Gulf Stock Markets Plunge Sharply Following Wall Street Slump

Stock screen during the decline of the US market (Reuters)
Stock screen during the decline of the US market (Reuters)
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Gulf Stock Markets Plunge Sharply Following Wall Street Slump

Stock screen during the decline of the US market (Reuters)
Stock screen during the decline of the US market (Reuters)

Gulf financial markets suffered significant losses on Sunday, tracking sharp declines on Wall Street last Friday after US President Donald Trump announced new reciprocal tariffs on countries with which the US maintains trade relations.

The Saudi stock market posted the steepest drop among the Gulf states, closing down 6.8%. It was followed by Kuwait’s Premier Market, which fell 5.7%, Qatar’s market down 4.2%, Muscat down 2.6%, and Bahrain posting the smallest drop at 1%. The Abu Dhabi and Dubai exchanges were closed Sunday, though they had ended the previous week in the red, erasing all gains since the beginning of the year.

Trump had announced a minimum 10% tariff on Gulf countries, among others. The S&P 500 shed nearly $5 trillion in value over two days, marking its worst performance since March 2020, with a sharp 6% drop on Friday alone. The Nasdaq 100 officially entered a bear market, down more than 20% from its recent peak.

Mohammed Al-Maimouni, a financial advisor at Al-Mutadawil Al-Arabi, told Asharq Al-Awsat that two main factors triggered the sell-off: first, Trump’s tariffs sparked a downturn in US markets, which rippled through global and Gulf markets. China’s retaliatory tariffs further compounded the impact. Second, oil prices fell below $70 per barrel, weighing on energy stocks.

Al-Maimouni added that markets and economies are gripped by uncertainty over the tariffs’ long-term effects.

“I expect continued volatility next week as investors adjust to the new reality,” he said.

Amid global economic tensions, Saudi Arabia’s Tadawul index dropped to its lowest level since December 2023, marking its worst daily loss since May 2020. The TASI index plunged 6.7% to close at 11,078 points, a drop of 804 points, with banking, energy, and utilities sectors leading the fall.

Blue-chip stocks were particularly affected. Aramco shares dropped 5.25% to SAR 24.92, Al Rajhi Bank declined 5.9% to SAR 94.70, and Saudi National Bank fell 6.82% to SAR 32.80.

Aramco’s market capitalization dropped to around SAR 6 trillion ($1.6 trillion), down from SAR 6.4 trillion at the time of its 2019 IPO—a 7% decrease. Since the start of the year, Aramco shares have lost roughly 12% amid growing pressure on energy stocks and falling oil prices amid fears of weakening global demand.

Al-Maimouni said the sharp sell-off was driven by local investors offloading their holdings, particularly in key banking stocks. “Aramco also breached a key support level at SAR 25, amplifying the losses,” he explained.

Broad Losses Across Gulf and Egypt

Kuwait’s Premier Market tumbled 5.7% to 8,106.1 points. Leading stocks took the brunt of the hit, with Kuwait Finance House down 5.5%, National Bank of Kuwait falling 7%, Gulf Bank losing 5%, and Boubyan Bank shedding 6.1%.

In Muscat, the market declined by 2.6%, while Qatar’s exchange dropped 4.2%, led by Qatar Industries, which plunged 8.2%. Bahrain’s bourse saw the mildest decline at 1%.

In Egypt, the stock market experienced its worst drop since April 2024. The main index closed down 3.34%, with the market losing EGP 80 billion



IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
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IMF and Arab Monetary Fund Sign MoU to Enhance Cooperation

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA
The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki - SPA

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Arab Monetary Fund (AMF) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference on Emerging Market Economies (EME) to enhance cooperation between the two institutions.

The MoU was signed by IMF Managing Director Dr. Kristalina Georgieva and AMF Director General Dr. Fahad Alturki, SPA reported.

The agreement aims to strengthen coordination in economic and financial policy areas, including surveillance and lending activities, data and analytical exchange, capacity building, and the provision of technical assistance, in support of regional financial and economic stability.

Both sides affirmed that the MoU represents an important step toward deepening their strategic partnership and strengthening the regional financial safety net, serving member countries and enhancing their ability to address economic challenges.


Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
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Saudi Chambers Federation Announces First Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council

File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT
File photo of the Saudi flag/AAWSAT

The Federation of Saudi Chambers announced the formation of the first joint Saudi-Kuwaiti Business Council for its inaugural term (1447–1451 AH) and the election of Salman bin Hassan Al-Oqayel as its chairman.

