Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Exports Continue Upward Trend with 18.1% Increase

A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Exports Continue Upward Trend with 18.1% Increase

A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports, including re-exports, continued their steady rise, increasing by 18.1% year-on-year in December, reaching SAR 29 billion ($7.7 billion). Non-oil exports, excluding re-exports, also saw a 15.9% increase.

According to data released by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) on Tuesday, oil exports declined by 10% in December, with their share of total exports dropping from 74.3% in December 2023 to 68.8% in 2024.

The data also showed that Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus shrank by 56.1% year-on-year in the last month of 2023.

Two key factors contributed to the pressure on the trade balance: a 27.1% increase in commodity imports to SAR 79 billion year-on-year and a 2.8% decline in total exports to SAR 94 billion.

Saudi Arabia’s oil revenues have been steadily decreasing due to voluntary production cuts in line with OPEC+ decisions aimed at maintaining market stability.

- Diversifying Income Sources -

Experts attribute the rise in non-oil exports to improvements in airport, port, and road infrastructure, along with continuous support for the private sector. They affirm that Saudi Arabia is on the right track to becoming a global logistics hub.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, experts highlighted that the government is implementing strategies to diversify national income sources, making the growth of non-oil exports a key pillar in achieving the country’s economic objectives in the coming years.

Dr. Mohammed Makni, Professor of Finance and Investment at Riyadh’s Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the increase in non-oil exports reflects the government’s commitment to this sector as part of its broader strategy to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy.

He noted that since early last year, the Kingdom has been achieving record numbers in non-oil exports, which grew by approximately 17% compared to 2023. This growth aligns with efforts to increase the share of non-oil exports to 50% by 2030.

- Petrochemicals Sector -

Makni also underscored the importance of establishing the Saudi Export Development Authority, which focuses heavily on expanding non-oil exports.

Saudi Arabia’s strength in this sector is largely driven by petrochemicals, which account for around 30% of total non-oil exports, he noted. This dominance is due to the Kingdom’s strong position in energy and oil production, making petrochemicals a natural extension. Other significant contributors include the rubber industry and other manufacturing sectors.

He further explained that government support for the non-oil sector—through investment packages, commercial chambers, and assistance for exporters—has boosted competition and contributed to the country’s goal of economic diversification.

- Encouraging Investments -

Meanwhile, legal expert and commercial law professor Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the rise in non-oil exports is largely due to increased chemical exports—one of the most significant non-oil sectors—along with the export of plastics, rubber, and related products.

The higher re-export rates for the month contributed to the overall increase in non-oil exports, he said.

This growth reflects the Saudi government’s extensive efforts to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil as a primary revenue source, in line with Vision 2030, he stressed. These efforts include promoting both foreign and domestic investments and stimulating non-oil sectors such as industry, trade, mining, and tourism, in addition to supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

He attributed the rise in non-oil exports to improvements in the infrastructure of airports, ports, roads, and warehouses used in export operations. This is part of Saudi Arabia’s strategy to position itself as a global logistics hub connecting the world’s continents. Enhancements in production processes, product quality, supply chain efficiency, and export facilitation have also played a crucial role.

- Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Performance -

Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the latest Riyad Bank Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading showed an unprecedented boom in the non-oil sector, surpassing 60.5. This strong performance highlights the growing role of the private sector in bolstering the national economy—fully aligned with Vision 2030 goals to diversify economic foundations and reduce dependence on oil as the primary income source.

According to Al-Ghaith, this growth has been accompanied by a rise in imports, particularly in machinery, equipment, and metals, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s strategy to develop and modernize its industrial sector.

However, despite these positive developments, the trade surplus in goods narrowed by 52.4% in Q4 2023 compared to the same period in the previous year, underscoring the need to strengthen national exports to maintain trade balance.

He added that Saudi Arabia is rapidly advancing its position as a regional and global economic power by fostering an attractive investment environment and strengthening international partnerships. These efforts are part of the broader strategy to achieve sustainable and balanced economic growth, while expanding the role of the private sector in the national economy.



Dollar Tumbles as Investors Seek Safe Havens after US Tariffs

US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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Dollar Tumbles as Investors Seek Safe Havens after US Tariffs

US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
US Dollar banknote is seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

The dollar weakened broadly on Thursday, while the euro rallied after President Donald Trump announced harsher-than-expected tariffs on US trading partners, unsettling markets as investors flocked to safe havens such as the yen and Swiss franc.

The highly anticipated tariff announcement sent shockwaves through markets, with global stocks sinking and investors scrambling to the safety of bonds as well as gold.

Trump said he would impose a 10% baseline tariff on all imports to the United States and higher duties on some of the country's biggest trading partners.

The new levies ratchet up a trade war that Trump kicked off on his return to the White House, rattling markets as fears grow that a full-blown trade war could trigger a sharp global economic slowdown and fuel inflation, Reuters reported.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six others, fell 1.6% to 102.03, its lowest since early October.

The euro, the largest component in the index, gained 1.5% to a six-month high of $1.1021.

Trump has already imposed tariffs on aluminium, steel and autos, and has increased duties on all goods from China.

"Eye-watering tariffs on a country-by-country basis scream 'negotiation tactic', which will keep markets on edge for the foreseeable future," said Adam Hetts, global head of multi-asset and portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors.

The risk-sensitive Australian dollar added 0.56% to $0.63365, while the New Zealand dollar climbed 0.9% to $0.5796.

The yen strengthened to a three-week high against the dollar and was last up 1.7% at 146.76 per dollar, while the Swiss franc touched its strongest level in five months at 0.86555 per dollar.

"Negotiations are now going to be front of mind. This is probably the other big part of why we're seeing some of these currencies outperform," said Nicholas Rees, Head Of Macro Research at Monex Europe.

"It's very difficult actually to see how other countries make concessions that would encourage the US to lift these tariffs. And I think that's a big underpriced risk."

Investors are worried that some US trading partners could retaliate with measures of their own, leading to higher prices.

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen described the tariffs as a major blow to the world economy and said the 27-member bloc was prepared to respond with countermeasures if talks with Washington failed.

Worries about a global trade war have intensified since Trump stepped into the White House in January, combining with a slew of weaker-than-expected US data to stoke recession fears and undermine the dollar.

The dollar index is down more than 5.7% this year.

"These tariffs have certainly significantly increased the risks to the downside for global growth, so on balance we think that will eventually start to become more supportive again for the dollar," said Lee Hardman, senior currency analyst at MUFG.

In Asia currencies, China's onshore yuan slid to its weakest level against the dollar since February 13. China's offshore yuan also hit a two-month low.

The Vietnamese dong slumped to a record low.

Elsewhere, the Mexican peso and Canadian dollar strengthened.

Canada and Mexico, the two largest US trading partners, already face 25% tariffs on many goods and will not face additional levies from Wednesday's announcement.