Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Exports Continue Upward Trend with 18.1% Increase

A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
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Saudi Arabia’s Non-Oil Exports Continue Upward Trend with 18.1% Increase

A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)
A view of the King Abdullah Port. (Asharq Al-Awsat)

Saudi Arabia’s non-oil exports, including re-exports, continued their steady rise, increasing by 18.1% year-on-year in December, reaching SAR 29 billion ($7.7 billion). Non-oil exports, excluding re-exports, also saw a 15.9% increase.

According to data released by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT) on Tuesday, oil exports declined by 10% in December, with their share of total exports dropping from 74.3% in December 2023 to 68.8% in 2024.

The data also showed that Saudi Arabia’s trade surplus shrank by 56.1% year-on-year in the last month of 2023.

Two key factors contributed to the pressure on the trade balance: a 27.1% increase in commodity imports to SAR 79 billion year-on-year and a 2.8% decline in total exports to SAR 94 billion.

Saudi Arabia’s oil revenues have been steadily decreasing due to voluntary production cuts in line with OPEC+ decisions aimed at maintaining market stability.

- Diversifying Income Sources -

Experts attribute the rise in non-oil exports to improvements in airport, port, and road infrastructure, along with continuous support for the private sector. They affirm that Saudi Arabia is on the right track to becoming a global logistics hub.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat, experts highlighted that the government is implementing strategies to diversify national income sources, making the growth of non-oil exports a key pillar in achieving the country’s economic objectives in the coming years.

Dr. Mohammed Makni, Professor of Finance and Investment at Riyadh’s Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the increase in non-oil exports reflects the government’s commitment to this sector as part of its broader strategy to diversify Saudi Arabia’s economy.

He noted that since early last year, the Kingdom has been achieving record numbers in non-oil exports, which grew by approximately 17% compared to 2023. This growth aligns with efforts to increase the share of non-oil exports to 50% by 2030.

- Petrochemicals Sector -

Makni also underscored the importance of establishing the Saudi Export Development Authority, which focuses heavily on expanding non-oil exports.

Saudi Arabia’s strength in this sector is largely driven by petrochemicals, which account for around 30% of total non-oil exports, he noted. This dominance is due to the Kingdom’s strong position in energy and oil production, making petrochemicals a natural extension. Other significant contributors include the rubber industry and other manufacturing sectors.

He further explained that government support for the non-oil sector—through investment packages, commercial chambers, and assistance for exporters—has boosted competition and contributed to the country’s goal of economic diversification.

- Encouraging Investments -

Meanwhile, legal expert and commercial law professor Dr. Osama Al-Obaidi told Asharq Al-Awsat that the rise in non-oil exports is largely due to increased chemical exports—one of the most significant non-oil sectors—along with the export of plastics, rubber, and related products.

The higher re-export rates for the month contributed to the overall increase in non-oil exports, he said.

This growth reflects the Saudi government’s extensive efforts to diversify the economy and reduce reliance on oil as a primary revenue source, in line with Vision 2030, he stressed. These efforts include promoting both foreign and domestic investments and stimulating non-oil sectors such as industry, trade, mining, and tourism, in addition to supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs).

He attributed the rise in non-oil exports to improvements in the infrastructure of airports, ports, roads, and warehouses used in export operations. This is part of Saudi Arabia’s strategy to position itself as a global logistics hub connecting the world’s continents. Enhancements in production processes, product quality, supply chain efficiency, and export facilitation have also played a crucial role.

- Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) Performance -

Dr. Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank, told Asharq Al-Awsat that the latest Riyad Bank Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) reading showed an unprecedented boom in the non-oil sector, surpassing 60.5. This strong performance highlights the growing role of the private sector in bolstering the national economy—fully aligned with Vision 2030 goals to diversify economic foundations and reduce dependence on oil as the primary income source.

According to Al-Ghaith, this growth has been accompanied by a rise in imports, particularly in machinery, equipment, and metals, reflecting Saudi Arabia’s strategy to develop and modernize its industrial sector.

However, despite these positive developments, the trade surplus in goods narrowed by 52.4% in Q4 2023 compared to the same period in the previous year, underscoring the need to strengthen national exports to maintain trade balance.

