Erdogan Battles Rival in Türkiye’s Local Elections, Violence Flares

 Türkiye’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Murat Kurum, mayoral candidate of his ruling AK Party (AKP), greet their supporters during a rally ahead of the local elections in Istanbul, Türkiye March 24, 2024. (Reuters)
Türkiye’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Murat Kurum, mayoral candidate of his ruling AK Party (AKP), greet their supporters during a rally ahead of the local elections in Istanbul, Türkiye March 24, 2024. (Reuters)
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Erdogan Battles Rival in Türkiye’s Local Elections, Violence Flares

 Türkiye’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Murat Kurum, mayoral candidate of his ruling AK Party (AKP), greet their supporters during a rally ahead of the local elections in Istanbul, Türkiye March 24, 2024. (Reuters)
Türkiye’s President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Murat Kurum, mayoral candidate of his ruling AK Party (AKP), greet their supporters during a rally ahead of the local elections in Istanbul, Türkiye March 24, 2024. (Reuters)

Turks voted on Sunday in municipal elections focused on President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's bid to reclaim control of Istanbul from rival Ekrem Imamoglu, who aims to reassert the opposition as a political force after election defeats last year.

Polls closed at 5 p.m. (1400 GMT) after some violence across the country related to the election of neighborhood officials, or "muhtars", with three people reported killed. Initial vote results are expected by early evening.

Istanbul Mayor Imamoglu dealt Erdogan and his AK Party the biggest electoral blow of two decades in power with his win in the 2019 vote. The president struck back in 2023 by securing re-election and a parliament majority with his nationalist allies.

Sunday's results could reinforce Erdogan's control of NATO-member Türkiye, or signal change in the major emerging economy's divided political landscape. An Imamoglu win would fuel expectations of him becoming a future national leader.

"Imamoglu is fine and does what he should as mayor, but he does not compare with Erdogan," AK Party (AKP) voter and retiree Omer said, while a jubilant crowd chanted the president's name as he emerged from a polling station in Istanbul.

Elsewhere in Istanbul, engineer Murat Ercan disapproved of Erdogan's active role in campaigning for his party ahead of the elections, believing the president should be impartial.

"Ekrem Imamoglu is the sort of president we long for, with his constructive and smiling nature, embracing everyone," Ercan, 60, said after casting his ballot in Istanbul.

In one incident in the southeast, groups clashed with guns, sticks and stones, killing one and wounding 11. In another, one muhtar candidate was killed and four people wounded in a fight, state-owned Anadolu news agency said.

It also said 16 people were hurt in a clash in Sanliurfa, while a muhtar was stabbed in Afyonkarahisar in the west. Demiroren reported separately that one person was shot dead and two wounded overnight in Bursa.

Kurdish voters

In Istanbul, a city of 16 million people that drives Türkiye’s economy, polls suggest a tight race as Imamoglu faces a challenge from AKP candidate Murat Kurum, a former minister.

The results are likely to be shaped in part by economic problems driven by near 70% inflation, and by Kurdish and Islamist voters weighing the government's performance.

While the main prize for Erdogan is Istanbul, he also seeks to win back the capital Ankara. Both cities were won by the opposition in 2019 after being under the rule of his AKP and Islamist predecessors for the previous 25 years.

Erdogan's prospects have been helped by the collapse of the opposition alliance that he defeated last year, though Imamoglu still appeals to voters beyond his main opposition Republican People's Party.

Voters of the main pro-Kurdish party were crucial to Imamoglu's 2019 success. Their DEM party this time is fielding its own candidate in Istanbul, but many Kurds are expected to put aside party loyalty and vote for him again.

In the mainly Kurdish southeast, DEM aims to reaffirm its strength after the state replaced pro-Kurdish mayors with state-appointed "trustees" following previous elections over alleged militant ties.

"I wish for an end to the trustee system. This election is important for Türkiye’s future and for listening to us: Kurds are always decisive," said civil servant Elif Durgun, 32.

One factor working against Erdogan is a rise in support for the Islamist New Welfare Party due to its hardline stance against Israel over the Gaza conflict and dissatisfaction with the Islamist-rooted AKP's handling of the economy.



