Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Exports Continue Upward Trend with 18.1% Increase

A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Exports Continue Upward Trend with 18.1% Increase

A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports, including re-exports, continued their steady rise, increasing by 18.1% year-on-year in December, reaching SAR 29 billion ($7.7 billion). Non-oil exports, excluding re-exports, also saw a 15.9% increase.

According to data released by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) on Tuesday, oil exports declined by 10% in December, with their share of total exports dropping from 74.3% in December 2023 to 68.8% in 2024.

The data also showed that Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus shrank by 56.1% year-on-year in the last month of 2023.

Two key factors contributed to the pressure on the trade balance: a 27.1% increase in commodity imports to SAR 79 billion year-on-year and a 2.8% decline in total exports to SAR 94 billion.

Saudi Arabia’s oil revenues have been steadily decreasing due to voluntary production cuts in line with OPEC+ decisions aimed at maintaining market stability.

- Diversifying Income Sources -

Experts attribute the rise in non-oil exports to improvements in airport, port, and road infrastructure, along with continuous support for the private sector. They affirm that Saudi Arabia is on the right track to becoming a global logistics hub.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, experts highlighted that the government is implementing strategies to diversify national income sources, making the growth of non-oil exports a key pillar in achieving the country’s economic objectives in the coming years.

Dr. Mohammed Makni, Professor of Finance and Investment at Riyadh’s Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the increase in non-oil exports reflects the government’s commitment to this sector as part of its broader strategy to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy.

He noted that since early last year, the Kingdom has been achieving record numbers in non-oil exports, which grew by approximately 17% compared to 2023. This growth aligns with efforts to increase the share of non-oil exports to 50% by 2030.

- Petrochemicals Sector -

Makni also underscored the importance of establishing the Saudi Export Development Authority, which focuses heavily on expanding non-oil exports.

Saudi Arabia’s strength in this sector is largely driven by petrochemicals, which account for around 30% of total non-oil exports, he noted. This dominance is due to the Kingdom’s strong position in energy and oil production, making petrochemicals a natural extension. Other significant contributors include the rubber industry and other manufacturing sectors.

He further explained that government support for the non-oil sector—through investment packages, commercial chambers, and assistance for exporters—has boosted competition and contributed to the country’s goal of economic diversification.

- Encouraging Investments -

Meanwhile, legal expert and commercial law professor Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the rise in non-oil exports is largely due to increased chemical exports—one of the most significant non-oil sectors—along with the export of plastics, rubber, and related products.

The higher re-export rates for the month contributed to the overall increase in non-oil exports, he said.

This growth reflects the Saudi government’s extensive efforts to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil as a primary revenue source, in line with Vision 2030, he stressed. These efforts include promoting both foreign and domestic investments and stimulating non-oil sectors such as industry, trade, mining, and tourism, in addition to supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

He attributed the rise in non-oil exports to improvements in the infrastructure of airports, ports, roads, and warehouses used in export operations. This is part of Saudi Arabia’s strategy to position itself as a global logistics hub connecting the world’s continents. Enhancements in production processes, product quality, supply chain efficiency, and export facilitation have also played a crucial role.

- Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Performance -

Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the latest Riyad Bank Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading showed an unprecedented boom in the non-oil sector, surpassing 60.5. This strong performance highlights the growing role of the private sector in bolstering the national economy—fully aligned with Vision 2030 goals to diversify economic foundations and reduce dependence on oil as the primary income source.

According to Al-Ghaith, this growth has been accompanied by a rise in imports, particularly in machinery, equipment, and metals, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s strategy to develop and modernize its industrial sector.

However, despite these positive developments, the trade surplus in goods narrowed by 52.4% in Q4 2023 compared to the same period in the previous year, underscoring the need to strengthen national exports to maintain trade balance.

He added that Saudi Arabia is rapidly advancing its position as a regional and global economic power by fostering an attractive investment environment and strengthening international partnerships. These efforts are part of the broader strategy to achieve sustainable and balanced economic growth, while expanding the role of the private sector in the national economy.



IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.


Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.


Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.