Strong Turnout in France’s High-Stakes Elections as Support for the Far Right Grows

People collect ballots at a polling station inside the Anse Vata sports hall to vote in the first round of France's crunch legislative elections in Noumea, in France's Pacific territory of New Caledonia, on June 30, 2024. (AFP)
People collect ballots at a polling station inside the Anse Vata sports hall to vote in the first round of France's crunch legislative elections in Noumea, in France's Pacific territory of New Caledonia, on June 30, 2024. (AFP)
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Strong Turnout in France’s High-Stakes Elections as Support for the Far Right Grows

People collect ballots at a polling station inside the Anse Vata sports hall to vote in the first round of France's crunch legislative elections in Noumea, in France's Pacific territory of New Caledonia, on June 30, 2024. (AFP)
People collect ballots at a polling station inside the Anse Vata sports hall to vote in the first round of France's crunch legislative elections in Noumea, in France's Pacific territory of New Caledonia, on June 30, 2024. (AFP)

Voters across mainland France cast ballots Sunday in the first round of early parliamentary elections that could put the government in the hands of nationalist, far-right parties for the first time since the Nazi era.

The two-round elections that wrap up July 7 could impact European financial markets, Western support for Ukraine and the management of France’s nuclear arsenal and global military force.

Many French voters are frustrated about inflation and other economic concerns, as well as President Emmanuel Macron’s leadership, seen as arrogant and out-of-touch with their lives. Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigration National Rally party has tapped that discontent, notably via online platforms like TikTok, and led in preelection opinion polls.

A new coalition on the left, the New Popular Front, also poses a challenge to the pro-business Macron and his centrist alliance Together for the Republic. It includes the French Socialists and Communists, the greens and the hard-left France Unbowed party and vows to reverse an unpopular pension reform law that raised the retirement age to 64, among other economic reforms.

There are 49.5 million registered voters who will choose the 577 members of the National Assembly, France's influential lower house of parliament.

Turnout stood at an unusually high 59% with three hours to go before polls close. That’s 20 percentage points higher than turnout at the same time in the last first-round vote in 2022.

Some pollsters suggested the high turnout could temper the outcome for the hard right National Rally, possibly indicating voters made an extra effort to cast ballots for fear that it could win.

The vote was taking place during the traditional first week of summer vacation in France, and absentee ballot requests were at least five times higher than in 2022.

The first polling projections were expected at 8 p.m. (1800 GMT), when final polling stations close. Early official results were expected later Sunday.

Macron voted in Le Touquet, a seaside resort in northern France. Le Pen also voted in the north, her party’s stronghold, but in the working-class town of Hennin-Beaumont.

Voters in Paris had issues from immigration to the rising cost of living on their minds as the country has grown more divided between the far right and far left blocs, with a deeply unpopular and weakened president in the political center. The campaign was marred by rising hate speech.

“People don't like what has been happening,” said Cynthia Justine, 44. “People feel they've lost a lot in recent years. People are angry. I am angry.” She added that with “the rising hate speech,” it was necessary to express frustrations with those holding and seeking power.

She said it was important as a woman to vote since women haven't always had that right. And “because I am a Black woman, it's even more important. A lot is at stake on this day.”

Macron called the early elections after his party was trounced in the European Parliament election earlier in June by the National Rally, which has historic ties to racism and antisemitism and is hostile toward France’s Muslim community. It also has historical ties to Russia.

Macron's call was an audacious gamble that French voters who were complacent about the European election would be jolted into turning out for moderate forces in national elections to keep the far right out of power.

Instead, preelection polls suggested that the National Rally is gaining support and has a chance at winning a parliamentary majority. In that scenario, Macron would be expected to name 28-year-old National Rally President Jordan Bardella as prime minister in an awkward power-sharing system known as “cohabitation.”

While Macron has said he won’t step down before his presidential term expires in 2027, cohabitation would weaken him at home and on the world stage.

A 64-year-old voter, Philippe Lempereur, expressed fatigue with politicians from the left, right and center and what he called their inability to work together on issues like ensuring people have shelter and enough to eat. “We vote by default, for the least worse option,” he said. “I prefer to vote than do nothing.”

The results of the first round will give a picture of voter sentiment, but not necessarily of the overall makeup of the next National Assembly. Predictions are difficult because of the complicated voting system, and because parties will work between the rounds to make alliances in some constituencies or pull out of others.

In the past, such maneuvers helped keep far-right candidates from power. But support for Le Pen's party has spread deep and wide.

Bardella, who has no governing experience, says he would use the powers of prime minister to stop Macron from continuing to supply long-range weapons to Ukraine for the war with Russia.

The National Rally has also questioned the right to citizenship for people born in France, and wants to curtail the rights of French citizens with dual nationality. Critics say this undermines human rights and is a threat to France's democratic ideals.

Meanwhile, huge public spending promises by the National Rally and especially the left-wing coalition have shaken markets and ignited worries about France's heavy debt, already criticized by EU watchdogs.

In the restive French Pacific territory of New Caledonia, polls closed earlier due to a curfew that authorities have extended until July 8.  

Violence there flared last month leaving nine people dead, due to attempts by Macron’s government to amend the French Constitution and change voting lists, which the Indigenous Kanaks feared would further marginalize them. They have long sought to break free from France.

