Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries
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Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia was able to expand the difference in the inflation rate with the G20 countries and maintain its advanced position, occupying the second place after China, by recording 2 percent in August.

The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) announced Thursday that inflation in the Kingdom registered a further decline in August, after reaching 2.3 percent in July. This current level of inflation in the Kingdom is the lowest in a year and a half.

Compared to inflation rates of the G20 countries in August, Saudi Arabia recorded 2 percent, Indonesia 3.27 percent, Canada and Japan 3.3 percent, each, and South Korea 3.4 percent. The inflation rate in America reached 3.7 percent, Mexico 4.6 percent, South Africa 4.7 percent, France 4.8 percent, Russia 5.2 percent, and the Eurozone 5.3 percent.

The rate in Italy reached 5.5 percent, Australia 6 percent, then Germany 6.1 percent, while the United Kingdom recorded a rate of 6.8 percent.

Türkiye and Argentina came at the bottom of the G20 ranking, registering 58.9 percent and 124 percent, respectively.

As for China, it topped the list with the lowest inflation rate of 0.1 percent.

In this context, experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia was still controlling inflation through several measures adopted by the government. Those include the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) raising interest rates, setting the ceiling for energy prices, and resuming grain exports from Ukraine.

Advisor and Professor of Commercial Law Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi, told Asharq Al-Awsat that SAMA’s decision to raise the standard borrowing rates in line with the monetary tightening policy taken by the US Federal Reserve led to curbing inflation.

He added that the drop of the inflation rate in Saudi Arabia was due to the decline in food prices, the establishment of the ceiling for energy prices, the resumption of grain exports from Ukraine, as well as the decrease of housing and education costs.

Al-Obaidi expected inflation rates in Saudi Arabia to continue to shrink during the remainder of this year, between 1 and 1.5 percent on an annual basis, as well as in 2024.

For his part, Economic Expert Mohammad Al-Anqari told Asharq Al-Awsat that several reasons were behind the drop in the inflation rate in Saudi Arabia, including external factors such as the rise of the dollar against global currencies.

GASTAT’s report indicated that the inflation rate last month was affected by an increase in the prices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other types of fuel by 9 percent, in addition to a rise in the prices of food and beverages by 0.4 percent.



Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday after threats by US President Donald Trump to impose secondary tariffs on Russian crude and attack Iran, though worries about the impact of a trade war on global growth capped gains.

Brent futures rose 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $74.98 a barrel at 0645 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $71.70.

The contracts settled at five-week highs a day earlier.

"Near-term risks are skewed to the upside, with US threats of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil leading market participants to price for the risks of tighter oil supplies," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG, Reuters reported.

However, broader themes still revolve around concerns of upcoming tariffs weighing on global demand, along with prospects of increased supply from OPEC+ and the US, said Yeap.

A Reuters poll of 49 economists and analysts in March projected that oil prices would remain under pressure this year from US tariffs and economic slowdowns in India and China, while OPEC+ increases supply.

Slower global growth would dent fuel demand, which might offset any reduction in supply due to Trump's threats.

After news of Trump's threats initially boosted prices on Monday, traders told Reuters they viewed the president's warnings to Russia, at least, as a bluff.

Trump, on Sunday, told NBC News that he was very angry with Russian President Vladimir Putin and would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on Russian oil buyers if Moscow tries to block efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

Tariffs on buyers of oil from Russia, the world's second largest oil exporter, would disrupt global supply and hurt Moscow's biggest customers, China and India.

Trump also threatened Iran with similar tariffs and bombings if Tehran did not reach an agreement with the White House over its nuclear program.

"For now, it appears to be just a threat to Russia and Iran. However, if it becomes a reality, it creates plenty of upside risk to the market given the significant oil export volumes from both countries," said ING commodities strategists on Tuesday.

The market will be watching for weekly inventory data from US industry group the American Petroleum Institute later on Tuesday, ahead of official statistics from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

Five analysts surveyed by Reuters estimated on average that US crude inventories fell by about 2.1 million barrels in the week to March 28.