Saudi Energy Minister Discusses Market Stability with Iraqi, Libyan Counterparts

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).
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Saudi Energy Minister Discusses Market Stability with Iraqi, Libyan Counterparts

Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).
Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman meets with Iraq’s Minister of Oil Hayan Abdul Ghani. (SPA).

As global oil markets anticipate the upcoming OPEC+ meeting next week, attention is focused on economic uncertainties, including weak economic data from China and US President Donald Trump’s calls for lower oil prices.

On Monday, Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman met with Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdul Ghani and Libyan Oil and Gas Minister Khalifa Abdul Sadiq in Riyadh. Their discussions centered on boosting cooperation to stabilize global energy markets and serving the mutual interests of their countries.

The OPEC+ alliance, comprising OPEC members and non-OPEC allies like Russia, is scheduled to hold its Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) meeting on February 3.

The meeting was held amid US President Donald Trump’s renewed pressure on OPEC to lower oil prices, arguing that such a move could help end the war in Ukraine. However, OPEC+ has already planned a gradual increase in oil production starting in April, signaling a phased rollback of earlier production cuts.

Saudi Arabia has consistently worked towards oil market stability, a commitment reaffirmed by Prince Abdulaziz. Similarly, Saudi Economy Minister Faisal Alibrahim, when asked about Trump’s remarks at the World Economic Forum in Davos, emphasized that Saudi Arabia and OPEC prioritize long-term market stability over short-term price fluctuations.

Prince Abdulaziz also held discussions with Egyptian Petroleum Minister Karim Badawi on enhancing energy cooperation, particularly in energy efficiency, with Saudi Arabia sharing its expertise in the field.

Oil prices saw modest gains on Tuesday, but remained near a two-week low, affected by weak Chinese economic data and forecasts of warmer weather dampening demand expectations. On Monday, Brent crude closed at its lowest level since January 9, while WTI hit its lowest since January 2.

China, the world’s largest crude importer, reported an unexpected contraction in manufacturing activity in January, raising concerns about slowing global oil demand. The latest US sanctions on Russian oil trade are also expected to disrupt China’s crude supply.

According to analysts at FGE, refineries in Shandong could lose up to 1 million barrels per day due to US restrictions on Russian oil tankers. While alternative crude sources are being explored, these come at significantly higher costs.

Oil price movements remain intertwined with broader financial market trends, including increased investor interest in DeepSeek, a Chinese company that recently launched a low-cost AI model, influencing overall market sentiment.



Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
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Oil Extends Climb on Supply Fears, Trade War Concerns Cap Gains

FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)
FILE - Pump jacks extract oil from beneath the ground in North Dakota, May 19, 2021. (AP Photo/Matthew Brown, File)

Oil prices inched higher on Tuesday after threats by US President Donald Trump to impose secondary tariffs on Russian crude and attack Iran, though worries about the impact of a trade war on global growth capped gains.

Brent futures rose 21 cents, or 0.3%, to $74.98 a barrel at 0645 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures climbed 22 cents, or 0.3%, to $71.70.

The contracts settled at five-week highs a day earlier.

"Near-term risks are skewed to the upside, with US threats of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil leading market participants to price for the risks of tighter oil supplies," said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG, Reuters reported.

However, broader themes still revolve around concerns of upcoming tariffs weighing on global demand, along with prospects of increased supply from OPEC+ and the US, said Yeap.

A Reuters poll of 49 economists and analysts in March projected that oil prices would remain under pressure this year from US tariffs and economic slowdowns in India and China, while OPEC+ increases supply.

Slower global growth would dent fuel demand, which might offset any reduction in supply due to Trump's threats.

After news of Trump's threats initially boosted prices on Monday, traders told Reuters they viewed the president's warnings to Russia, at least, as a bluff.

Trump, on Sunday, told NBC News that he was very angry with Russian President Vladimir Putin and would impose secondary tariffs of 25% to 50% on Russian oil buyers if Moscow tries to block efforts to end the war in Ukraine.

Tariffs on buyers of oil from Russia, the world's second largest oil exporter, would disrupt global supply and hurt Moscow's biggest customers, China and India.

Trump also threatened Iran with similar tariffs and bombings if Tehran did not reach an agreement with the White House over its nuclear program.

"For now, it appears to be just a threat to Russia and Iran. However, if it becomes a reality, it creates plenty of upside risk to the market given the significant oil export volumes from both countries," said ING commodities strategists on Tuesday.

The market will be watching for weekly inventory data from US industry group the American Petroleum Institute later on Tuesday, ahead of official statistics from the Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

Five analysts surveyed by Reuters estimated on average that US crude inventories fell by about 2.1 million barrels in the week to March 28.