Trump is a Convicted Felon. Now what?

 Former US president Donald Trump - Reuters.
Former US president Donald Trump - Reuters.
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Trump is a Convicted Felon. Now what?

 Former US president Donald Trump - Reuters.
Former US president Donald Trump - Reuters.

Donald Trump, the first former US president to be convicted of a crime, will remain a free man while he awaits sentencing and could avoid a prison term entirely for falsifying business records to cover up a hush money payment to a porn star. Here is a look at what’s next for the Republican candidate for president against Democratic President Joe Biden in a Nov. 5 election.

WHAT HAPPENS NOW?

The judge presiding over the case, Juan Merchan, must first approve the verdict and enter a final judgment, though this is typically a formality.

Criminal defendants in New York are typically sentenced within several weeks of conviction, but post-verdict legal wrangling can sometimes lead to months of delays. In the meantime, lawyers and prosecutors will recommend sentences and then argue over them at Trump’s sentencing hearing, where Merchan will make a decision.

WILL TRUMP GO TO PRISON?

That is unlikely.

The maximum sentence for Trump’s crime of falsifying business records is 1-1/3 to four years in prison.

It is rare for people with no criminal history who are convicted only of falsification of business records to be sentenced to prison in New York. Punishments like fines or probation are more common.

Defendants convicted of falsifying business records who get sentenced to time behind bars typically serve a year or less, and even in those cases most were convicted of other crimes such as fraud or grand larceny - unlike Trump

If punished beyond a fine, Trump could be placed under home confinement or subject to a curfew rather than imprisoned.

As a former president, he has a lifetime Secret Service detail, and the logistics of keeping him safe behind bars could be complicated.

Trump could also be released on bail while appealing his conviction.

CAN TRUMP APPEAL THE CONVICTION?

Yes. Trump is likely to make arguments that Merchan rejected ahead of trial, including that the indictment is legally flawed and politically motivated. He is also likely to argue Merchan deprived him of a fair trial by making legal errors, including allowing salacious testimony by a porn star who said she had sex with Trump - testimony his lawyers said was gratuitous and aimed at inflaming the jury against him.

The defense is likely to argue that the charges themselves were legally improper. Falsifying business records on its own is a misdemeanor in New York, but is elevated to a felony when done to help commit or conceal another crime. In this case, Bragg's office said that other crime was a conspiracy to violate a state election law.

But Trump's lawyers have argued that state law does not apply to federal elections.

COULD TRUMP STILL BE PRESIDENT?

Yes. The US Constitution only requires that presidents be at least 35 years old and natural-born US citizens who have lived in the country for 14 years. In theory, Trump could be sworn in from jail or prison on Inauguration Day, Jan. 20, 2025, if he were to unseat Biden.



Spain Scraps Contested Israeli Arms Deal after Uproar

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez is one of the most outspoken critics of Israel's military operations in Gaza. JAVIER SORIANO / AFP
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez is one of the most outspoken critics of Israel's military operations in Gaza. JAVIER SORIANO / AFP
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Spain Scraps Contested Israeli Arms Deal after Uproar

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez is one of the most outspoken critics of Israel's military operations in Gaza. JAVIER SORIANO / AFP
Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez is one of the most outspoken critics of Israel's military operations in Gaza. JAVIER SORIANO / AFP

Spain on Thursday cancelled a contract to buy bullets from an Israeli company following pressure from the Socialist-led government's far-left coalition partner -- a move swiftly condemned by Israel.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez, one of the most outspoken critics of Israel's military operations in Gaza, halted weapons transactions with Israel after the outbreak of the war following Hamas's attack on Israel on October 7, 2023.

The interior ministry sought to terminate the 6.8-million-euro ($7.8 million) contract with Israeli firm IMI Systems, which was to supply bullets to the Spanish Civil Guard police force, AFP said.

But on Wednesday the ministry said it had abandoned its attempt to cancel the deal after state legal services advised against it "due to the advanced stage of the processing of the contract" and because it would have had to pay without receiving the bullets.

The far-left Sumar party, the junior partner in Sanchez's ruling coalition, reacted angrily, calling the reversal "a blatant violation" of the government's pledge not to trade weapons with Israel.

On Thursday government sources said the contract would be "unilaterally" terminated.

"The investment board for dual-use material will deny this company permission to import this equipment to our country for reasons of general interest and, immediately afterwards, the interior ministry will terminate the contract," the sources added.

Sumar's Deputy Prime Minister Yolanda Diaz said she had personally "negotiated" with the interior minister and the prime minister to pull the plug on the contract.

Spain "cannot buy arms from a government that massacres the Palestinian people", she told reporters.

Israel's military offensive has devastated Gaza and killed more than 50,000 people in the tiny coastal territory, according to the health ministry there.

Israel said it "strongly condemns" the decision to cancel the contract, and accused the Spanish government of "sacrificing security considerations for political purposes".

Spain "continues to stand on the wrong side of history -- against the Jewish state that is defending itself from terrorist attacks", Israel's foreign ministry said in a statement to AFP.

The row over the contract came as Sumar was still reeling from Sanchez's announcement on Tuesday that Madrid will boost defense spending to two percent of annual economic output this year -- the benchmark agreed by NATO allies.

The government had previously aimed to meet this target in 2029 but brought it forward under pressure from Washington.

Sanchez's minority government has struggled to pass legislation since he secured a new term in 2023 by cobbling together an alliance of left-wing and regional separatist parties traditionally hostile to NATO and alignment with US foreign policy.

Conservative criticism

Spain's main opposition conservative Popular Party (PP) criticized the government's decision to cancel the contract.

"When a state concludes a contract with another state, it must be respected," PP leader Alberto Nunez Feijoo told reporters.

"What is the price of cancelling this contract? Who is going to pay it?" he asked.

The Hamas attack in Israel resulted in the deaths of 1,218 people, mostly civilians, according to an AFP tally based on official Israeli figures.

Palestinian militants also seized 251 hostages in their attack and 58 remain in Gaza, including 34 the Israeli military says are dead.

Israel's military response in Gaza has caused a humanitarian crisis and killed at least 51,355 people, mainly civilians, according to the Hamas-run territory's health ministry.

The United Nations considers the figures reliable.

The International Criminal Court has issued an arrest warrant against Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza.