Capturing Foreign Hostages Puts Hamas in Trouble, Israel in Crisis

Palestinians and militants from the Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades run towards the Erez crossing between Israel and north Gaza Strip (AFP)
Palestinians and militants from the Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades run towards the Erez crossing between Israel and north Gaza Strip (AFP)
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Capturing Foreign Hostages Puts Hamas in Trouble, Israel in Crisis

Palestinians and militants from the Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades run towards the Erez crossing between Israel and north Gaza Strip (AFP)
Palestinians and militants from the Ezzedine al-Qassam Brigades run towards the Erez crossing between Israel and north Gaza Strip (AFP)

The about 150 Israeli and foreign hostages held currently in Gaza remain a pivotal tool in determining the fate of the Israeli-Hamas war at a time when both sides have used the matter to raise the ceiling of their goals.

Israel refused to negotiate on the release of the hostages, and says it will continue the war until the captives are released unconditionally and without price.

In return, Hamas said it will not free the hostages until the release of all Palestinian prisoners in Israeli jails – about 5,500 detainees.

At present, the number and identity of Israeli hostages in Gaza remain unclear.

Estimates say there are 150 hostages, 30 of them held by the Islamic Jihad, others held by Palestinian factions and the overwhelming majority by Hamas.

Eyewitnesses say the list of hostages include 10 Americans, several tourists from Britain, Russia and Germany and some workers from Thailand.

Their presence in Gaza certainly affects the decisions of war on both sides.

On the one hand, the governments of the hostages seek to secure their safe return back home, while the US administration is exerting pressure on both sides for their release.

Reports published in Washington said negotiations were underway with Hamas to secure a humanitarian exchange deal under which women, children and the sick would be freed in exchange for Israel releasing Palestinian prisoners of war.

But Israeli officials prefer to use force and not negotiations to release the hostages. They do not want Hamas to register any victory or political achievement.

The Israelis are still in shock from Saturday’s attack by Hamas. The Israeli army is suffering from a serious crisis of confidence not only among local citizens and Palestinians, but in the world.

By using force instead of negotiations, Israeli leaders hope to erase the image of a weak army that was unable last Saturday to prevent the death of 800 Israelis by a small armed organization like Hamas and to protect 22 towns and a barrier that has cost $800 million.

Meanwhile, Hamas has already warned that the captured Israeli and foreign hostages are being held across the Gaza strip so it becomes harder for the Israelis to reach them and free them.

Hamas is seeking to benefit from the hostage file at the foreign level. It hopes that the governments of the captives would stop the Israeli attacks on Gaza and speed up a prisoner swap deal.

But at the same time, the Movement has failed to reveal any proper human treatment of the hostages that could attract foreign sympathy.

The photos and videos posted on social networks showed Hamas members beating prisoners, boasting that they had captured an elderly woman in a wheelchair and several children.

Although Israel is also killing and capturing Palestinians, Israeli authorities are using Hamas photos and videos with well-lubricated media campaigns against the group and the Palestinians.

The images caused outrage in the world against Hamas. But at the same time, they raised concerns for the lives of the foreign hostages, pushing several countries to start negotiations on a prisoner swap deal.

These countries, led by the United States, Britain and Germany and which have stood with Israel against Hamas from the very beginning of the war, expect the Israelis to return the favor and not to block any swap deal.

A military spokesman for the Qassam Brigades said that the Israeli bombing of the Gaza Strip on Monday night and Tuesday led to the death of four Israeli hostages. The reports jeopardize the lives of the rest of hostages and aggravate the relations of these countries not only with Hamas, but also with Israel.

Finally, if the Israelis decide to utilize the “Hannibal protocol”, an order that compels army units to do everything they can to recover an abducted comrade, its use with foreign hostages will lead Israel into a crisis.



Gaza Ceasefire Traps Netanyahu between Trump and Far-right Allies

This image grab from handout video footage released by the Israeli Government Press Office (GPO) shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu giving a televised address in Jerusalem on January 18, 2025. (Photo by GPO / AFP)
This image grab from handout video footage released by the Israeli Government Press Office (GPO) shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu giving a televised address in Jerusalem on January 18, 2025. (Photo by GPO / AFP)
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Gaza Ceasefire Traps Netanyahu between Trump and Far-right Allies

This image grab from handout video footage released by the Israeli Government Press Office (GPO) shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu giving a televised address in Jerusalem on January 18, 2025. (Photo by GPO / AFP)
This image grab from handout video footage released by the Israeli Government Press Office (GPO) shows Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu giving a televised address in Jerusalem on January 18, 2025. (Photo by GPO / AFP)

Even before it was signed, the Gaza ceasefire forced Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu into a tight spot - between a new US president promising peace and far-right allies who want war to resume. That tension is only likely to increase.
The stakes for Netanyahu are high -- keeping his coalition government on the one hand and on the other, satisfying US President Donald Trump who wants to use the ceasefire momentum to expand Israel's diplomatic ties in the Middle East.
One of Netanyahu's nationalist allies has already quit over the Gaza ceasefire, and another is threatening to follow unless war on Hamas is resumed at an even greater force than that which devastated much of Gaza for 15 months.
The clock is ticking. The first stage of the ceasefire is meant to last six weeks. By day 16 -- Feb. 4 -- Israel and the Palestinian group Hamas are due to start negotiating the second phase of the ceasefire, whose stated aim is to end the war.
Former police minister Itamar Ben-Gvir's Jewish Power party quit the government on Sunday and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich said that he will stay in government only if war resumes after the first phase until the total defeat of Hamas, whose Oct. 7, 2023 attack on Israel triggered the war.
"We must go back in a completely different style. We need to conquer Gaza, instate a military rule there, even if temporarily, to start encouraging (Palestinian) emigration, to start taking territory from our enemies and to win," Smotrich said in an interview with Channel 14 on Sunday.
Trump's Middle East envoy Steve Witkoff, however, said on Wednesday he was focused on ensuring the deal moves from the first to second phase, which is expected to include a complete withdrawal of Israeli forces from Gaza.
"Netanyahu is pressed between the far-right and Donald Trump," said political analyst Amotz Asa-El, with the Shalom Hartman Institute in Jerusalem. "Netanyahu's coalition now is fragile and the likelihood that it will fall apart sometime in the course of 2025 is high."
Netanyahu's office did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
Witkoff told Fox News on Wednesday that he will be on the ground overseeing the ceasefire, a signal that he will keep up the pressure he applied during the deal's negotiations.
According to six US, Israeli, Egyptian and other Mideast officials who spoke to Reuters in the run-up to the ceasefire announcement on Jan. 15, Witkoff played a crucial role in getting the deal over the line.
The ceasefire's first phase includes the release of hostages, a partial withdrawal of Israeli forces and aid flow into Gaza.
The second phase, if it happens, would include the release of remaining hostages and the complete withdrawal of Israeli forces. A third phase is expected to start Gaza's reconstruction, overseen by Egypt, Qatar and the United Nations.
One of the most difficult issues involved in negotiating the next phases is post-war Gaza's governance. Israel won't accept Hamas staying in power. Hamas so far has not given ground.
Trump's national security adviser Mike Waltz said on Sunday, that Hamas will never govern Gaza and if it reneges on the deal, Washington will support Israel "in doing what it has to do."
On Saturday, after his government signed off on the ceasefire, Netanyahu said Israel had US backing to resume fighting if the second stage talks prove futile, leaving himself some political leeway with Smotrich, for now.
"If we need to go back to the fighting, we will do so in new ways and with great force," Netanyahu said in a video statement.