Withdrawal or Partnership: Differences between Washington, Baghdad over Future of Int’l Coalition

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meets with US Vice President Kamala Harris, in Munich, Germany, February 16, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office/Handout via Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meets with US Vice President Kamala Harris, in Munich, Germany, February 16, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office/Handout via Reuters)
TT

Withdrawal or Partnership: Differences between Washington, Baghdad over Future of Int’l Coalition

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meets with US Vice President Kamala Harris, in Munich, Germany, February 16, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office/Handout via Reuters)
Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani meets with US Vice President Kamala Harris, in Munich, Germany, February 16, 2024. (Iraqi Prime Minister Media Office/Handout via Reuters)

Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al-Sudani informed western officials he met in Munich that his country was keen on ending the deployment of the forces of the US-led international coalition to fight ISIS.

Sudani was in Germany to attend the Munich Security Conference. He met with NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, British Foreign Secretary David Cameron, US Vice President Kamala Harris and members of the US Congress.

The PM stressed that Iraq was forging ahead in “reviewing” its relations with the international coalition to pave the way for its eventual withdrawal from his country.

Stoltenberg said after meeting Sudani that cooperation in offering consultations and training to Iraqi security forces will be expanded to cover Interior Ministry personnel.

Washington, meanwhile, spoke of a “permanent” bilateral security partnership with Baghdad.

Baghdad and Washington often express different stances over the crisis related to the US troop deployment. The crisis erupted three months ago in wake of Iraqi armed factions’ attacks on American bases in Iraq and Syria.

Baghdad announced in January that it had agreed with Washington on kicking off discussions over the future of the coalition aimed at setting a timetable for its withdrawal and ending its mission.

Meetings were held between Iraq and the US to discuss the extent of the threat posed by ISIS and the operational demands on the ground, and on bolstering the capabilities of the Iraqi security forces.

Iraq has come to view the deployment of the coalition as a source of instability given the strikes the US has carried out against Iraqi armed factions that in turn attack its bases. The attacks have increased since Israel waged its war on Gaza on October 7.

The US Defense Department has on two occasions in the past two months denied that the ongoing discussions between Baghdad and Washington are tackling the withdrawal.

Sudani met with VP Harris on Friday, stressing that Iraq’s position is “unyielding in regard to its sovereignty”.

A statement from his office said the officials agreed to continue dialogue through the US-Iraq Higher Military Commission to end the mission of the anti-ISIS coalition in Iraq now that the Iraqi armed forces have sufficiently developed their capabilities and after the terrorist threat has waned.

A White House statement said Harris “urged the Iraqi government to prevent attacks against US personnel and expressed appreciation for the prime minister’s efforts to date.”

“She stated that the United States has no higher priority than the safety of US personnel, and will act, as needed, in self-defense,” said the statement that made no reference to the withdrawal of American troops.

Harris and Sudani also “reaffirmed their mutual interest in a strong and enduring partnership as envisioned in the US-Iraq Strategic Framework Agreement.”

She reiterated President Joe Biden’s invitation to Sudani to visit the White House.

In a departure from his predecessors, the PM has yet to visit the US since he came to power in October 2022. Some observers believe the visit had not been planned yet due to Washington’s reservations over the presence of pro-Iran groups in the Iraqi government.



Netanyahu ‘Takes Revenge’ on Macron in Lebanon

 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)
 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)
TT

Netanyahu ‘Takes Revenge’ on Macron in Lebanon

 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)
 A photo of Netanyahu and Macron during their meeting in Jerusalem in October 2023 (AFP)

Israel’s insistence that France can not be a member of the international committee that will monitor a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon is due to a series of French practices that have disturbed Israel recently, political sources in Tel Aviv revealed.
These practices are most notably attributed to the French judge at the International Criminal Court (ICC) in The Hague, who has joined other judges to unanimously issue arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Gallant, the sources revealed.
“The Israeli government is following with concern the French role at The Hague,” they said, noting that veteran French lawyer Gilles Devers led a team of 300 international lawyers of various nationalities who volunteered to accuse Israel of “committing war crimes and crimes against humanity.”
According to the Israeli Maariv newspaper, Israeli officials believe that Devers, who signed the arrest warrant against Netanyahu and Galant, would not have dared to do so without having received a green light from French President Emmanuel Macron.
Israeli sources also mentioned other reasons for Israel’s anger at France, such as the government’s decision to bar Israeli firms from exhibiting at the Euronaval arms show near Paris earlier this month.
French officials have repeatedly said that Paris is committed to Israel's security and point out that its military helped defend Israel after Iranian attacks in April and earlier this month.
Paris has so far also refused to recognize the Palestinian state. But the Israeli government is not satisfied. It wants France to follow the United States and blindly support its war in Gaza and Lebanon.
Tel Aviv also feels incredibly confident that France should be punished, and therefore, decided that Paris could not participate in the Lebanese ceasefire agreement, knowing that the Israeli government itself has traveled to Paris several times begging for its intervention, especially during the war on Lebanon.
Meanwhile, an air of optimism has emerged in Israel around the chances for an end to the fighting between Israel and Hezbollah in Lebanon following negotiations led by US envoy Amos Hochstein.
But any optimism relies on Netanyahu’s final decision. The PM is still conducting talks with his friends and allies of the far right who reject the ceasefire agreement and instead, demand that Lebanese citizens not be allowed to return to their villages on the border with Israel. They also request that a security belt be turned into a permanently depopulated and mined zone.
Hochstein Talks
Meanwhile, political sources in Israel claim that what is holding up a ceasefire deal so far is Lebanon. According to Israel's Channel 12, Hochstein expressed a “firm stance” during his talks with the Lebanese side. The envoy delivered clear terms that were passed on to Hezbollah, which the channel said “led to significant progress” in the talks.
Israeli officials said that Tel Aviv is moving towards a ceasefire agreement in Lebanon with Hezbollah in the coming days.
The channel said that during his late visit to Tel Aviv, coming from Beirut after talks with Speaker Nabih Barri, Hochstein said, “I placed before them (Lebanese officials) a final warning, and it seems to have been effective.”
Iran Obstacle
Despite the “positive atmosphere,” informed diplomatic sources pointed to a major obstacle: Iran.
Channel 12 quoted the sources as saying that Lebanon has not yet received the final approval required from Iran, which has significant influence over Hezbollah.

According to the draft proposal, the Lebanese Army must be redeployed to the south and carry out a comprehensive operation to remove weapons from villages. The US Central Command (CENTCOM) forces will “supervise and monitor the implementation of the operation.”
Channel 12 said Israel believes that such details could still derail the agreement. It also said that Hezbollah could violate the truce.
“In such cases, Israel would have to conduct military operations inside the Lebanese territory,” the channel reported, adding that “one of the unsettled issues is related to the committee that will oversee the implementation of the agreement between Israel and Lebanon.”
The sources said Tel Aviv “insists that France is not part of the agreement, nor part of the committee that will oversee its implementation.”