Housing, Utilities and Fuel Drive Inflation Index in Saudi Arabia

People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Housing, Utilities and Fuel Drive Inflation Index in Saudi Arabia

People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
People shop at a supermarket in Saudi Arabia. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s inflation rate increased to 2% in November, the highest in 15 months. The rise was driven primarily by a 9.1% increase in housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel prices, alongside a 2.7% rise in prices for miscellaneous goods and personal services. In contrast, transportation costs fell by 2.5%.

Despite the increase, Saudi Arabia remains the G20 nation with the lowest inflation rate, a level economists describe as relatively moderate.

According to the Consumer Price Index report published by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) on Sunday, the housing, water, electricity, gas, and other fuel category saw a 9.1% rise, which was mainly due to a 10.8% surge in residential rents.

Housing costs significantly influenced overall inflation, as this category accounts for 25.5% of the consumer basket. Similarly, prices for miscellaneous goods and personal services rose by 2.7%, driven by a 23.7% increase in the prices of jewelry, watches and antiques.

The restaurants and hotels category also experienced a 1.5% rise, fueled by a 5.9% increase in hotel and furnished apartment service costs. Meanwhile, education expenses increased by 1.1%, reflecting a 1.8% rise in tuition fees for middle and secondary schools.

Food and beverage prices rose slightly by 0.3%, primarily due to a 1.9% increase in the cost of meat and poultry.

Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, linked the 2% year-on-year inflation increase to economic shifts under Vision 2030, which aims to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy and reduce reliance on oil.

According to Al-Ghaith, the housing and utilities sector was the primary contributor to inflation, with residential rent prices, particularly for apartments, increasing by 12.5%.

Moreover, the 2.7% increase in miscellaneous goods and personal services reflects changes in consumption patterns and rising demand for certain goods and services amid Saudi Arabia’s ongoing economic and social transformation.

In contrast, the transportation sector’s 2.5% decline helped offset inflationary pressures. Al-Ghaith attributed this decrease to improvements in transportation infrastructure and enhanced logistics efficiency, aligning with Vision 2030’s objectives to modernize the transport and logistics sectors.

Al-Ghaith noted that these inflationary changes are part of the Kingdom’s broader economic transformation. For instance, rising housing costs may indicate increased investment in real estate and improved living standards. Similarly, higher prices for personal goods and services reflect the economy’s diversification and the emergence of new industries.



Iran's Rial Hits a Record Low, Battered by Regional Tensions and Energy Crisis

An Iranian trader counts money in Tehran's Grand Bazaar. (Reuters)
An Iranian trader counts money in Tehran's Grand Bazaar. (Reuters)
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Iran's Rial Hits a Record Low, Battered by Regional Tensions and Energy Crisis

An Iranian trader counts money in Tehran's Grand Bazaar. (Reuters)
An Iranian trader counts money in Tehran's Grand Bazaar. (Reuters)

The Iranian rial on Wednesday fell to its lowest level in history, losing more than 10% of value since Donald Trump won the US presidential election in November and signaling new challenges for Tehran as it remains locked in the wars raging in the Middle East.

The rial traded at 777,000 rials to the dollar, traders in Tehran said, down from 703,000 rials on the day Trump won.

Iran’s Central Bank has in the past flooded the market with more hard currencies in an attempt to improve the rate.

In an interview with state television Tuesday night, Central Bank Gov. Mohammad Reza Farzin said that the supply of foreign currency would increase and the exchange rate would be stabilized. He said that $220 million had been injected into the currency market, The AP reported.

The currency plunged as Iran ordered the closure of schools, universities, and government offices on Wednesday due to a worsening energy crisis exacerbated by harsh winter conditions. The crisis follows a summer of blackouts and is now compounded by severe cold, snow and air pollution.

Despite Iran’s vast natural gas and oil reserves, years of underinvestment and sanctions have left the energy sector ill-prepared for seasonal surges, leading to rolling blackouts and gas shortages.

In 2015, during Iran’s nuclear deal with world powers, the rial was at 32,000 to $1. On July 30, the day that Iran’s reformist President Masoud Pezeshkian was sworn in and began his term, the rate was 584,000 to $1.

Trump unilaterally withdrew America from the accord in 2018, sparking years of tensions between the countries that persist today.

Iran’s economy has struggled for years under crippling international sanctions over its rapidly advancing nuclear program, which now enriches uranium at near weapons-grade levels.

Pezeshkian, elected after a helicopter crash killed hard-line President Ebrahim Raisi in May, came to power on a promise to reach a deal to ease Western sanctions.

Tensions still remain high between the nations, 45 years after the 1979 US Embassy takeover and the 444-day hostage crisis that followed. Before the revolution, the rial traded at 70 for $1.