia

 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Rise of Interests Predicts Further Decline in Real Estate Financing in Saudi Arabia

 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
 The decline in real estate financing is likely to increase the supply of real estate products in the Kingdom. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Real estate financing sector for individuals in the Kingdom is expected to witness a further decline, following a decision by the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) to raise the rates of Repurchase Agreement (Repo) and the Reverse Repurchase Agreement (Reverse Repo) by 25 basis points each.

The volume of real estate financing for individuals in Saudi Arabia recorded a decline during the second quarter of 2023, reaching SAR 16.9 billion ($4.5 billion), compared to SAR 22.7 billion ($6 billion) in the first quarter of the year.

One of the main reasons for this decline is the high interest rate and its impact on borrowing costs, which in turn will be reflected in sales and thus lead to a drop in residential real estate prices.

The head of Amaken International Group, economist Khaled Al-Jasser, told Asharq Al-Awsat that raising the interest rate would affect the financial market, as investors would prefer to withdraw their liquidity and deposit it in banks or valuable assets, thus preserve the value of the purchasing capital, or at least its stability.

He added that SAMA’s decision to raise the interest rate reflected the consistency of financial goals in maintaining monetary and financial stability. He explained that the new move would curb the inflation.

Last month, the Saudi Central Bank decided to raise the rate of Repurchase Agreement (Repo) by 25 basis points to 6.00 percent, and the rate of Reverse Repurchase Agreement (Reverse Repo) by 25 basis points to 5.50 percent. These decisions come in line with SAMA’s endeavor to preserve monetary stability.

For his part, economic expert Ahmed Al-Jubeir told Asharq Al-Awsat that SAMA’s decision would lead to a further decline in the volume of real estate financing for individuals during the next stage, which would affect real estate prices in the Kingdom. He added that the governmental reforms were aimed at containing the inflation rate.

Real estate and personal finance consultant and expert, Suhail Asiri, explained that the decline in the demand for real estate financing was due to expectations for a drop in prices.

“The Saudi Central Bank report reveals that the financing companies sector in the Kingdom has grown by 10.8 percent over the past year,” he told Asharq Al-Awsat.

Asiri added: “The report shows an increase in total assets by 6.5 percent to reach SAR 57 billion ($15.2 billion), and an increase in the total financing portfolio by 10.8 percent to SAR 75.45 billion ($20.1 billion), while financing granted to the individual sector constituted the largest part of the net financing portfolio.”



Saudi EXIM Hosts Global Risk Experts Meeting in Riyadh

The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA
The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA
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Saudi EXIM Hosts Global Risk Experts Meeting in Riyadh

The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA
The event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions. - SPA

The Saudi Export-Import Bank (Saudi EXIM) hosted the Berne Union's Country Risk Specialist Meeting, providing a platform for experts and thought leaders in risk management from the export credit community.
At the meeting, which took place from November 19 to 21 in Riyadh, the attendees exchanged best practices to better protect the industry amid shifting global dynamics.
According to a statement issued by the Saudi EXIM on Saturday, the event gathered specialists from 47 organizations from 33 countries; it served as a platform for discussing strategies, partnerships, and innovative solutions.
By strengthening institutional resilience, the industry is ready to turn global economic challenges into opportunities for economic prosperity, said the statement, adding that it played a crucial role in advancing global trade, strengthening international cooperation, and developing credit solutions that empower export activities while controlling risk, SPA reported.
According to the statement, discussions centered on critical risks impacting international trade and the global economy, such as debt sustainability and geopolitical tensions, along with innovative approaches to risk modelling. Participants also explored the global shifts in infrastructure, energy and critical minerals sectors, and were given an overview of Saudi Arabia's National Industrial Strategy, which focuses on economic diversification through investments, developing new sectors, and promoting local industries.
In his opening remarks, Saudi EXIM CEO Eng. Saad bin Abdulaziz Al-Khalb said the meeting is an ideal platform to address risks impacting global economic decision making.
He stated: "Through such meetings, we can turn challenges into strategic opportunities and enhance our resilience in an ever-changing world. At Saudi EXIM, we remain committed to enabling companies by offering expert financial and non-financial solutions to navigate risks effectively."
He also said that "at Saudi EXIM, we place great emphasis on risk management. In alignment with the main objective of this meeting, I am pleased to announce the completion of our independent country risk model, which is supported by advanced modelling tools and machine learning. This model will provide country ratings and predictions of default risks. We look forward to collaborating with our partners in other export credit agencies to exchange knowledge and expertise, and to strengthening our risk management functions with greater responsibility and effectiveness."
Associate Director at Berne Union Eve Hall said: "The global risk landscape today is highly volatile and highly interconnected. As we navigate our way around the ongoing transformations connected to energy transition and shifting industrial strategies, the traditional concept of 'country risk' is becoming increasingly complex. Our industry excels at understanding, quantifying and pricing these risks, and by bringing together this community of experts for technical exchange the Berne Union is able to help support the development of the industry as a whole. The initiatives announced by our colleagues at Saudi EXIM, making use of new technology in risk analysis, provide a fantastic example of where collaboration in this field can be effectively applied."
The statement disclosed that Saudi EXIM's membership in Berne represents a significant strategic step, and is consistent with the Kingdom's commitment to expanding collaboration and integration in the global economy.
This is achieved by building partnerships with leading institutions to address the challenges facing the export credit sector. It also aligns with the bank's goal of developing the export of national products and services through partnerships with national and international financial and funding organizations.
Berne Union works with global trade organizations to encourage the adoption of best practices in export credit insurance, and to cooperate in maintaining the stability of global trade.
Saudi EXIM, a development bank under the National Development Fund, contributes to diversifying the Kingdom's economic base by improving the efficiency of non-oil export ecosystems, bridging financial gaps, and minimizing export risks. This plays a role in helping the non-oil national economy grow, in line with Vision 2030.