North Korea Threatens to Boost Nuke Capability in Reaction to US-South Korea Deterrence Guidelines

This photo provided Sunday, June 29, 2024, by the North Korean government, North Korean leaders Kim Jong Un attends a ruling party’s meeting in Pyongyang, North Korea Friday, June 28. (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP)
This photo provided Sunday, June 29, 2024, by the North Korean government, North Korean leaders Kim Jong Un attends a ruling party’s meeting in Pyongyang, North Korea Friday, June 28. (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP)
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North Korea Threatens to Boost Nuke Capability in Reaction to US-South Korea Deterrence Guidelines

This photo provided Sunday, June 29, 2024, by the North Korean government, North Korean leaders Kim Jong Un attends a ruling party’s meeting in Pyongyang, North Korea Friday, June 28. (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP)
This photo provided Sunday, June 29, 2024, by the North Korean government, North Korean leaders Kim Jong Un attends a ruling party’s meeting in Pyongyang, North Korea Friday, June 28. (Korean Central News Agency/Korea News Service via AP)

North Korea threatened Saturday to boost its nuclear fighting capability and make the US and South Korea pay “an unimaginably harsh price” as it slammed its rivals’ new defense guidelines that it says reveal an intention to invade the North.
On Thursday, President Joe Biden and South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol authorized the signing of joint nuclear deterrence guidelines as part of efforts to enhance their capabilities to cope with North Korea’s growing nuclear arsenal. The guidelines were adopted a year after the two countries established a consultation body to bolster information-sharing on nuclear operations and discuss how to integrate US nuclear weapons and South Korean conventional weapons in contingencies.
In a statement carried by state media, North Korea’s Defense Ministry said the US-South Korea guidelines betrayed “their sinister intention to step up their preparations for a nuclear war against” North Korea, The Associated Press said.
The statement said its enemies’ escalating nuclear threats urgently require North Korea to further improve its nuclear deterrent readiness and add unspecified “important elements to the composition of the deterrent.” It said the US and South Korea will “pay an unimaginably harsh price” if they fail to stop provocative acts.
Details of the US-South Korean guidelines weren't available, but experts say they are largely about how the two countries would integrate US nuclear weapons and South Korean conventional weapons to respond to various potential contingencies caused by North Korean attacks and provocations. Experts say the US and South Korea are expected to map out detailed concept and operation plans based on the guidelines and review them via bilateral military exercises.
The guidelines are the first of kind between the allies. The US has repeatedly promised to use all its military capabilities to protect South Korea if it is attacked by North Korea, but many experts in South Korea believe the US lacks plans on how it would implement its extended deterrence to its ally. South Korea has no nuclear weapons.
North Korea has argued it was forced to pursue nuclear weapons to deal with US-led nuclear threats. US and South Korean officials have steadfastly said they have no intention of attacking North Korea.
Concerns about North Korea's nuclear program have grown in recent years as the North has performed a slew of provocative missile tests and openly threatened to use nuclear weapons preemptively in potential conflicts with its adversaries.



Iran: Pezeshkian Uses Ashura Day to Court Conservatives

A photo posted online showing Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian attending a religious procession for Ashura on Jomhouri Street in central Tehran
A photo posted online showing Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian attending a religious procession for Ashura on Jomhouri Street in central Tehran
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Iran: Pezeshkian Uses Ashura Day to Court Conservatives

A photo posted online showing Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian attending a religious procession for Ashura on Jomhouri Street in central Tehran
A photo posted online showing Iranian President-elect Masoud Pezeshkian attending a religious procession for Ashura on Jomhouri Street in central Tehran

Newly elected Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian used the Ashura procession in Tehran to gain favor with hardline conservatives. This follows his promises to ease hijab laws and expand internet access for Iranians.

Over the past ten days, Pezeshkian has visited mosques and hussainiyas, meeting with religious leaders and processions to strengthen his support among conservatives in central and southern Tehran, including Azeri Turk religious sites.

His meetings targeted religious chanters and groups linked to notable politicians like Ali Akbar Velayati, an advisor to Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.

Ashura was the first major religious event since Pezeshkian’s election, following the death of President Ebrahim Raisi in a helicopter crash. Conservative media expressed satisfaction with Pezeshkian’s speech.

Velayati gave Pezeshkian a symbolic white banner from a shrine, similar to one he had received from Revolutionary Guard leaders. Another banner was presented by Saeed Haddadian, a “Maddahi” reader close to the Supreme Leader’s office, with Quds Force commander Esmail Qaani present.

During the Ashura commemorations, Pezeshkian joined worshippers on Jomhouri Street, a key area in Tehran linking government and parliament sites. A widely shared video shows him chanting in a procession for Azeri Turks, his ethnic group.

Abdollah Kanji, editor-in-chief of Tehran’s Hamshahri newspaper, praised President-elect Pezeshkian for his talent in religious chanting, saying, “The president has a gift for religious chants. This is wonderful... Intellectuals, don’t be embarrassed... don't complain.”

The Jamaran website, linked to Ayatollah Khomeini’s foundation, saw Pezeshkian’s participation in Ashura ceremonies as a counter to the “sanctification of elections” and claims that his government leans toward “religious secularism.”

The site noted, “Pezeshkian’s presence among religious groups with unique political views is significant.”

The site added, “Pezeshkian aims for consensus, not pointless societal conflicts. Many problems require unity and empathy to solve. Over-glorifying elections can lead to lingering resentments.”

Reformist sites noted Pezeshkian attended at least 11 religious gatherings while his advisors are finalizing the cabinet lineup, expected to be presented to parliament by mid-August.

Five Working Groups

Former Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, head of the “Government Transition Committee,” reported on the formation of five committees tasked with evaluating candidates for 19 ministries, as well as deputies, presidential assistants, and heads of government-affiliated organizations.

The five working groups are:

Political, Defense, and Security Group: Evaluates candidates for the Ministries of Defense, Interior, Foreign Affairs, Justice, and Intelligence, and the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran. Nominees need parliamentary approval.

Economic Group: Reviews candidates for the Ministries of Economy and Industry, the Central Bank, and the Planning and Budget Organization.

Infrastructure Group: Assesses nominees for the Ministries of Oil, Energy, Agriculture, Communications, Roads, and Urban Development.

Cultural Group: Considers candidates for the Ministries of Education, Higher Education, Culture and Media, Tourism, and Sports.

Social Group: Evaluates nominees for the Ministries of Welfare and Health, as well as organizations dealing with women's affairs, the Martyrs Foundation, the environment, and employment issues.

Zarif stated that each committee will propose three candidates for each position and has held nine meetings so far. However, no final decisions have been made, and current speculations are baseless.