Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries
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Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia Expands Inflation Gap with the G20 Countries

Saudi Arabia was able to expand the difference in the inflation rate with the G20 countries and maintain its advanced position, occupying the second place after China, by recording 2 percent in August.

The General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) announced Thursday that inflation in the Kingdom registered a further decline in August, after reaching 2.3 percent in July. This current level of inflation in the Kingdom is the lowest in a year and a half.

Compared to inflation rates of the G20 countries in August, Saudi Arabia recorded 2 percent, Indonesia 3.27 percent, Canada and Japan 3.3 percent, each, and South Korea 3.4 percent. The inflation rate in America reached 3.7 percent, Mexico 4.6 percent, South Africa 4.7 percent, France 4.8 percent, Russia 5.2 percent, and the Eurozone 5.3 percent.

The rate in Italy reached 5.5 percent, Australia 6 percent, then Germany 6.1 percent, while the United Kingdom recorded a rate of 6.8 percent.

Türkiye and Argentina came at the bottom of the G20 ranking, registering 58.9 percent and 124 percent, respectively.

As for China, it topped the list with the lowest inflation rate of 0.1 percent.

In this context, experts told Asharq Al-Awsat that Saudi Arabia was still controlling inflation through several measures adopted by the government. Those include the Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) raising interest rates, setting the ceiling for energy prices, and resuming grain exports from Ukraine.

Advisor and Professor of Commercial Law Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi, told Asharq Al-Awsat that SAMA’s decision to raise the standard borrowing rates in line with the monetary tightening policy taken by the US Federal Reserve led to curbing inflation.

He added that the drop of the inflation rate in Saudi Arabia was due to the decline in food prices, the establishment of the ceiling for energy prices, the resumption of grain exports from Ukraine, as well as the decrease of housing and education costs.

Al-Obaidi expected inflation rates in Saudi Arabia to continue to shrink during the remainder of this year, between 1 and 1.5 percent on an annual basis, as well as in 2024.

For his part, Economic Expert Mohammad Al-Anqari told Asharq Al-Awsat that several reasons were behind the drop in the inflation rate in Saudi Arabia, including external factors such as the rise of the dollar against global currencies.

GASTAT’s report indicated that the inflation rate last month was affected by an increase in the prices of housing, water, electricity, gas and other types of fuel by 9 percent, in addition to a rise in the prices of food and beverages by 0.4 percent.



Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions
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Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil Prices Rise as Concerns Grow over Supply Disruptions

Oil prices climbed on Tuesday reversing earlier declines, as fears of tighter Russian and Iranian supply due to escalating Western sanctions lent support.

Brent futures were up 61 cents, or 0.80%, to $76.91 a barrel at 1119 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed 46 cents, or 0.63%, to $74.02.

It seems market participants have started to price in some small supply disruption risks on Iranian crude exports to China, said UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo.

In China, Shandong Port Group issued a notice on Monday banning US sanctioned oil vessels from its network of ports, according to three traders, potentially restricting blacklisted vessels from major energy terminals on China's east coast.

Shandong Port Group oversees major ports on China's east coast, including Qingdao, Rizhao and Yantai, which are major terminals for importing sanctioned oil.

Meanwhile, cold weather in the US and Europe has boosted heating oil demand, providing further support for prices.

However, oil price gains were capped by global economic data.

Euro zone inflation

accelerated

in December, an unwelcome but anticipated blip that is unlikely to derail further interest rate cuts from the European Central Bank.

"Higher inflation in Germany raised suggestions that the ECB may not be able to cut rates as fast as hoped across the Eurozone, while US manufactured good orders fell in November," Ashley Kelty, an analyst at Panmure Liberum said.

Technical indicators for oil futures are now in overbought territory, and sellers are keen to step in once again to take advantage of the strength, tempering additional price advances, said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

Market participants are waiting for more data this week, such as the US December non-farm payrolls report on Friday, for clues on US interest rate policy and the oil demand outlook.