Does Open Confrontation between Washington, Armed Factions Embarrass Iraqi Diplomacy?

US Marines inspect a homemade rocket launcher that was found in the desert near a military base in western Iraq (File- Reuters)
US Marines inspect a homemade rocket launcher that was found in the desert near a military base in western Iraq (File- Reuters)
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Does Open Confrontation between Washington, Armed Factions Embarrass Iraqi Diplomacy?

US Marines inspect a homemade rocket launcher that was found in the desert near a military base in western Iraq (File- Reuters)
US Marines inspect a homemade rocket launcher that was found in the desert near a military base in western Iraq (File- Reuters)

Iraq’s official statement condemning the recent US bombing of a number of armed faction bases west and southwest of Baghdad did not rise to the level of an official protest, according to Iraqi parties that are opposed to the US presence in the country.

The Iraqi government’s statement was carefully written, using diplomatic rhetoric, which gave the impression that the Iraqi government was walking a tightrope between the United States on the one hand and the pro-Iranian armed factions on the other.

While Iraq repeatedly reiterated its need for the US-led international coalition, in addition to its adherence to the strategic framework agreement signed between Baghdad and Washington in 2009, it cannot allow further escalation with these factions for emotional reasons related to the war in Gaza.

“We vehemently condemn the attack on Jurf al-Nasr, executed without the knowledge of Iraqi government agencies. This action is a blatant violation of sovereignty and an attempt to destabilize the security situation,” Basem al-Awadi, spokesperson for the Iraqi government, said in the statement.

Stressing that the attack was carried out without the knowledge of the Iraqi government seemed to be a message of protest to Washington regarding its lack of coordination, despite the strategic framework agreement between the two countries. It also appeared to be a message of reassurance to the armed factions that the government had not given Washington the green light in any way.

Moreover, the government statement reiterated its need for the international coalition, saying that the presence of the international forces in Iraq supported “the work of our armed forces through training, rehabilitation, and counseling.”
“The recent incident represents a clear violation of the coalition’s mission to combat ISIS on Iraqi soil,” the statement added.

Meanwhile, remarks issued by several Iraqi Shiite leaders ranged between a severe tone and repeated calls for the government to implement the Parliament’s decision issued in 2020, pertaining to the removal of American forces from the country.

Hadi Al-Amiri, the leader of the Al-Fatah Alliance, and Qais Al-Khazali, the head of Asaib Ahl al-Haq, called for the expulsion of the US forces, while the leader of the State of Law coalition, Nouri al-Maliki, condemned the US attacks but left some space for diplomatic action.
“The Iraqi government is committed to protecting diplomatic missions,” he said in a statement.

During a meeting with US Ambassador Helena Romanski, Iraqi Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein did not deliver a diplomatic letter of protest. This was seen by many Iraqi parties that even if Baghdad condemned the attacks, its diplomatic tone did not reach the level of official protest.

In this regard, experts and political analysts question whether Baghdad’s balanced tone would help maintain the rules of engagement between the armed factions and the United States within acceptable limits without reaching the bone-breaking stage.
Such an escalation would constitute a great embarrassment to the Iraqi government, in the event the factions bomb the US embassy or the United States directly targets some of the leaders of these groups. Then, the scene will change, so will the rules of engagement.



The US Election by Numbers

Clark County Election Workers inspect mail-in ballots for the 2024 Election at the Clark County Election Department in North Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, 02 November 2024. (EPA)
Clark County Election Workers inspect mail-in ballots for the 2024 Election at the Clark County Election Department in North Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, 02 November 2024. (EPA)
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The US Election by Numbers

Clark County Election Workers inspect mail-in ballots for the 2024 Election at the Clark County Election Department in North Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, 02 November 2024. (EPA)
Clark County Election Workers inspect mail-in ballots for the 2024 Election at the Clark County Election Department in North Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, 02 November 2024. (EPA)

Swing states, electoral college votes, candidates up and down the ballot, and millions of potential voters: Here is the US election, broken down by numbers.

- Two -

Several independents ran -- and at least one, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, stumbled into a number of eyebrow-raising headlines.

But in the end, the presidential race comes down to a binary choice, with the two candidates from the major parties -- Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump -- seeking to lead a polarized America.

- Five -

November 5 -- Election Day, traditionally held on the Tuesday following the first Monday in November.

- Seven -

The number of swing states -- those which don't clearly favor one party over the other, meaning they are up for grabs.

Harris and Trump are courting voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, concentrating their campaign efforts there in a push to ensure victory.

In a razor-tight election, just a handful of votes in any of those states could decide the outcome.

- 34 and 435 -

Voters won't just decide the White House occupant on Election Day -- they will also hit refresh on the US Congress.

Thirty-four Senate seats and all 435 spots in the House of Representatives are up for grabs.

In the House, members serve a two-year term. Republicans currently have the majority, and Harris's Democrats will be hoping for a turnaround.

In the Senate, 34 seats out of 100 are available, for a six-year term. Republicans are hoping to overturn the narrow Democratic majority.

- 538 -

Welcome to the Electoral College, the indirect system of universal suffrage that governs presidential elections in the United States.

Each state has a different number of electors -- calculated by adding the number of their elected representatives in the House, which varies according to population, to the number of senators (two per state).

Rural Vermont, for example, has just three electoral votes. Giant California, meanwhile, has 54.

There are 538 electors in total scattered across the 50 states and the District of Columbia. To take the White House, a candidate must win 270 votes.

- 774,000 -

The number of poll workers who made sure the 2020 election ran smoothly, according to the Pew Research Center.

There are three types of election staff in the United States.

The majority are poll workers -- recruited to do things like greet voters, help with languages, set up voting equipment, and verify voter IDs and registrations.

Election officials are elected, hired or appointed to carry out more specialized duties such as training poll workers, according to Pew.

Poll watchers are usually appointed by political parties to observe the ballot count -- expected to be particularly contentious this year, thanks to Trump's refusal to agree to unconditionally accept the result.

Many election workers have already spoken to AFP about the pressure and threats they are receiving ahead of the November 5 vote.

- 75 million -

As of November 2, more than 75 million Americans had voted early, according to a University of Florida database.

Most US states permit in-person voting or mail-in voting to allow people to deal with scheduling conflicts or an inability to cast their ballots on election day itself on November 5.

- 244 million -

The number of Americans who will be eligible to vote in 2024, according to the Bipartisan Policy Center.

How many of those will actually cast their ballot remains to be seen, of course. But the Pew Research Center says that the midterm elections of 2018 and 2022, and the presidential vote of 2020, produced three of the highest turnouts of their kind seen in the United States in decades.

"About two-thirds (66 percent) of the voting-eligible population turned out for the 2020 presidential election -- the highest rate for any national election since 1900," Pew says on its website.

That translated to nearly 155 million voters, according to the Census Bureau.