He added that Saudi Arabia is rapidly advancing its position as a regional and global economic power by fostering an attractive investment environment and strengthening international partnerships. These efforts are part of the broader strategy to achieve sustainable and balanced economic growth, while expanding the role of the private sector in the national economy.



Pakistan’s Finance Minister to Asharq Al-Awsat: We Draw Inspiration from Saudi Arabia

The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)
The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)
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Pakistan’s Finance Minister to Asharq Al-Awsat: We Draw Inspiration from Saudi Arabia

The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)
The Pakistani Finance Minister during his meeting with Saudi Minister of Economy and Planning Faisal Alibrahim on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference (SPA)

Pakistani Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb discussed the future of his country, which has frequently experienced a boom-and-bust cycle, saying Pakistan has relied on International Monetary Fund (IMF) programs due to the absence of structural reforms.

In an interview with Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Aurangzeb acknowledged that Pakistan has relied on IMF programs 24 times not as a coincidence, but rather as a result of the absence of structural reforms and follow-up.

He stressed the government has decided to "double its efforts" to stay on the reform path, no matter the challenges, affirming that Islamabad not only has a reform roadmap, but also draws inspiration from "Saudi Vision 2030" as a unique model of discipline and turning plans into reality.

Revolution of Numbers

Aurangzeb reviewed the dramatic transformation in macroeconomic indicators. After foreign exchange reserves covered only two weeks of imports, current policies have succeeded in raising them to two and a half months.

He also pointed out to the government's success in curbing inflation, which has fallen from a peak of 38 percent to 10.5 percent, while reducing the fiscal deficit to 5 percent after being around 8 percent.

Aurangzeb commented on the "financial stability" principle put forward by his Saudi counterpart, Mohammed Aljadaan, considering it the cornerstone that enabled Pakistan to regain its lost fiscal space.

He explained that the success in achieving primary surpluses and reducing the deficit was not merely academic figures, but rather transformed into solid "financial buffers" that saved the country.

The minister cited the vast difference in dealing with disasters. While Islamabad had to launch an urgent international appeal for assistance during the 2022 floods, the "fiscal space" and buffers it recently built enabled it to deal with wider climate disasters by relying on its own resources, without having to search "haphazardly" for urgent external aid, proving that macroeconomic stability is the first shield to protect economic sovereignty.

Privatization and Breaking the Stalemate of State-Owned Enterprises

Aurangzeb affirmed that the Pakistani Prime Minister adopts a clear vision that "the private sector is what leads the state."

He revealed the handover of 24 government institutions to the privatization committee, noting that the successful privatization of Pakistan International Airlines in December provided a "momentum" for the privatization of other firms.

Aurangzeb also revealed radical reforms in the tax system to raise it from 10 percent to 12 percent of GDP, with the adoption of a customs tariff system that reduces local protection to make Pakistani industry more competitive globally, in parallel with reducing the size of the federal government.

Partnership with Riyadh

As for the relationship with Saudi Arabia, Aurangzeb outlined the features of a historic transformation, stressing that Pakistan wants to move from "aid and loans" to "trade and investment."

He expressed his great admiration for "Vision 2030," not only as an ambition, but as a model that achieved its targets ahead of schedule.

He revealed a formal Pakistani request to benefit from Saudi "technical knowledge and administrative expertise" in implementing economic transformations, stressing that his country's need for this executive discipline and the Kingdom's ability to manage major transformations is no less important than the need for direct financing, to ensure the building of a resilient economy led by exports, not debts.


Oil Drops 1% as US, Iran Pledge to Continue Talks

The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)
The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)
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Oil Drops 1% as US, Iran Pledge to Continue Talks

The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)
The sun rises behind the Tishrin oil field in the eastern Hasakah countryside, northeastern Syria (AP)

Oil prices fell 1% on Monday as immediate fears of a conflict in the Middle East eased after the US and Iran pledged to continue talks about Tehran's nuclear program over the weekend, calming investors anxious about supply disruptions.

Brent crude futures fell 67 cents, or 1%, to $67.38 a barrel on Monday by 0444 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude was at $62.94 a barrel, down 61 cents, or 1%.

"With more talks on the horizon the immediate ‌fear of supply disruptions ‌in the Middle East has eased ‌quite ⁠a bit," IG ‌market analyst Tony Sycamore said.

