Saudi Arabia Ranks 3rd in Global Retail Development Index

The retail sector represents about 12% of the Kingdom's GDP, according to Kearney (Reuters)
The retail sector represents about 12% of the Kingdom's GDP, according to Kearney (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Ranks 3rd in Global Retail Development Index

The retail sector represents about 12% of the Kingdom's GDP, according to Kearney (Reuters)
The retail sector represents about 12% of the Kingdom's GDP, according to Kearney (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia jumped nine places in the Global Retail Development Index, ranking third globally and first in the Arab world.

Kearney International Consulting issued the Global Retail Development Index by the end of 2023.

It is prepared based on a survey conducted every two years to evaluate promising retail markets and measure progress in developing trade globally, taking into account economic growth, consumer wealth, and the regulatory framework.

Based on a report issued by Kearney and viewed by Asharq Al-Awsat, the retail sector represented about 12% of Riyadh's GDP.

With more than 5 million households, Saudi Arabia has the largest consumer market among the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations.

Saudi Arabia's economy has been consciously evolving away from oil dependence, which accounts for about 40% of the GDP.

Kearney partner Mohammed Dhedhi expected Saudi Arabia to continue its excellent performance in the index for 2024, influenced by the continued growth in its non-oil sector and the rise in disposable income.

Dhedhi explained to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the 10th edition of the Retail Leaders Circle MENA Summit in Riyadh that the non-oil domestic product in Saudi Arabia will continue to grow at a faster pace than the gross domestic product, expecting it to grow in the range of 0.3-0.5% points in 2024.

He further noted that several factors enhance the retail sector's contribution to the Saudi economy, noting that Saudization, government reforms, and increasing digitization in the retail ecosystem will accelerate growth.

Saudi Minister of Municipal, Rural Affairs, and Housing Majed al-Hogail said that the retail sector currently constitutes 23% of the non-oil GDP in the Kingdom and is expected to grow to more than $122.6 billion by the end of 2024.

Speaking during the Summit, Hogail noted that the total number of active commercial licenses for the sector exceeded 400,000 licenses from 2019 until the end of 2023, as efforts to stimulate the industry resulted in the issuance of no less than 70,000 annual licenses, recording a steady growth of about 6%.

According to the report, Kearney expects the non-oil sector growth to remain robust thanks to steady, ongoing investment activity in Vision 2030-related projects, local industrial and construction sector expansion, and the government's resilient commitment to progress with Vision 2030 reforms.

Saudi Arabia has made significant regulatory strides to promote diversification and private sector growth. New laws promote entrepreneurship, protect investors' rights, and reduce business costs in the Kingdom.



Saudi Arabia Raises its Non-Oil Economic Growth Forecast to 6.2% in 2026

 A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
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Saudi Arabia Raises its Non-Oil Economic Growth Forecast to 6.2% in 2026

 A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)

Saudi Arabia has raised its forecast for non-oil economic growth in 2026 to 6.2%, marking a jump from previous estimates of 5%.

Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim revealed that the Kingdom is targeting 4.8% non-oil economic growth in 2024, increasing to 6.2% by 2026, while emphasizing the long-term importance of investing in human capital.

Speaking during a panel discussion titled “The Future of Growth” at the World Economic Forum 2025 in Davos, Alibrahim stated that economic transformation and sustainable growth require bold, inclusive leadership and a long-term vision. He cited Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 as a model for reducing dependency on oil and diversifying investment portfolios.

Global economic growth rates currently stand at 3.2–3.3%, significantly below the historical average of 4%, he noted.

He stressed the importance of building institutional capacities and investing in human capital as foundational elements for sustainable economic growth, emphasizing that these factors are essential for any successful economic strategy.

On US economic policies with Donald Trump returning for a second term as president, the minister stated they would not have an immediate impact on the global economy, as they involve long-term restructuring. He added that Saudi Arabia maintains strong relations with the United States.

Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan reiterated the need to improve global methodologies for measuring gross national income (GNI) to better reflect the realities of emerging economies. He emphasized that enhancing measurement frameworks would improve the efficiency of international institutions, support sustainable development in emerging markets, and contribute to global economic equity.

Meanwhile, Saudi Tourism Minister Ahmed Al-Khateeb outlined plans to transform Riyadh into a global business hub by hosting around 25 major international conferences, including the Future Investment Initiative and the LEAP Technology Conference.

Al-Khateeb also announced the launch of the largest travel and tourism event of its kind, set to take place in November. He invited global stakeholders to participate, describing the forum as a significant attraction for the international tourism sector.

Speaking during a panel discussion titled “The Role of Tourism and Travel in Building Trust” at Davos, Al-Khateeb highlighted the rapid growth of Saudi Arabia’s travel and tourism sector, which outpaced global growth rates last year with an increase of over 70%, the highest among G20 nations.

This growth, he explained, is linked to Saudi Arabia’s efforts to open its borders to encourage tourism, a key part of Vision 2030, which aims to diversify the Kingdom’s economy.

The minister noted that Saudi Arabia offers a wide range of attractions, from the scenic mountains of the south to the Red Sea coastline in the west. He emphasized that the Kingdom is investing in human capital to strengthen the sector, pointing to the ambition of young Saudis eager to join the tourism industry.