Putin Accuses Ukraine of ‘Large-Scale Provocation’ with its Raid in Southwestern Russia

An image taken from a handout footage released by the Russian Defense Ministry on August 6, 2024, shows Russian drone attack on Ukrainian armored vehicles outside the town of Sudzha, Kursk Region, on August 7, 2024. (Russian Defense Ministry / AFP)
An image taken from a handout footage released by the Russian Defense Ministry on August 6, 2024, shows Russian drone attack on Ukrainian armored vehicles outside the town of Sudzha, Kursk Region, on August 7, 2024. (Russian Defense Ministry / AFP)
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Putin Accuses Ukraine of ‘Large-Scale Provocation’ with its Raid in Southwestern Russia

An image taken from a handout footage released by the Russian Defense Ministry on August 6, 2024, shows Russian drone attack on Ukrainian armored vehicles outside the town of Sudzha, Kursk Region, on August 7, 2024. (Russian Defense Ministry / AFP)
An image taken from a handout footage released by the Russian Defense Ministry on August 6, 2024, shows Russian drone attack on Ukrainian armored vehicles outside the town of Sudzha, Kursk Region, on August 7, 2024. (Russian Defense Ministry / AFP)

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday described a Ukrainian incursion into the country's southwestern Kursk region as a “large-scale provocation” as his officials asserted that they were fighting off cross-border raids for a second day. Ukrainian officials remained silent about the scope of the operation.

Putin met with his top defense and security officials to discuss what he called the “indiscriminate shelling of civilian buildings, residential houses, ambulances with different types of weapons.” He instructed the Cabinet to coordinate assistance to the Kursk region. The fighting is about 500 kilometers (320 miles) from Moscow.

Army chief of staff Valery Gerasimov told Putin at the meeting via video link that about 100 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed in the battle and more than 200 wounded, Russian news agencies reported.

The Ukrainian shelling, meanwhile, killed at least two people — a paramedic and an ambulance driver — and injured 24, Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said in a statement.

It was not possible to independently verify the Russian claims. Disinformation and propaganda have played a central role in the war, now in its third year.

The head of the region urged residents to donate blood due to the intense fighting. “In the last 24 hours, our region has been heroically resisting attacks” by Ukrainian fighters, acting Gov. Alexei Smirnov said on Telegram, adding that all emergency services were on high alert.

Smirnov said authorities had evacuated more than 200 people from areas under shelling, while several thousand others left in their own vehicles.

If confirmed, the cross-border foray would be among Ukraine's largest since Russia's full-scale invasion in February 2022, and unprecedented for its deployment of Ukrainian military units.

Kyiv's aim could be to draw Russian reserves to the area, potentially weakening Moscow’s offensive operations in several parts of Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region where Russian forces have increased attacks and are advancing gradually toward operationally significant gains.

But it could risk stretching outmanned Ukrainian troops further along the front line, which is more than 1,000 kilometers (620 miles) long.

Even if Russia were to commit reserves to stabilize the new front, given its vast manpower and the relatively small number of Ukrainian forces engaged in the operation, it would likely have little long-term impact.

However, the operation could boost Ukrainian morale at a time when Kyiv's forces are facing relentless Russian attacks and are expected to face more in coming weeks.

Several Ukrainian brigades stationed along the border region said they could not comment. Ukraine's Defense Ministry and General Staff said they would not comment.

Russian forces have swiftly repelled previous cross-border incursions, but not before they caused damage and embarrassed authorities.

The Russian Defense Ministry said Tuesday that up to 300 Ukrainian troops, supported by 11 tanks and more than 20 armored combat vehicles, had crossed into Russia and suffered heavy losses.

It said Wednesday that military and border guard troops “continued to destroy Ukrainian military units in the areas alongside the border in the Kursk region.”

The ministry said Russian forces backed by artillery and warplanes “didn't allow the enemy to advance deeper into the territory of the Russian Federation.”

Open-source monitors have also not been able to verify the claims. The US-based Institute for the Study of War could not verify whether damaged and abandoned armored vehicles shown in geolocated video 7 kilometers (4 miles) north of the border west of Lyubimovka in the Kursk region were Ukrainian.

The think tank also cast doubt on video shared by Russian military bloggers claiming to show the aftermath of the Ukrainian raids. Most of the damage shown “appears to be the result of routine Ukrainian shelling and does not indicate that there was ground activity in the area,” it said in its daily report.

Responsibility for previous incursions into Russia’s Belgorod and Bryansk regions has been claimed by two murky groups: the Russian Volunteer Corps and the Freedom of Russia Legion, which are made up of Russian citizens and have fought alongside Ukrainian forces.

Some Russian war bloggers who have proved knowledgeable about the war said that Ukrainian soldiers were in Kursk.

Rybar, a Telegram channel run by Mikhail Zvinchuk, a retired Russian Defense Ministry press officer, said Ukrainian troops had seized three settlements in the region and continued to fight their way deeper into it.

Another pro-Kremlin military blog, Two Majors, claimed that Ukrainian troops had advanced up to 15 kilometers (9 miles) into the region.

Neither claim could be independently verified.

The Kursk region’s border with Ukraine is 245 kilometers (150 miles) long, making it possible for saboteur groups to launch swift incursions and capture some ground before Russia deploys reinforcements.