Iran and the US pledged to continue the indirect nuclear talks following what both sides described as positive discussions on Friday in Oman despite differences. That allayed fears that failure to reach a deal might nudge the Middle East closer to war, as the US has positioned more military forces in the area.

Investors are also worried about possible disruptions to supply ⁠from Iran and other regional producers as exports equal to about a fifth of the world's ‌total oil consumption pass through the Strait of ‍Hormuz between Oman and Iran.

Both ‍benchmarks fell more than 2% last week on the easing tensions, their ‍first decline in seven weeks.

However, Iran's foreign minister said on Saturday Tehran will strike US bases in the Middle East if it is attacked by US forces, showing the threat of conflict is still alive.

"Volatility remains elevated as conflicting rhetoric persists. Any negative headlines could quickly reignite risk premiums in oil prices this week," said Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at ⁠Phillip Nova.

Investors are also continuing to grapple with efforts to curb Russian income from its oil exports for its war in Ukraine. The European Commission on Friday proposed a sweeping ban on any services that support Russia's seaborne crude oil exports.

Refiners in India, once the biggest buyer of Russia's seaborne crude, are avoiding purchases for delivery in April and are expected to stay away from such trades for longer, refining and trade sources said, which could help New Delhi seal a trade pact with Washington.

"Oil markets will remain sensitive to how broadly this pivot away from Russian crude unfolds, whether ‌India’s reduced purchases persist beyond April, and how quickly alternative flows can be brought online," Sachdeva said.


Indian Refiners Avoid Russian Oil in Push for US Trade Deal

An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
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Indian Refiners Avoid Russian Oil in Push for US Trade Deal

An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo
An employee walks inside the premises of an oil refinery of Essar Oil in Vadinar in the western state of Gujarat, India, October 4, 2016. REUTERS/Amit Dave/File Photo

Indian refiners are avoiding Russian oil purchases for delivery in April and are expected to stay away from such trades for longer, refining and trade sources said, a move that could help New Delhi seal a trade pact with Washington, according to Reuters.

The US and India moved closer to a trade pact on Friday, announcing a framework for a deal they hope to conclude by March that would lower tariffs and deepen economic cooperation.

Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Reliance Industries are not accepting offers from traders for Russian oil loading in March and April, said a trader who approached the refiners.

These refiners, however, had already scheduled some deliveries of Russian oil in March, refining sources said. Most other refiners have stopped buying Russian crude.

A foreign ministry spokesperson said: “Diversifying our energy sourcing in keeping with objective market conditions and evolving international dynamics is at the core of our strategy” to ensure energy security for the world's most-populous nation.

Although a US-India statement on the trade framework did not mention Russian oil, President Donald Trump rescinded his 25% tariffs on Indian goods, imposed over Russian oil purchases, because, he said, New Delhi had “committed to stop directly or indirectly” importing Russian oil.

New Delhi has not announced plans to halt Russian oil imports.

India became the top buyer of discounted Russian seaborne crude after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, spurring a backlash from Western nations that had targeted Russia's energy sector with sanctions aimed at curtailing Moscow's revenue and making it harder to fund the war.

One regular Indian buyer is Russia-backed private refiner Nayara, which relies solely on Russian oil for its 400,000-barrel-per-day refinery. Sources said Nayara may be allowed to keep buying Russian oil because other crude sellers pulled back after the European Union sanctioned the refiner in July.

Nayara also does not plan to import Russian crude in April due to a month-long refinery maintenance shutdown, a source familiar with its operations said.

Nayara did not respond to an email seeking comment.

Indian refiners may change their plan and place orders for Russian oil only if advised by the government, sources said.

Trump's order said US officials would monitor and recommend reinstating the tariffs if India resumed oil procurement from Russia.

Sources said last month that India was preparing to cut Russian oil imports below 1 million bpd by March, with volumes eventually falling to 500,000–600,000 bpd, compared with an average 1.7 million bpd last year. India's Russian oil imports topped 2 million bpd in mid-2025.

The intake of Russian oil by India, the world's third-biggest oil consumer and importer, declined to its lowest level in two years in December, data from trade and industry sources show.