UAE Expects Exports to Increase by 33% Through Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements

The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)
The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)
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UAE Expects Exports to Increase by 33% Through Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreements

The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)
The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%. (WAM)

The UAE’s Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) is expected to increase the UAE’s exports by 33%.

The CEPA program is projected to contribute more than AED153 billion ($41.6 billion) to the national GDP by 2031 - representing growth of almost 10 percent in 2022.

According to a recent report, three deals were implemented in 2023, two more signed and awaiting implementation, and four were agreed upon their terms, in addition to a partnership agreement with India - taking the total number of CEPA partners since the launch of the program to 10.

Over the course of a pivotal year for trade, the UAE’s CEPAs with Türkiye, Indonesia, and Israel came into force, removing or reducing tariffs, eliminating trade barriers, and opening up market opportunities for exporters and investors.

In addition, CEPAs were signed with the emerging economies of Cambodia and Georgia, both of which will be implemented in the first half of 2024, while terms were also agreed upon for CEPAs with South Korea, Colombia, Mauritius, and Congo-Brazzaville.

The UAE also commenced CEPA negotiations with a number of other countries, including Serbia, Ukraine, Eurasia, Australia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Costa Rica, Kenya, Chile and Vietnam.

Economic partnership

The UAE's Minister of State for Foreign Trade, Thani al-Zeyoudi, stressed that the year 2023 witnessed a number of achievements within the UAE’s foreign agenda through the CEPA program.

He also noted that the flagship CEPA program has secured access to markets that account for nearly 2 billion people, or a quarter of the world’s population.

“Trade has always been important to the UAE, a bridge that has connected our products, skills and natural resources to the world and infused our economy with its latest ideas and innovations. But, as underlined by the ‘We the UAE 2031’ vision, launched at the end of 2022 by Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum, Vice President and Prime Minister of the UAE and Ruler of Dubai, it is now a cornerstone of our economic development and diversification ambitions.”

Al-Zeyoudi also highlighted that, in the first half of 2023, the UAE’s non-oil foreign trade reached an all-time high of AED1.24 trillion ($337 billion), with exports climbing to AED205 billion ($55.8 billion) - another record.



Oil Gains Capped by Uncertainty over Sanctions Impact

FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo
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Oil Gains Capped by Uncertainty over Sanctions Impact

FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: An oil pump jack is seen at sunset near Midland, Texas, US, May 3, 2017. REUTERS/Ernest Scheyder/File Photo

Oil prices crept higher on Wednesday as the market focused on potential supply disruptions from sanctions on Russian tankers, though gains were tempered by a lack of clarity on their impact.

Brent crude futures rose 16 cents, or 0.2%, to $80.08 a barrel by 1250 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude was up 26 cents, or 0.34%, at $77.76.

The latest round of US sanctions on Russian oil could disrupt Russian oil supply and distribution significantly, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in its monthly oil market report on Wednesday, adding that "the full impact on the oil market and on access to Russian supply is uncertain".

A fresh round of sanctions angst seems to be supporting prices, along with the prospect of a weekly US stockpile draw, said Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, Reuters reported.

"Tankers carrying Russian crude seems to be struggling offloading their cargoes around the world, potentially driving some short-term tightness," he added.

The key question remains how much Russian supply will be lost in the global market and whether alternative measures can offset the , shortfall, said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong.

OPEC, meanwhile, expects global oil demand to rise by 1.43 million barrels per day (bpd) in 2026, maintaining a similar growth rate to 2025, the producer group said on Wednesday.

The 2026 forecast aligns with OPEC's view that oil demand will keep rising for the next two decades. That is in contrast with the IEA, which expects demand to peak this decade as the world shifts to cleaner energy.

The market also found some support from a drop in US crude oil stocks last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute (API) figures on Tuesday.

Crude stocks fell by 2.6 million barrels last week while gasoline inventories rose by 5.4 million barrels and distillates climbed by 4.88 million barrels, API sources said.

A Reuters poll found that analysts expected US crude oil stockpiles to have fallen by about 1 million barrels in the week to Jan. 10. Stockpile data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) is due at 10:30 a.m. EST (1530 GMT).

On Tuesday the EIA trimmed its outlook for global demand in 2025 to 104.1 million barrels per day (bpd) while expecting supply of oil and liquid fuel to average 104.4 million bpd.

It predicted that Brent crude will drop 8% to average $74 a barrel in 2025 and fall further to $66 in 2026 while WTI was projected to average $70 in 2025, dropping to $62 in 2026.