Voters in France’s other overseas territories of Saint-Pierre-et-Miquelon, Saint-Barthélemy, Saint-Martin, Guadeloupe, Martinique, Guyana and French Polynesia and those voting in offices opened by embassies and consular posts across the Americas cast their ballots on Saturday.



Labor Predicted to Rout Sunak's Conservatives as Britain Goes To Polls

FILE PHOTO: A polling station direction sign is attached to a street sign near the Elizabeth Tower, more commonly known as Big Ben, ahead of general elections, in London, Britain July 3, 2024. REUTERS/Maja Smiejkowska/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A polling station direction sign is attached to a street sign near the Elizabeth Tower, more commonly known as Big Ben, ahead of general elections, in London, Britain July 3, 2024. REUTERS/Maja Smiejkowska/File Photo
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Labor Predicted to Rout Sunak's Conservatives as Britain Goes To Polls

FILE PHOTO: A polling station direction sign is attached to a street sign near the Elizabeth Tower, more commonly known as Big Ben, ahead of general elections, in London, Britain July 3, 2024. REUTERS/Maja Smiejkowska/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: A polling station direction sign is attached to a street sign near the Elizabeth Tower, more commonly known as Big Ben, ahead of general elections, in London, Britain July 3, 2024. REUTERS/Maja Smiejkowska/File Photo

Britain looks set to elect Labor Party leader Keir Starmer as its next prime minister when voters go to the polls on Thursday, sweeping Rishi Sunak's Conservatives out of office after 14 often turbulent years.
Opinion polls put Starmer's center-left party on course for a landslide victory as voters turn their backs on the Conservatives following a period of infighting and turmoil that led to five prime ministers in eight years, Reuters said.
However, surveys show many voters simply want change, rather than fervently backing Labor, meaning Starmer could enter office with one of the biggest to-do lists in British history but without a groundswell of support or the financial resources to tackle it.
"Today, Britain can begin a new chapter," Starmer told voters in a statement on Thursday. "We cannot afford five more years under the Conservatives. But change will only happen if you vote Labor."
Sunak, who called the election months earlier than expected, has in recent weeks abandoned his call for a fifth consecutive Conservative victory, switching instead to warning of the dangers of an unchallenged Labor Party in parliament.
He issued a fresh rallying cry to voters for election day, saying a Labor government would hike taxes, hamper economic recovery and leave Britain more vulnerable at a time of geopolitical tension, charges Labor deny.
"They will do lasting damage to our country and our economy - just like they did the last time they were in power," Sunak said. "Don't let that happen."
PUNISHING GOVERNMENT
If the opinion polls are correct, Britain will follow other European countries in punishing their governments after a cost of living crisis that stemmed from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Unlike France it looks set to move to the center left and not further right.
Labor has held a poll lead of between 15 and 20 points since shortly after Sunak was chosen by his lawmakers in October 2022 to replace Liz Truss who resigned after 44 days, having sparked a bond market meltdown and a collapse in sterling.
Modeling by pollsters predicts Labor is on course for one of the biggest election victories in British history, with a likely majority in parliament that would exceed those achieved by Tony Blair or Margaret Thatcher, although a high number of voters are undecided and turnout could be low.
Such an outcome would have been unthinkable at Britain's last election in 2019 when Boris Johnson won a large victory for the Conservatives, with politicians predicting that the party would be in power for at least 10 years as Labor was finished.
Starmer, the former chief prosecutor of England and Wales, took over Labor from veteran socialist Jeremy Corbyn after it suffered its worst defeat for 84 years in 2019, and dragged it back to the center.
At the same time, the Conservatives in Westminster have imploded, ripped apart by scandal under Johnson and the rancor that followed the vote to leave the European Union, and a failure to deliver on the demands of its broad 2019 voter base.
While Johnson destroyed the party's reputation for integrity, Truss eroded its long-held economic credibility, leaving Sunak to steady the ship. During his time inflation returned to target from its 41-year high of 11.1% and he resolved some Brexit tensions, but the polls have not budged.
Sunak's election campaign has been hit by a string of gaffes. He announced the vote in driving rain, an early departure from a D-Day event in France angered veterans and allegations of election gambling among aides reignited talk of scandal.
The unexpected arrival of Nigel Farage to lead the right-wing Reform UK has also eaten into the Conservatives' vote, while the centrist Liberal Democrats are predicted to fare well in the party's traditional affluent heartlands.
PROMISE OF CHANGE
Starmer could also benefit from a Labor recovery in Scotland, after the Scottish National Party embarked on its own self-destructive path following a funding scandal and looks set to lose its stronghold for the first time since 2015.
But Starmer may find his fortunes more sorely tested in Downing Street.
His campaign was built around a one-word promise of 'Change', tapping into anger at the state of stretched public services and falling living standards. But he will have few levers to pull, with the tax burden set to hit its highest since 1949 and net debt almost equivalent to annual economic output.
Starmer has consistently warned that he will not be able to fix anything quickly, and his party has courted international investors to help address the challenges.
Sunak has argued that his 20 months in charge have set the economy on an upward path and Labor should not be allowed to put that in jeopardy.
Voters will give their verdict on Thursday.
Polls open from 7 a.m. until 10 p.m. (0600-2100 GMT) and an exit poll at 10 p.m. will give the first sign of the outcome with detailed results expected early on Friday.