Al-Oqayel said the council’s formation marks a pivotal milestone in economic relations between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, reflecting a practical approach to enabling the business sectors in both countries to capitalize on promising investment opportunities and strengthen bilateral trade and investment partnerships, SPA reported.

He noted that trade between Saudi Arabia and Kuwait reached approximately SAR9.5 billion by the end of November 2025, including SAR8 billion in Saudi exports and SAR1.5 billion in Kuwaiti imports.


Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
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Leading Harvard Trade Economist Says Saudi Arabia Holds Key to Success in Fragmented Global Economy

Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).
Professor Pol Antràs speaks during a panel discussion at the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies (Asharq Al-Awsat).

Harvard University economics professor Pol Antràs said Saudi Arabia represents an exceptional model in the shifting global trade landscape, differing fundamentally from traditional emerging-market frameworks. He also stressed that globalization has not ended but has instead re-formed into what he describes as fragmented integration.

Speaking to Asharq Al-Awsat on the sidelines of the AlUla Conference for Emerging Market Economies, Antràs said Saudi Arabia’s Vision-driven structural reforms position the Kingdom to benefit from the ongoing phase of fragmented integration, adding that the country’s strategic focus on logistics transformation and artificial intelligence constitutes a key engine for sustainable growth that extends beyond the volatility of global crises.

Antràs, the Robert G. Ory Professor of Economics at Harvard University, is one of the leading contemporary theorists of international trade. His research, which reshaped understanding of global value chains, focuses on how firms organize cross-border production and how regulation and technological change influence global trade flows and corporate decision-making.

He said conventional classifications of economies often obscure important structural differences, noting that the term emerging markets groups together countries with widely divergent industrial bases. Economies that depend heavily on manufacturing exports rely critically on market access and trade integration and therefore face stronger competitive pressures from Chinese exports that are increasingly shifting toward alternative markets.

Saudi Arabia, by contrast, exports extensively while facing limited direct competition from China in its primary export commodity, a situation that creates a strategic opportunity. The current environment allows the Kingdom to obtain imports from China at lower cost and access a broader range of goods that previously flowed largely toward the United States market.

Addressing how emerging economies should respond to dumping pressures and rising competition, Antràs said countries should minimize protectionist tendencies and instead position themselves as committed participants in the multilateral trading system, allowing foreign producers to access domestic markets while encouraging domestic firms to expand internationally.

He noted that although Chinese dumping presents concerns for countries with manufacturing sectors that compete directly with Chinese production, the risk is lower for Saudi Arabia because it does not maintain a large manufacturing base that overlaps directly with Chinese exports. Lower-cost imports could benefit Saudi consumers, while targeted policy tools such as credit programs, subsidies, and support for firms seeking to redesign and upgrade business models represent more effective responses than broad protectionist measures.

Globalization has not ended

Antràs said globalization continues but through more complex structures, with trade agreements increasingly negotiated through diverse arrangements rather than relying primarily on multilateral negotiations. Trade deals will continue to be concluded, but they are likely to become more complex, with uncertainty remaining a defining feature of the global trading environment.

Interest rates and artificial intelligence

According to Antràs, high global interest rates, combined with the additional risk premiums faced by emerging markets, are constraining investment, particularly in sectors that require export financing, capital expenditure, and continuous quality upgrading.

However, he noted that elevated interest rates partly reflect expectations of stronger long-term growth driven by artificial intelligence and broader technological transformation.

He also said if those growth expectations materialize, productivity gains could enable small and medium-sized enterprises to forecast demand more accurately and identify previously untapped markets, partially offsetting the negative effects of higher borrowing costs.

Employment concerns and the role of government

The Harvard professor warned that labor markets face a dual challenge stemming from intensified Chinese export competition and accelerating job automation driven by artificial intelligence, developments that could lead to significant disruptions, particularly among younger workers. He said governments must adopt proactive strategies requiring substantial fiscal resources to mitigate near-term labor-market shocks.

According to Antràs, productivity growth remains the central condition for success: if new technologies deliver the anticipated productivity gains, governments will gain the fiscal space needed to compensate affected groups and retrain the workforce, achieving a balance between addressing short-term disruptions and investing in long-term strategic gains.