Türkiye's Central Bank Invites Foreigners to Buy Lira Bonds

Türkiye's central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan said she is living with her parents because of housing inflation (AFP)
Türkiye's central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan said she is living with her parents because of housing inflation (AFP)
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Türkiye's Central Bank Invites Foreigners to Buy Lira Bonds

Türkiye's central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan said she is living with her parents because of housing inflation (AFP)
Türkiye's central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan said she is living with her parents because of housing inflation (AFP)

Türkiye's central bank governor Hafize Gaye Erkan said its monetary tightening cycle has ended and called on foreigners to invest in lira-denominated government bonds at current favorable returns.

Erkan said inflation in education and rents have been more sticky, while a supply shortage is affecting the pricing mechanism in housing.

She indicated she also feels the impact of high rents in Istanbul, prompting her to reside with her parents.

"Why is Istanbul more expensive than Manhattan?" she said. "We couldn't find a place in Istanbul; it's extremely expensive. We settled into my parents' house and are staying there."

According to Bloomberg, tight monetary policy has started to affect consumer prices, but single-digit inflation won't be achieved before 2026.

Since Erkan's appointment in June, the central bank has increased the policy rate by more than 30 percentage points to 40%.

Erkan, 44, was appointed head of the Central Bank in June. The governor spent two decades in the US as an executive in top banks, including Goldman Sachs Group Inc.

Foreign investors had been offloading and shunning lira-denominated bonds for most of the preceding decade as officials in Ankara imposed a series of unorthodox measures to discourage short-selling of the lira.

Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek and Erkan, appointed this year, have begun overhauling those policies, gradually unwinding regulations while boosting rates to tackle soaring inflation.

"Around this time next year, we will be in a more moderate environment in terms of inflation and monetary tightness," she told the paper.

"If foreign investors were to enter, it should be now. It's obvious that if they come later, there will be lower returns."

Erkan said there has been increasing demand from foreign investors for government bonds in the last four weeks, especially from the US.

"We don't want foreign investors to invest through swaps as it doesn't have any impact on reserves," Erkan said.

The Monetary Policy Committee said last month the monetary tightening cycle would slow down and be completed in a short period.

Erkan explained that price increases have eased for products, including automobiles, white goods, and furniture, but it will take more time in areas such as transportation and food.

The annual inflation rate was 62% at the end of November. The central bank sees year-end inflation at 65% and 36% at the end of 2024.

Turkish officials set a 25% ceiling for rent increases to contain public anger.

However, analysts believed it further escalated the situation, as landlords sought to evict tenants, aiming for higher housing allowances from new tenants.

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan appointed Simsek as Minister of Finance and Erkan as Governor following the presidential elections to curb inflation and enhance the country's credibility in the stock and bond investment markets.

Erdogan aimed to shift away from years of loose monetary policy and sustained intervention in financial markets.



Moody’s Upgrades Türkiye’s Ratings to B1 on Tight Monetary Policy

A street vendor waits for customers at an underground passage in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 11, 2024. (Reuters)
A street vendor waits for customers at an underground passage in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 11, 2024. (Reuters)
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Moody’s Upgrades Türkiye’s Ratings to B1 on Tight Monetary Policy

A street vendor waits for customers at an underground passage in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 11, 2024. (Reuters)
A street vendor waits for customers at an underground passage in Istanbul, Türkiye, July 11, 2024. (Reuters)

Ratings agency Moody's upgraded Türkiye’s ratings to "B1" from "B3" on Friday, citing improvements in governance and a tighter stance on monetary policy.

Backed by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and spear-headed by Finance Minister Mehmet Simsek, Türkiye has been implementing a tight monetary and fiscal policy since last year to tackle soaring inflation. Annual inflation dipped to below 72% last month from above 75% in May, which is seen as the peak.

Türkiye’s central bank has raised its main rate to 50% from 8.5% since Simsek was appointed last year.

The country's central bank has recently said it will maintain its tight monetary policy stance until a permanent decline in inflation is achieved. In June, the central bank reiterated that disinflation would take hold in the second half of the year.

Last month, the international crime watchdog, Financial Action Task Force (FATF), removed Türkiye from its "grey list" of countries that require special scrutiny, in a boost to the country's economic turnaround plan.

Moody's is the first credit ratings agency to announce new ratings for Türkiye following the FATF decision.

Lower current-account deficit and improvement in the central bank's financial position has materially reduced the country's external vulnerability, Moody's said.

"Earlier concerns over rising risks of a full-blown balance of payments crisis - which had triggered successive downgrades to the B3 rating level - have for now dissipated," the agency added in a statement.

The agency also maintained its "positive" outlook on Türkiye, expecting authorities to maintain its tight economic policy stance for longer.