Europeans Expect Iranian Missiles to Arrive in Russia Soon

Russian Security Council's Secretary Sergei Shoigu meets Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran on August 5, 2024 (AFP)
Russian Security Council's Secretary Sergei Shoigu meets Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran on August 5, 2024 (AFP)
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Europeans Expect Iranian Missiles to Arrive in Russia Soon

Russian Security Council's Secretary Sergei Shoigu meets Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran on August 5, 2024 (AFP)
Russian Security Council's Secretary Sergei Shoigu meets Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian in Tehran on August 5, 2024 (AFP)

European officials anticipate Iran will soon deliver ballistic missiles to Russia, a move that could escalate the war in Ukraine and prompt a swift response from Kyiv’s allies, according to Bloomberg’s anonymous sources.

Iran has provided Russia with hundreds of drones during Russia’s 2 1/2-year war against Ukraine, but the potential transfer of ballistic missiles would mark a worrying development in the conflict, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss confidential assessments.

The exact type, quantity, and timeline of the deliveries remain undisclosed, but one official, according to Bloomberg, suggested shipments could begin within days.

The US and other North Atlantic Treaty Organization allies have repeatedly warned Tehran against such a move and are pressing ahead with diplomatic efforts to prevent it from happening.

Bloomberg then assumed that ballistic missile transfers to Russia would likely be met with additional sanctions on Iran, though their effectiveness would be uncertain given the raft of measures already targeting Tehran, including on drone supplies to Moscow.

Among previous measures discussed by allies are fresh restrictions on Iran Air, it said.

Group of Seven nations are also expected to publicly condemn any transfer promptly and to press their concerns with governments in the Middle East through diplomatic channels, the people told Bloomberg.

The G-7 has already imposed sanctions on Iran and North Korea for supplying Russia with weapons.

Meanwhile, the Russian Foreign Minister said that Moscow and Tehran will complete the work on the preparation of the comprehensive cooperation agreement in the very near future, the Russian media Tass quoted Sergei Lavrov as saying.

Moscow has no doubt that the statements of the new Iranian president and the new foreign minister about the continuity in relations with Russia “reflect the sincere intention and attitude of the new Iranian leadership,” he added.

The Russian minister said, “I believe that the figures characterizing the growth of trade turnover and the volume of investments speak for themselves. These figures are constantly increasing, so we have a bright future.”

Last month, Reuters said Tehran pressed Moscow for the delivery of Russian made Sukhoi Su-35 fighter jets.

Also in August, Sergei Shoigu, the secretary of Russia's security council, visited Tehran where he conveyed a message from Russian President Vladimir Putin to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei calling for restraint after the assassination of the head of the Hamas movement, Ismail Haniyeh.



Wars Top Global Risk as Davos Elite Gathers in Shadow of Fragmented World

A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
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Wars Top Global Risk as Davos Elite Gathers in Shadow of Fragmented World

A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)
A view of a logo during the 54th annual meeting of the World Economic Forum, in Davos, Switzerland, January 19, 2024. (Reuters)

Armed conflict is the top risk in 2025, a World Economic Forum (WEF) survey released on Wednesday showed, a reminder of the deepening global fragmentation as government and business leaders attend an annual gathering in Davos next week.

Nearly one in four of the more than 900 experts surveyed across academia, business and policymaking ranked conflict, including wars and terrorism, as the most severe risk to economic growth for the year ahead.

Extreme weather, the no. 1 concern in 2024, was the second-ranked danger.

"In a world marked by deepening divides and cascading risks, global leaders have a choice: to foster collaboration and resilience, or face compounding instability," WEF Managing Director Mirek Dusek said in a statement accompanying the report.

"The stakes have never been higher."

The WEF gets underway on Jan. 20 and Donald Trump, who will be sworn in as the 47th president of the United States the same day and has promised to end the war in Ukraine, will address the meeting virtually on Jan. 23. Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskiy will attend the meeting and give a speech on Jan. 21, according to the WEF organizers.

Among other global leaders due to attend the meeting are European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and China's Vice Premier Ding Xuexiang.

Syria, the "terrible humanitarian situation in Gaza" and the potential escalation of the conflict in the Middle East will be a focus at the gathering, according to WEF President and CEO Borge Brende.

Negotiators were hammering out the final details of a potential ceasefire in Gaza on Wednesday, following marathon talks in Qatar.

The threat of misinformation and disinformation was ranked as the most severe global risk over the next two years, according to the survey, the same ranking as in 2024.

Over a 10-year horizon environmental threats dominated experts' risk concerns, the survey showed. Extreme weather was the top longer-term global risk, followed by biodiversity loss, critical change to earth's systems and a shortage of natural resources.

Global temperatures last year exceeded 1.5 degrees Celsius (34.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above the pre-industrial era for the first time, bringing the world closer to breaching the pledge governments made under the 2015 Paris climate agreement.

A global risk is defined by the survey as a condition that would negatively affect a significant proportion of global GDP, population or natural resources. Experts were surveyed in September and October.

The majority of respondents, 64%, expect a multipolar, fragmented global order to persist.